Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center copyright STARC,2004
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3 100 Pre-Competitive 10 1 SoC
4 7 A1-1LSI nm 65nm 45nm 32nm 3 GHz, 1000specint MHz, 1 GIPS, 100mW 8 GHz, 2000specint2000 1GHz, 2.0 GIPS, 100mW 15 GHz, 4000specint2000 2GHz, 4 GIPS, 50mW 19 GHz, 7000specint2000 4GHz, 10GIPS, 50mW A101 I 30 GOPS, 100mW 100 GOPS, 100mW 200 GOPS, 50mW A102 MPEG2 MP@ML Codec III MPEG2 MP@HL Codec MPEG4 Core-Pro 2Mbps, Codec 3-5GOPS 30mW MPEG2 MP@HL Non Real time Soft Codec or Parallel A103 III A104 III 30mW 10mW 5mW 150mW 30mW 15mW MPEG4 Main-Pro 4Mbps, Codec 15-20GOPS 20mW 400 Mpoly/s,200GFLOPS 800 Mpoly/s,1TFLOPS 3.2 Gpoly/s,4TFLOPS MPEG4 Main-Pro 8Mbps, Codec 30-40GOPS 10mW Real time (Polygon Graphics) A105 II A106 II DWDM( ) IP 20 M Gates 1Gbits 20 Mbps 50 M Gates 2GBits DRAMMEM(DRAM, FLASH, FRAM) 40Gbps Mbps 100M Gates 4GBits 80Gbps x Gbps 160 Gbps 320 Gbps DSP 400MHz(10mA 800MHz(10mA 1GHz(10mA / 100GOPS 40Gbps/0.5Gbps 500GOPS 100Gbps/1Gbps 8
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6 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Transformation of Semiconductor R&D Dr. Katsuhiro Shimohigashi General Manager Semiconductor Technology Development Division Semiconductor & Integrated Circuits Hitachi,Ltd. 11 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) OUTLINE 1. Semiconductor IndustryHistory, Technology, and Market 2. Industry VicissitudeHistorical Perspective of Semiconductor Industry 3. Transformation of Semiconductor Industry 4. Transformation of Semiconductor R&D 5. A Measure of R&D Effectiveness 6. R&D History at Hitachi CRL 12
7 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Semiconductor Market Compared to Steel Production STEEL PRODUCTION (Mt/Year) SEMICONDUCTOR U.S. CHINA JAPAN KOREA YEAR FOR SEMICONDUCTOR 13 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Semiconductor Industry Trend B$ 40B$ 150B$ Market Develop Grow Mega Competition Oligopoly Infra-Structure (Equipment) Scarce Develop Grow Mega Competition Application ASP($) Mainframe PC Communication Digital Consumer Business Style IDM IDM IDM,Fabless,Foundry R&D CRL CRL Government-University-Industry Partnership To be discussed today! 14
8 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Market Characteristics Market Trend 1. Disappearance of Performance Oriented Segments (Mainframe Computer, ) Effects on R&D Density Price per Bit 2. Downsizing (PC,HPA, ) System-On-Chip Low Energy Architecture 3. Multimedia Processing (Image,Voice) CPU DSP High Bandwidth (SDRAM,R-DRAM) 15 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Business Characteristics 1. Huge Investment Business Trend Effects on R&D Manufacturing System becomes Focus of study 2. Decrease of ROI Alliance,Consortium 3. Silicon Cycle 4. New Market Entry by Specialization Product Portfolio Segment Specialization (System Solution) Synergistic Technology as a new leverage 16
9 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Technology-Process and Device Technology R&D Direction 1. Commoditization of Process Technology Precompetitive Domain Consortium Technology for Differenciation 2. Uncertainty of Post Optical Lithography New Materials Phase-Shift,OPC Semiconductor -Society-wide Cooperation for NGL 3. Low Cost Manufacturing Large Diameter Wafer Processing 17 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Technology-Continued 4. Technology Maturity Acceleration of Miniaturization Multi-Value Storage and Logic Module Level Integration Contributing factors for 4times DRAM density increase in the 80s. Miniaturization Memory Cell Improvement Circuit Improvement Chip Size Increase Nanometer Processing (Oxide Thickness3nm,Now!) 6. War with Invisible Defects 7. Wiring Material Limit (Cu) Atomic Layer Manipulation Selective Growth (Etching - free Process) Molecular / Atomic Level Physics and Analysis Optoelectronics 18
10 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Transformation of R&D, and Production Relationship Time to Product (Year) PAST R D P PRESENT D P R? Merging R: Research,D: Development,P: Production 19 USJAPAN Technology Management Seminar,Stanford University (Nov/ ) Diversification of R&D (Internal & External) External PreCompetitive Long Long Range Range Universities Government R&D Infrastructure Standardization SEMATECH/ SELETE JEDEC/Defacto Competitive Alliance Core Core Competence Joint Development Internal 20
11 21 The MARCO Focus Research Center Program UCB $10M MIT staff CMU Georgia Tech The MARCO Focus Research Center Program for Semiconductor Research, R. A. Rutebar, CMU 22
12 DAC MOSIS SRC SEMATECH VDEC STARC
13 : Semiconductor New Century Comittee SNCC 26
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