2015 GDOT PowerPoint. Title Page
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1 Cartersville MPO Regional Travel Demand Model Update Joint Policy Committee (PC) and Technical Coordinating Committee (TCC) Meeting May 20, 1
2 BACKGROUND Federal legislation requires Long-Range Transportation Plan (LRTP) updates every five years The LRTP covers a minimum 20-year planning horizon with fiscal constraint The next LRTP must be adopted on or before March 26, 2016 Cartersville MPO needs to provide projects to Atlanta Regional Commission (ARC) for Air Quality Analysis by the end of August, 2
3 BACKGROUND MAP-21 - Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century LRTP requirements are similar to SAFETEA-LU More focused on performance-based approach 3
4 State-ofthe-art analysis tool used in the transportation planning process What is a Travel Demand Model and its Purpose? Title Travel Page Demand Model Transportation Network Characteristics Origin Destination Model Inputs Socioeconomic Data 1. Trip Generation How Many Trips? 2. Trip Distribution Where are they going? 3. Mode Choice What mode are they using? 4. Trip Assignment What route will they use? Model Outputs Transportation network with forecasted volumes and other metrics Identify deficiencies and prioritize projects 4
5 Travel Demand Model (TDM) Application Future traffic will be mainly driven by the future socioeconomic data provided by MPO TDM will provide general guidance on where the volume is Title exceeding Page the capacity and help to identify roadway deficiencies Is not sufficient to Sub determine/confirm Titles the logical termini, which requires additional information like traffic counts, sub-area validation and assessment of environmental impacts. 5
6 Cartersville Modeling and MPO Boundary 6
7 Updates on Major Activities Preparation of socioeconomic data (MPO) Development and validation of Base Year 2010 Model Development of 2040 Do-Nothing Scenario (Projects Body provided Text by MPO) System performance evaluation 7
8 GDOT 2010 Model PowerPoint Inputs 8
9 2010 Highway Network Model network includes roadways that are classified as Collector or above; Only local roads that provide regional connectivity or have impact to major routes are selected to be included in the model network. 9
10 180,000 Socioeconomic Data for Bartow County - Provided by MPO Staff 169, , , , ,000 71% 99, ,000 60,000 42% 79% 64,165 71% 40,000 32,749 46,435 35,781 25,374 43,429 20,000 - Total Population Total Employment Total Household School Enrollment 10
11 GDOT Base PowerPoint Year 2010 Model Title Validation Page 11
12 Socioeconomic Data Trip Generation 2010 Model Validation Trip Generation Calibration Measure Target Range / Value (1) Min Max Model Results Persons / Household Workers / Household School / Population Person Trips Per Household Person Trips Per Person HBW Trips / Employee Shopping Trips / Retail Employment 5.0 P/A Ratio Before Balancing (HBW) P/A Ratio Before Balancing (HBO) P/A Ratio Before Balancing (HBShop) P/A Ratio Before Balancing (NHB) * HBW: Home-based Work * HBS: Home-based Shopping * HBO: Home-based Other * NHB: Non Home-based * P/A Ratio: Production to attraction ratio Source: (1) GDOT General Summary of Recommended Travel Demand Model Development Procedures for Consultants, MPOs and Modelers, May
13 2010 Model Validation Model Highway Mileage & Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) by Facility Type Functional Classification Mileage (miles) VMT (000,miles) VMT Distribution Observed (1) Model Observed (1) Model Observed (1) Model VMT Comparison (Model vs. Observed) Difference (000,miles) % Interstate/Freeway ,166 2, % 50.8% -41-2% Principal Arterial % 18.9% -55-7% Minor Arterial % 19.9% 0 0% Collectors % 10.4% 46 12% Total ,235 4, % 100% % (1) 2010 GDOT VMT GDOT Mileage by Route and Road System Report
14 GDOT Base PowerPoint Year 2010 Model Title Outputs Page 14
15 2010 Total Daily Modeled Traffic Volumes 15
16 Level of Service (LOS) Based on Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2010 methodology LOS was GDOT derived using PowerPoint the Travel Demand Model LOS compares Title volumes Page along the roadway to the capacity of that roadway LOS A LOS B LOS C LOS D LOS E LOS F 16
17 2010 Daily Level of Service (LOS) Based on Modeled Volume 17
18 GDOT Future PowerPoint Year 2040 Model Results 18
19 2040 Do-Nothing Project List Major capacity projects that are provided by MPO Staff: (Includes Federal, State and Local projects) Project ID Primary Primary Work Existing Proposed Length Description County Type Lane Lane (Miles) BARTOW SR 3/US 41 AND SR 61/US 411 INTERCHANGE RECONSTRUCTION Interchange BARTOW SR 20 WB FM MP TO MP Passing Lanes BARTOW SR 20 FM I-75 TO SR 61/US 411 PART RELOCATION Widening BARTOW SR 113 FM CR 31 TO RICHLAND OLD ALA RD RELOC -PH III Widening * BARTOW SR RACCOON CREEK Bridges * BARTOW SR RICHLAND CREEK Bridges MPO-1 BARTOW Burnt Hickory Road extension from Widgeon Way to US 411 at Shaw Ind. New Construction * Project included as it is within the limits of Project # Projects that are not included: Project ID Primary County Description Reasons why they are not included BARTOW CR 232/ IRON BELT NANCY CREEK 3.3 MI NW OF CARTERSVILLE Bridges (Non-capacity expansion) BARTOW CR 633/GLADE RD FM CR 705/CATFISH COURT TO CR 389/SUGAR HILL Intersection Improvement BARTOW CS 510/PUBLIC SQUARE FROM MAIN ST TO WOOD ST - PHASE IV TE-Bike/Ped Facility BARTOW OFF-SYSTEM SAFETY 13 CR LOCS IN BARTOW COUNTY Pavement Markings BARTOW BARTOW COUNTY ARRA C230 RESURFACING PROGRAM Resurface & Maintenance BARTOW OFF-SYSTEM SAFETY 16 LOC IN BARTOW CO - PH II Pavement Markings BARTOW SR PUMKINVINE CREEK - EMERGENCY PROJ - BARTOW-1 Emergency Repairs BARTOW OFF-SYSTEM SAFETY 21 CS LOC IN BARTOW COUNTY Pavement Markings BARTOW CS 1010/BURNT HICKORY CSX #918560W RRX Warning Device BARTOW CR 628/EUHARLEE CSX #639332N RRX Warning Device BARTOW OFF-SYSTEM SAFETY 9 CR LOCS IN BARTOW COUNTY Pavement Markings BARTOW OFF-SYSTEM SAFETY 10 CS LOCS IN CARTERSVILLE Signing 19
20 2040 Total Daily Modeled Traffic Volumes 20
21 2040 Do-Nothing Daily Level of Service (LOS) 21
22 Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Functional Classification by Facility Type Do-Nothing MPO Area VMT MPO Area VMT GDOT (Vehicle PowerPoint Miles) (Vehicle Miles) Percent Change Freeway 2,124,851 2,811, % Principal Arterial 790,878 1,132, % Minor Arterial 833,616 1,263, % Collectors 435, , % Total 4,184,573 6,040, % 22
23 7,000,000 6,000,000 Daily Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) by Level of Service 10.3% 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000, % 27.2% 3.2% 20.7% 75.7% 44.0% 18.5% 2010 Model VMT 2040 Do-Nothing Model VMT LOS C or Better LOS D LOS E LOS F 23
24 Daily Vehicle Hours Traveled (VHT) Functional Classification by Facility Type 2010 MPO Area 2040 Do-Nothing VHT MPO Area VHT GDOT (Vehicle PowerPoint Hours) (Vehicle Hours) Percent Change Freeway 44,944 95, % Principal Arterial 22,662 51, % Minor Arterial 26,474 64, % Collectors Body 12,388 Text 32, % Total 106, , % 24
25 GDOT Next PowerPoint Steps 25
26 MPO Next Steps Provide project lists for future year LRTP Scenarios GDOT Evaluate remaining future year LRTP Scenarios upon receiving project lists Provide level of service (LOS) maps to MPO planners to prioritize projects 26
27 2040 LRTP Scenarios 2nd network: Do-Nothing (completed) 3rd network: Existing + Committed (E+C) 4th network: GDOT Completion PowerPoint of STIP and CWP projects 5 th Network*: STIP/TIP + Remainder of system projects prior to long range 6 th Network*: Long Range Transportation Plan system projects 7th network: Financially Constrained Plan * Note: Removed per direction provided by 2/18/15 from Tom Sills 27
28 28
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