Exponential transformation: the future is better than we think!

Transcription

1 Exponential transformation: the future is better than we think!

2

3

4

5 But the future is better than we think!

6 Within the next 20 years, technology will enable us to: Address global food shortages Stop or even reverse global warming Prevent or slow-down many major diseases Cheaply desalinate as much water as we need Solve the energy problem (i.e. reach abundance)

7 The future is already here, it s just unevenly distributed (W.Gibson)

8 Advances in material sciences We are at the pivot point of exponential change Digital Money & Blockchain Artificial Intelligence IA/AI Extreme Longevity Ageing X Smart-everything The Internet of Things Hyper-connectivity

9 Humanity will change more in the next 20 years than the previous 300 years

10

11 Data is the new Oil. AI is the new electricity. The IoT is the new nervous system. It could be heaven or it could be hell!

12 Science fiction is increasingly becoming science fact

13 Science fiction is increasingly becoming science fact

14 Science fiction is increasingly becoming science fact

15

16

17

18

19 Platforms are eating pipelines and silos

20 Platforms are eating pipelines and silos

21 Quantum Computing: get ready for a world of almost unlimited computing power (ETA 5-7 years)

22 Very soon, the question is no longer if technology can do something but why, and who

23 The future is no longer a timeframe - it s a mindset! E X P COMBINATORIAL O OPEN N E CONVERGENT N T I HOLISTIC A L

24 Neuroscience Cloud / Quantum computing Bio-Technologies Personalized medicine

25 The Megashifts: our script for the next 10 years

26 Fuelled by the Megashifts - some examples

27 Fuelled by the Megashifts - some examples

28 Fuelled by the Megashifts - some examples

29 Datafication + Cognification + Automation: Smart Everything

30 Datafication + Cognification + Virtualisation + Augmentation

31 Datafication + Cognification + Virtualisation + Augmentation

32 Beware: consumers love convenience but they also fear technological domination

33 Beware: consumers love convenience but they also fear technological domination

34

35 Technology is exponential but humans are not.

36 Mobile devices are already our external brains But all extensions of man are also amputations (Mc Luhan)

37 Mobile devices are already our external brains But all extensions of man are also amputations (Mc Luhan)

38

39

40 "Ethics is knowing the difference between what you have a right (or the power) to do and what is the right thing to do adapted from Potter Stewart

41 Your position on this issue will define your success

42 Google NOT Duplex official Google Duplex video

43 Rebooting marketing: how to reach people without overreaching?

44 Rebooting marketing: how to reach people without overreaching?

45 Global technology leaders will not to earn their license to operate, legally, socially and ethically

46 Global technology leaders will not to earn their license to operate, legally, socially and ethically

47 Global technology leaders will not to earn their license to operate, legally, socially and ethically

48 Global technology leaders will not to earn their license to operate, legally, socially and ethically

49

50 Datamining DataMyning

51 Data is great, but DATAISM is not If you torture data long enough it will confess to anything Ronald Coase

52 Artificial Smartness Human Intelligence Focus on IA (intelligent assistance), be cautious with AI, contain AGI

53 Whatever is very simple for a human is very hard for a computer, and whatever is very hard for a human is simple for a computer Hans Morajec

54 Computers are for answers, people are for questions (hat-tip to Kevin Kelly)

55 Machines don t do relationships!

56

57 Culture is still the biggest factor defining success or failure

58 The end of routine is coming: the imminent redefinition of work, education and economic logic

59 The end of routine is coming: the imminent redefinition of work, education and economic logic But the end of routine does not have to mean the end of human work

60 because anything that cannot be digitized or automated will become even more valuable

61 Summary and key take-aways 1.The future is better than we think - we just need to focus on magic not toxic! 2.The ticket to the future: think exponential, combinatorial, open, converged, holistic 3.Humans and machines are increasingly overlapping; Data is the new oil, AI is the new electricity, the Internet of Things is the new nervous system, thus 4.Leadership in Digital Ethics (ethics of technology) is essential! 5.Smart machines humans: beware dataism and machine thinking 6.The end of routine is not the end of work: be more human not less!

62

63 The future belongs to those that can hear it coming David Bowie

64 Thanks for your time!