Location Prediction Identification

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1 Robert J. Novak, Ph.D. Professor of Medicine Division of Infectious Diseases William C. Gorgas Center for Geographic Medicine University Alabama at Birmingham School of Medicine Location Prediction Identification

2 Invasion map of Anopheles gambiae s.l. in Brazil. Predicted ranges of A, Anopheles arabiensis and B, A. gambiae developed from the native range models (Figure 1) and projected onto climate data from 1931 to 1960 for South America.( Levine et al 2004 ASTMH 70:105 09). Operational Map used during the Malaria and Yellow Fever Aedes aegypti Eradication Campaigns

3 Location of mosquito oviposition sites along the Sangamon River In Central Illinois, Distribution of Aedes aegypti and Dengue cases in a Rio Piedras Urbanization, Puerto Rico,

4 Evolution of satellite sensor resolution Landsat 30m data Landsat ETM + 15m data Mutispectral Thermal Imager at 5m SPOT at 2.5m data IKONOS at 1 m data QuickBird at 0.61m Progression of West Nile Virus Epidemic by Location and Time, 2002.

5 Effect of birds on the transmission dynamics of WNV Landscape Why does WNV activity peak in late summer? mosquitoes weather birds Assistance from MADs WHY?? First sign of WNV activity Importance in the zoonotic cycle?? Crow Roost locations in Champaign and GIS Radio Tracking

6 Kriging is a geostatistical technique to predict the values of a random field at an unobserved location from sampled observations at nearby locations. Predictive map of Culex erraticus habitats in Tuskegee, Alabama overlaid onto QuickBird data. Distribution of risk exposure of West Nile virus in Chicago Application of High Resolution Imagery and GIS for Epidemiological Studies

7 QuickBird at 0.6 meter per pixel WorldView at 0.2 meter pixel QuickBird O.61m image of the Kangichiri, Mwea Rice Scheme, Kenya Operational Map used during the Eradication Campaigns versus 2010 QuickBird Satellite Image with 0.6 Meter resolution.

8 Key Input Elements: Community Based = Evidence Based Data System 0.6m QuickBird Image with digitized grid Entomological Data Menu Adult Density Indoor Biting Collections EIR Larval Abundance Aquatic habitats Habitat productivity Family Information Menu House location House type Children Animals Roof type Cell phone number Mosquito Control Menu indoor type outdoor timing A single location multiple data menu system Parasitology Data Menu Thick smear plasmodium type therapy Environmental Data Menu flood pattern shade containers water sources Personal Protection Menu bed nets usage types location San Juan de Lurigancho Peru Valley and Prison

9 Location of Health Clinics San Juan de Lurigancho, Peru. Geographical clusters of MDR TB in San Juan de Lurigancho, Peru associated with a Prison. Environmental Variables that may Effect MDR TB Transmission Prison Urban Land Cover Vegetation Hydrology

10 Simulation Model of MDR TB transmission overlaid on Location based QuickBirddata. Intensity of multidrug resistence of kernel estimation (red=cases, black=controls) QuickBird at 0.6 meter per pixel WorldView at 0.2 meter pixel Ground control coordinates of Simulium damnosum s.l. breeding sites on Landsat data with a 25 km buffer around each collection site.

11 GIS polygon of Precambrian rock and associated hydrological attribute data associated S. damnosum. Remote masking of S.damnosum s.l. habitat with Precambrian rock

12 Spectral signature of the S. damnsoum s.l. habitat and Precambrian rock polygon at the Dienkoa study site The S. damnsoum s.l. habitat and Precambrian rock pixel in terms of endmember spectral composition (i.e., red, green, blue) Tire signatures with predicted site in Alabama Reflectance SPECTRAL PROFILE OF A USED TIRE Wavelength (nanometers) Montogomery Easting Northing Pile Pile Pile Pile Pile Pile

13 Waste tire site in Jefferson County, Alabama Backyard Swimming Pools Los Angeles County California. Band Data from Other Satellites used with QuickBird & WorldView GOES8 18 thermal bands, CO 2,SO 2,ozone, water vapor Thermal 3 D Atmosphere MODIS CO (ppb) MODIS Dust, water vapor MODIS Chlorophyll

14 Digital Globe Data Center Databases Web Services WorldView 2 imagery and derived habitat information PHDIS: a Portal to actionable insight Health Data Sources Historical data Survey data Clinical data Environmental data Census data Complaints Historical & Forecast Weather Government awhere Enterprise Location Based Business Intelligence Environment Integrated Public Health Consortium LBI Forecast Database models Spatial Reporting Analytics Services User Web Management Services PHDIS Spatial Content Notification Sampling Management Services System Information Distribution and Feedback Notifications and Reports Forums Blogs Web Map, Chart, Table Visualizations Query and Filtering Tools Downloads RSS Feeds Feedback/Upload SMS Web Services Data Feeds Field Staff Regional Offices Public Health Organizations Public Government Offices Integrated Malaria Surveillance System

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