A EUROCONTROL View on the Research Needs & the Network of Centres of Excellence

Transcription

1 A EUROCONTROL View on the Research Needs & the Network of Centres of Excellence ANDRIBET Pierre 31 st January 2007 European Organisation for the Safety of Air Navigation 1

2 SESAR Definition Phase will identify Research needs WP 2.3.2: Validation needs WP 3.4.2: R&D Master Plan WP &4.3.3: Research Work Programme 07/06 12/06 06/07 11/07 02/08 03/08 Air Air Transport ATM Framework: ATM Performance The The Targets Current Targets Current Situation ATM ATM Target Target Concept Concept ATM ATM Deployment Sequence ATM ATM Master Master Plan Plan of of Action Action Work Work Programme for for D 3 D 5 D 6 2

3 One view of the potential Research for SESAR What do we mean by Research for SESAR? Some ideas on the main potential Research activities. A paradigm shift in the organisation of Research in Europe. 3

4 From a vision to implementation: Research - a mandatory step Concept selection R & D Technology development and Validation Systems and Equipments development Deployment D 3 06/

5 Concept selection R & D Technology development and Validation Systems and Equipments development Deployment D 3 06/

6 The main objective of is to Provide evidence, or otherwise, that the SESAR 2020 Concept of Operation: is safe in principle can attain the proposed level of performance is environmentally efficient and is operationally viable 6

7 Operational viability assessment New concept will impact operators Performance and Environment & organisation: impact assessment CDM for 4D trajectory management from strategic planning Safety to assessment pre-tactical deconfliction New repartition of roles for Separation Management, => Validation of working procedures: HIL simulations Prototyping HF experimentations Validation of collaborative processes: Modelisation of actors behaviours Trials with real data Validation of optimisation algorithms: Optimisation of trajectories Controllers Tools AOC/Mil Pilots The Human at the centre of the concept LANDSIDE AIRSIDE ATC Civ/Mil Operational viability assessment 7

8 Operational viability assessment Performance and Environment impact assessment Provide the evidence that the Safety assessment system can attain the required level of performances: Capacity X3 Environmental impact - 10% Predictability -1mn/+3mn Using 2020 traffic forecast: Analytical modelling, F/T simulation, Noise and emission modelling, ATFM modelling Performance and Environment impact Assessment 8

9 SARPS ICAO Operational viability assessment Performance and Environment impact assessment Safety assessment Provide evidence that the system can maintain today's level of safety with tomorrows traffic: Safety level X10 Apportioning TLS: Using a holistic top-down modelling (Integrated Risk Picture-IRP) As a first cycle of certification process: Following EUROCAE / RTCA process OSED & OHA Operational Operational Performance Hazard Analysis Analysis Allocate Safety Objectives & Requirements European ETSO European Technical Equipment Standards Specification Order ED 78A IRP SPR Safety & Performance INTEROP Interoperability Requirement Requirement Specification Specification Aircraft ANSP User Ground System Implementing Air System Rules Community Implementing Specification Rules Guidance Community Material Specification MOPS Guidance Material Minimum Operational Performance MOPS Specification Minimum Operational Performance Specification Environmental Conditions Specifications Development Methodology Specifications Platform Customisation Suppliers Options & Add-Ons CFIT Taxiway collision Mid-air collision Runway collision WV Risk Classification Fault Tree Model Influence Model Safety Assessment 9

10 Approach Two or three Cycles: Cycle 1: Generic Validation; Cycle 2: Refinement (Local Specific). Potentially a 3rd cycle for final refinement SESAR Definition phase SESAR Definition Phase Macro & System Model Analytical Fast Time Results Trade-Off and Results consolidation and conclusions and Trade-off Macro & System Model Analytical Fast Time Results Final Trade-Off and Results consolidation and conclusions and Trade-off EUROCAE / RTCA formalism Human In Loop Cycle 1 Generic Assessment Human in Loop Cycle 2 Local Specific Assessment 10

11 Concept selection R & D Technology development and Validation Systems and Equipments development Deployment D 3 06/

12 Technology development and Validation The main objective of Technology development and validation is: To identify the impact of the future concept on the ATM system architecture, To assess the technological feasibility of the required evolution, To provide the evidence that the ATM system can deliver the required performances. 12

13 Technology development and Validation System Architecture studies Design of Architecture Technology feasibility evolution Design and prototyping of Network centric backbone: Exchange Mechanism Middleware, System Performance assessment System Architecture studies 13

14 Technology development and Validation System Architecture studies Technology feasibility Identification and feasibility System Performance assessment studies (prototyping) of critical elements: A/G trajectory exchanges, FMS / TP accuracy, CDM mechanisms, Controller tools, Cockpit evolutions, Technology feasibility 14

15 Technology development and Validation System Architecture studies Technology feasibility System Performance assessment System performance modelling (System Capacity, Response times, Reliability ) Large scale trials System performance assessment 15

16 A tight time scale YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5 Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Architecture studies Cycle 3 Feasibility studies component 1 Feasibility studies component n Large scale trials 16

17 Research Infrastructure : Modelling tools for performance assessments: Network models, F/T simulators Experimental Real Time simulators: ATC, TMA, TWR, CDM Human Factors evaluation tools Technology validation: Prototypes, Architecture modelling Huge gaps exist in current environment, Need to: Fill the gaps Federate European infrastructure EATRADA initiative to assess existing tools, identify gaps, and recommend solutions SESAR definition phase WP2.3.2 and WP 4.2 to complement the analysis 17

18 How to organise All European R&D actors (ANSPs, R&D centres, EUROCONTROL, Industry) need to federate, Need for an integrated programme to synchronise and consolidate results, SESAR JU will organise an adequate management structure. 18

19 Thank You 19