Compilation and Application of International Input-Output Tables: IDE-JETRO s Joint Projects
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1 Compilation and Application of International Input-Output Tables: IDE-JETRO s Joint Projects Bo MENG (IDE-JETRO, Japan) Satoshi INOMATA (IDE-JETRO, Japan) Yaxiong ZHANG (State Information Center, China) International Workshop, 2012/02/01, Jetro, Tokyo. 1
2 Part I Asian International Input-Output Tables (AIIO Tables) Part II Transnational Interregional Input-Output Table between Japan and China (TIIO Table)
3 Some History of the IDE s AIIO Tables 1965: International IO Model (North America, Europe, Oceania, Latin America, Asia and Japan) 1966, 1971: International IO Model for ten Asian Countries : Some national IO tables (IND, SGP, THA) and bilateral IO tables 1982: Asian International IO Table for 1975 (8 countries, 56 sectors) 1992: Asian International IO Table for 1985 (10 economies, 77 sectors) Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand (ASEAN4), Korea, Singapore, Taiwan (NIEs3), China, Japan, USA 1998: Asian International IO Table for 1990 (10 economies, 78 sectors) 2001: Asian International IO Table for 1995 (10 economies, 78 sectors) 2006: Asian International IO Table for 2000 (10 economies, 76 sectors) 2012: Asian International IO Table for 2005 (10 ecomomies, 76 sectors)
4 Project Cooperation Members China: State Information Center Indonesia: Statistics Indonesia Korea: The Bank of Korea Malaysia: Department of Statistics The Philippines: National Statistics Office Singapore: Business Research Consultants Taiwan: Taiwan Research Institute Thailand: The National Economic and Social Development Board Japan: Applied Research Institute, Inc. In addition, many help from Prof. SANO Takao (Gifu Shotoku Gakuen University), METI s experts and so on.
5 Figure 5: Layout of Asian I-O Schematic Image of the AIO Table Intermediate Demand (A) Final Demand (F) Export (L) Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand China Taiwan Korea Japan U.S.A. Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand China Taiwan Korea Japan U.S.A. Export to H.Kong Export to EU Export to R.O.W. Discrepancy Total Outputs code (AI) (AM)(AP) (AS) (AT) (AC)(AN)(AK) (AJ) (AU) (FI) (FM) (FP) (FS) (FT) (FC) (FN) (FK) (FJ) (FU) (LH) (LO)(LW)(QX) (XX) Indonesia (AI) A II A IM A IP A IS A IT A IC A IN A IK A IJ A IU F II F IM F IP F IS F IT F IC F IN F IK F IJ F IU L IH L IO L IW Q I X I Malaysia (AM) A MI A MM A MP A MS A MT A MC A MN A MK A MJ A MU F MI F MM F MP F MS F MT F MC F MN F MK F MJ F MU L MH L MO L MW Q M X M Philippines (AP) A PI A PM A PP A PS A PT A PC A PN A PK A PJ A PU F PI F PM F PP F PS F PT F PC F PN F PK F PJ F PU L PH L PO L PW Q P X P Singapore (AS) A SI A SM A SP A SS A ST A SC A SN A SK A SJ A SU F SI F SM F SP F SS F ST F SC F SN F SK F SJ F SU L SH L SO L SW Q S X S Thailand (AT) A TI A TM A TP A TS A TT A TC A TN A TK A TJ A TU F TI F TM F TP F TS F TT F TC F TN F TK F TJ F TU L TH L TO L TW Q T X T China (AC) A CI A CM A CP A CS A CT A CC A CN A CK A CJ A CU F CI F CM F CP F CS F CT F CC F CN F CK F CJ F CU L CH L CO L CW Q C X C Taiwan (AN) A NI A NM A NP A NS A NT A NC A NN A NK A NJ A NU F NI F NM F NP F NS F NT F NC F NN F NK F NJ F NU L NH L NO L NW Q N X N Korea (AK) A KI A KM A KP A KS A KT A KC A KN A KK A KJ A KU F KI F KM F KP F KS F KT F KC F KN F KK F KJ F KU L KH L KO L KW Q K X K Japan (AJ) A JI A JM A JP A JS A JT A JC A JN A JK A JJ A JU F JI F JM F JP F JS F JT F JC F JN F JK F JJ F JU L JH L JO L JW Q J X J U.S.A. (AU) A UI A UM A UP A US A UT A UC A UN A UK A UJ A UU F UI F UM F UP F US F UT F UC F UN F UK F UJ F UU L UH L UO L UW Q U X U Freight and Insurance (BF) BA I BA M BA P BA S BA T BA C BA N BA K BA J BA U BF I BF M BF P BF S BF T BF C BF N BF K BF J BF U Import from H. Kong (CH) A HI A HM A HP A HS A HT A HC A HN A HK A HJ A HU F HI F HM F HP F HS F HT F HC F HN F HK F HJ F HU Import from EU (CO) A OI A OM A OP A OS A OT A OC A ON A OK A OJ A OU F OI F OM F OP F OS F OT F OC F ON F OK F OJ F OU Import from the R.O.W. (CW) A WI A WM A WP A WS A WT A WC A WN A WK A WJ A WU F WI F WM F WP F WS F WT F WC F WN F WK F WJ F WU Duties & Import Taxes (DT) DA I DA M DA P DA S DA T DA C DA N DA K DA J DA U DF I DF M DF P DF S DF T DF C DF N DF K DF J DF U Value Added (VV) V I V M V P V S V T V C V N V K V J V U Total Inputs (XX) X I X M X P X S X T X C X N X K X J X U
6 Compilation Process of the AIIO Table Adjustment of presentation format Preparation of sector concordance (HS/SITC- NIO-AIO) and supplementary data Linking of the tables Balancing work
7 Adjustment of Presentation Format
8 Similarity to the Japanese I-O table korea 0.65 indonesia philippines Presentaion format malaysia thailand usa 0.45 taiwan 0.4 china singapore Industrial classification Source: Inoamta (2006) Japanese I-O Table Column=405 8
9 Responsiveness to the 1993 SNA Rank Country rate * 1 PHILIPPINES USA THAILAND KOREA JAPAN SINGAPORE INDONESIA MALAYSIA CHINA TAIWAN * The percentage rates of the number of questions in section 7 of the questionnaire to which the country gave the answer that follows the SNA recommendation. Source: Inoamta (2006) 9
10 Special Survey on Industrial Demand of Imported Goods Commodity Description SITC Code Code of Origin Country C.I.F. Import Value (Unit: Pesos) Duties & Import Comm. Taxes (Unit : Pesos) Int l Freight & Insurance (Unit : Pesos) Distribution of the C.I.F. Import Value (Using Sector / Destination) I-O Code Value (Unit: Pesos) rice HH Share (%) meat, dried, salted or smoked ,991 1,563 5, , , , , HH 84, OH 9, The total of distribution values should be the same as for the amount imported. The total of the percentage share should be 100%. Source: Kuwamori (2008), AIO Series No 70.
11 Balancing Work
12 Adjustment Procedure
13 Current Limitations and Possible Extensions Valuation (from producer s price to basic price)? Treatment of international trade in services? Add more Asian countries (India, Vietnam )? Consider EU as an endogenous region? Estimate of constant price? Others (example: OECD s end-use trade, CEPII s BACI)
14 Asian Intermediate trade in goods
15 Trade in Value Added induced by a country s import of final products (Consumption-base ) USA USA Thailand Singapore Philippines Taiwan Taiwan Malaysia Korea Korea Japan Japan Indonesia China China Unit: Million US$ China Indonesia Japan Korea Malaysia Taiwan Philippines Singapore Thailand USA (C) IDE-JETRO All rights reserved. 16
16 Trade in Value Added induced by a country s export of final products (Production-base ) USA USA Thailand Singapore Philippines Taiwan Taiwan Malaysia Korea Korea Japan Japan Indonesia China China 5000 Unit: Million US$ China Indonesia Japan Korea(C) Malaysia IDE-JETRO Taiwan All rights reserved. Philippines Singapore Thailand USA 17
17 Part II Transnational Interregional Input-Output Table between Japan and China (TIIO Table) 18
18 Organizations involved in the 2000 TIIO project Japan: IDE-JETRO (project manager) Japan: Applied Research Institute, Inc. (ARI) China: State Information Center (SIC) Some experts from Japan s National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management (NILIM), Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport of Japan; Pacific Consultants Co,. LTD. In addition, the original idea of compiling the TIIO table is from OKAMOTO Nobuhiro (a previous IDE researcher; Associate Professor, Daito Bunka University) 19
19 Data collection and estimation The 1997 interregional IO table of China The 2000 interregional IO table of Japan The 2000 Asian international IO table (used as Contral Total) The 2000 commodity flow data by port between China and Japan (NILIM) 20
20 Intermediate Demand (A) Final Demand (F) ASEAN5 China-region 1 China-region n China-region 7 Japan-region 1 Japan-region n Japan-region 8 East Asia United States International Freight and Insurance ASEAN5 China-region 1 China-region n China-region 7 Japan-region 1 Japan-region n Japan-region 8 East Asia United States ASEAN5 China-region 1 China-region n China-region 7 Japan-region 1 Japan-region n Japan-region 8 East Asia United States Export to ROW Discrepancies Total Output code (AA00) (AC01) (AC0n) (AC07) (AJ01) (AJ0n) (AJ08) (AE00) (AU00) (FA00) (FC01) (FC0n) (FC07) (FJ01) (FJ0n) (FJ08) (FE00) (FU00) (LW) (QX) (XX) (AA00) A A00A00 A A00C01 A A00C0n A A00C07 A A00J01 A A00J0n A A00J08 A A00E00 A A00U00 F A00A00 F A00C01 F A00C0n F A00C07 F A00J01 F A00J0n F A00J08 F A00E00 F A00U00 L A00W Q A00 X A00 (AC01) A C01A00 A C01C01 A C01C0n A C01C07 A C01J01 A C01J0n A C01J08 A C01E00 A C01U00 F C01A00 F C01C01 F C01C0n F C01C07 F C01J01 F C01J0n F C01J08 F C01E00 F C01U00 L C01W Q C01 X C01 (AC0n) A C0nA00 A C0nC01 A C0nC0n A C0nC07 A C0nJ01 A C0nJ0n A C0nJ08 A C0nE00 A C0nU00 F C0nA00 F C0nC01 F C0nC0n F C0nC07 F C0nJ01 F C0nJ0n F C0nJ08 F C0nE00 F C0nU00 L C0nW Q C0n X C0n (AC07) A C07A00 A C07C01 A C07C0n A C07C07 A C07J01 A C07J0n A C07J08 A C07E00 A C07U00 F C07A00 F C07C01 F C07C0n F C07C07 F C07J01 F C07J0n F C07J08 F C07E00 F C07U00 L C07W Q C07 X C07 (AJ01) A J01A00 A J01C01 A J01C0n A J01C07 A J01J01 A J01J0n A J01J08 A J01E00 A J01U00 F J01A00 F J01C01 F J01C0n F J01C07 F J01J01 F J01J0n F J01J08 F J01E00 F J01U00 L J01W Q J01 X J01 (AJ0n) A J0nA00 A J0nC01 A J0nC0n A J0nC07 A J0nJ01 A J0nJ0n A J0nJ08 A J0nE00 A J0nU00 F J0nA00 F J0nC01 F J0nC0n F J0nC07 F J0nJ01 F J0nJ0n F J0nJ08 F J0nE00 F J0nU00 L J0nW Q J0n X J0n (AJ08) A J08A00 A J08C01 A J08C0n A J08C07 A J08J01 A J08J0n A J08J08 A J08E00 A J08U00 F J08A00 F J08C01 F J08C0n F J08C07 F J08J01 F J08J0n F J08J08 F J08E00 F J08U00 L J08W Q J08 X J08 (AE00) A E00A00 A E00C01 A E00C0n A E00C07 A E00J01 A E00J0n A E00J08 A E00E00 A E00U00 F E00A00 F E00C01 F E00C0n F E00C07 F E00J01 F E00J0n F E00J08 F E00E00 F E00U00 L E00W Q E00 X E00 (AU00) A U00A00 A U00C01 A U00C0n A U00C07 A U00J01 A U00J0n A U00J08 A U00E00 A U00U00 F U00A00 F U00C01 F U00C0n F U00C07 F U00J01 F U00J0n F U00J08 F U00E00 F U00U00 L U00W Q U00 X U00 (BF) BA A00 BA C01 BA C0n BA C07 BA J01 BA J0n BA J08 BA E00 BA U00 BF A00 BF C01 BF C0n BF C07 BF J01 BF J0n BF J08 BF E00 BF U00 Import from ROW (CW) A WA00 A WC01 A WC0n A WC07 A WJ01 A WJ0n A WJ08 A WE00 A WU00 F WA00 F WC01 F WC0n F WC07 F WJ01 F WJ0n F WJ08 F WE00 F WU00 Duties and Import Tax (DT) DA A00 DA C01 DA C0n DA C07 DA J01 DA J0n DA J08 DA E00 DA U00 DF A00 DF C01 DF C0n DF C07 DF J01 DF J0n DF J08 DF E00 DF U00 Value Added (VV) V A00 V C01 V C0n V C07 V J01 V J0n V J08 V E00 V U00 Total Input (XX) X A00 X C01 X C0n X C07 X J01 X J0n X J08 X E00 X U00 Notes: (1) n=2,,6 for China-region. (2) n=2,,7 for Japan-region. 21
21 Some new movements of China s Multiregional IO table towards the next joint TIIO projects IDE s next TIIO project for 2005: China+Japan+Korea SIC: Construction of the 2002, 2007 CMRIO tables 1) The entire development is based on 30 provinces 2) The estimation of interregional trade flow is mainly based on entropy and gravity models. 3) In cooperation with NBS, the basic survey data reflecting inter-province inflow and outflow in National Input-Output Survey 2007 is fully utilized in the estimation of interregional transaction matrix. 4) When conducting balance adjustment, each province s table are fully used in total control that the sum of all provinces parts equals national table. 22
22 Some difficulties and challenges during the compilation of CMRIO tables Inconsistence between the trade data in national IO table and customs trade data Adjustment to provincial processing trade and re-export data Balance adjustment (1) Converting provincial tables to "four-column" tables (2) Calculation of control totals of industries of provinces (3) Balance between national and province s table (4) Original errors in provincial input-output tables 23
23 Compilation of China s regional employment matrix Agricultural labors: who are engaged in agriculture Rural non-agricultural labors: who hold rural residential status and engage in activities in the secondary industry and services in rural areas Urban lowly educated labors in the secondary industry and services: who hold residential status and work in unskilled occupations in urban industries, and their education levels include no schooling, elementary, junior middle and senior middle school Urban highly educated labors in the secondary industry and services: who hold residential status and work in skilled occupations in urban industries, and their education levels include college, university, graduate and over. 24
24 25
25 Transnational impacts of Japan s final demand on China s regional employment Unit: thousand persons Services Transportation Trade Construction Electricity, gas and water supply Processing and assembling Basic industrial materials Household consumption products Mining and quarrying Agriculture 0 DongBei (North East) HuaBei (North Coast) HuaDong (East Coast) HuaNan (South Coast) HuaZhong (Central China) XiBei (North West) XiNan (South West) 26
26 Transnational impacts of Japan s final demand on China s regional employment Unit: thousand persons urban highly educated employment urban lowly educated employment rural non-agricultural employment Agricultural employment 0 DongBei (North East) HuaBei (North Coast) HuaDong (East Coast) HuaNan (South Coast) HuaZhong (Central China) XiBei (North West) XiNan (South West) 27
27 Thank you for your attention! 28
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