The World, Europe and You in the future

Transcription

1 The World, Europe and You in the future Jesper Bo Jensen, ph.d. Futurist Centre for Future Studies

2 Cities in the future The interweaved city a mixture of functions The company without office space The new nomads travelling from oasis to oasis The work day and leisure day as a long fractal route

3 European Population Growth The Silver Tsunami Population Growth

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5 The coming workforce of Europe? 190 million under 25 years in the Arab world

6 India s high-tech centre

7 Globalization 2.0 Outsourcing knowledge work and workers Specialized engineers, researchers, scientists, mathematicians and financial wiz kids Creativity White collar sweat shops: Digital retouch in Dacca Why? cheaper and closer to the markets We have to survive and thrive at the skills and technologies, where we are better that the rest of the world and possesses better market knowledge

8 Industrial Manufacturing the US still comes first

9 Kilde:The Economist, sept. 2th, 2014

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11 The worlds three biggest economies at PPP as % of worlds total

12 New lines of conflict USA China; EU China; China India, Russia EU/US EU USA or a trade agreement and possible reunion Russia's new role more than covert invasions, energy hostage taking or blackmailing? The rising star: Africa but where in Africa? South America Brazil., Mexico.. EU as a united player on the global scene? What about UK now and the former Euro crises? Could be either the start of a break up of EU or the path to unity

13 The history of USA The Boston Tea party (not the movement today) The minute men right to carry arms The long move from 13 colonies to more the 50 states The civil war The Monroe Doctrine Western Hemisphere First global involvement: The First World War and The Second World War Monopoly of Power

14 EU and the future EU is not a nation state and it is not the United States of Europe EU is on the road to the future and it is still uncertain where we will end All European countries or a selection? We have to find a way to create a new democratic entity, that is neither state, IGO or a federation we are forming the future and creating a new thing EU has achieved the most demanding goal already: No new wars between member state in almost 70 years The rest takes time and you have that!

15 Disruptive technology

16 New Technology Three steps A: Doing the old in at new way Combustion engine instead of a steam engine Computers calculating large mathematic formulas B: Doing something new that was prior not possible Cars and a Lorries, Word processers, PC, spreadsheet, photos, the Internet, video, automation, production robots C: Society change Suburbs, New distribution of the manufacturing process, Globalization Robots artificial intelligence, 3D printers, New ways of manufacturing

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19 Globalization 3.0 Automation, robots and higher efficiency in production lines in We will still manufacture goods in the US and in EU Less and less work costs in the final cost of the goods New technology replacing man power but also assuring industrial jobs and the manufacturing industry in the future Globalized lines of production with critical parts being made in Europa and the US

20 Six Generations Baby Boomers Born Post war generation educational boom Reinventing every phase of life Rock, beat, soul Tech: The pill Generation Y The smallest gen. Fun shoppers, great social skills, Myself inc., situational consumption managing many choices , PC, cell-phone Generation Jones Recently discovered Large generation Design, ethics, idea Against divorce, pro family tech: Stereo set Born Generation Z Between war gen., Project & trophy kids Be famous, groups based Digital natives Born Generation X The so-what generation Small after the pill Selfcenteret, extrovert Personal succes, Video, workaholics, love brands Born New Millenium After 9-11 generation Cultural homogenization EU as native soil Wi Fi (Wireless internet) Født

21 Babyboomers born The huge post war generation in the western world This generation is much better educated and has much more money & wealth compared to earlier generations Digital immigrant the technologies that they are familiar with is the pill, the television and the telephone Work life They like collective system (Europeans) that ensure that everybody is treated equally

22 Born More conscious and cynical consumers and employees Design, ethics, idea Anti - divorce, like family values, society is important Rebuilding the family and the family house Interrail- generation Status, position and money A successful life is family, career and Leisure all together a balanced life

23 Generations X born The first generation after the pill kids their parents really wanted The individual way and self-centered generation Brand enthusiasts Workaholics personal succes and status Results and salary Flexibility Shopping in box shops but more at more at net shops

24 The Young families (Generation Y ) Dad is a caring and loving person and he plays with the kids on the kitchen floor A new kind of family not only mom as the centre Want to do everything on the internet Among Peers love peers and peer review Do not understand texts written by a person over 50 Lounge and chill First video producing generation love selfies Facebook is a place to post your profile not your life

25 B, X og Y på arbejdspladsen

26 Generation Z Socialization: Kindergartens Inhabitant of the internet and internet shopping malls: The digital natives Can t remember a life without a PC and a cell-phone Let s find the best price of a product world wide Without the cell-phone I feel Naked Social networking is a must in life Personal recognition for what I say or do What s in it for me! Personal style over Brands Loves to create their own products, music, way of doing things

27 Born digital

28 Almost born and living on-line! (smartsphones all day and night) Socialized to individual and personal approach from parents, teacher and employers. Among Peers peer evaluation Sharing is caring, rating and tracking The digital way news, culture, information's, shopping, music and chatting. Multitasking but

29 Jesper Bo Jensen Fremforsk - Centre for Future Studies Balticagade 15, st. th Aarhus C E jbj@fremforsk.dk T M