The Singularity Arrives in 2025 Eric Kern Distinguished Engineer Lenovo Professional Services Robert Zuber Director DCG Product Marketing August 27, 2
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1 FUT3322BUS The Singularity Arrives in 2025 VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication #VMworld #FUT3322BUS
2 The Singularity Arrives in 2025 Eric Kern Distinguished Engineer Lenovo Professional Services Robert Zuber Director DCG Product Marketing August 27, 2017 VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication
3 Technological Advances Since 1950 VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 3
4 Moore s Law of Exponential Growth VMworld 2017 By Steve Jurvetson - CC BY 2.0, Ray Kurzweil postulates a law of accelerating returns in which the speed of technological change (and more generally, all evolutionary processes [18] ) increases exponentially, generalizing Moore's Law in the same manner as Moravec's proposal, and also including material technology (especially as applied to nanotechnology), medical technology and others. [19] Between 1986 and 2007, machines' application-specific capacity to compute information per capita roughly doubled every 14 months; the per capita capacity of the world's general-purpose computers has doubled every 18 months; the global telecommunication capacity per capita doubled every 34 months; and the world's storage capacity per capita doubled every 40 months. [20] Content: Not for publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 4
5 Evolutions Next Steps? VMworld 2017 Content: Not for Vernor Vinge We will soon create intelligences greater than our own. When this happens, human history will have reached a kind of singularity, an intellectual transition as impenetrable as the knotted space-time at the center of a black hole, and the world will pass far beyond our understanding. This singularity, I believe, already haunts a number of science-fiction writers. It makes realistic extrapolation to an interstellar future impossible. To write a story set more than a century hence, one needs a nuclear war in between... so that the world remains intelligible. publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 5
6 Singularity Elon Musk Vernor Vinge We will soon create intelligences greater than our own "AI is a fundamental existential risk for human civilization, and I don't think people fully appreciate that. Ray Kurzweil we ll get to a point where technical progress will be so fast that un-enhanced human intelligence won't keep pace. VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 6
7 Ancient Man s AI Assistant The Wolf Features: Voice controlled Low Power - Consumes meat for fuel Provides enhanced hearing, vision and smell Completely autonomous Enhanced defense mechanism Fiercely loyal VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 7
8 Lenovo Smart Assistant The Smart Hub for Your Modern Home VMworld 2017 Lenovo Smart Assistant with Amazon Alexa Voice Service is designed to give you a helping hand in and around your home. This voice-controlled, highdefinition speaker with far-field mics is there to assist whenever you need it. Want to know what the morning traffic is like? Forgot to order that book from Amazon? Need to hear your favorite playlist? Just ask Alexa. She has all the answers. Content: Not for publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 8
9 Lenovo Phab Pro 2 THE WORLD'S FIRST TANGO-ENABLED SMARTPHONE VMworld 2017 Content: Not for The Lenovo Phab 2 Pro is the first smartphone to include Tango, a new technology from Google that enables augmented reality (AR) gaming and utilities. All you have to do is look through the Phab 2 Pro, and you'll see objects and information overlaid onto the real world. You can use these features for both practical purposes and fun: measure items with just your phone, see how new furniture or decor will look in your home, and even raise virtual pets, to name a few. publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 9
10 Lenovo Glass C200 Lenovo New Glass C200 is a monocular smart glass system that recognizes and identifies real-life objects using AI technologies. VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 10
11 Lenovo daystar all-in-one AR Headset Jedi Challenge VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 11
12 Human Brain Project The Human Brain Project is a H2020 FET Flagship Project which strives to accelerate the fields of neuroscience, computing and brainrelated medicine. VMworld 2017 Content: Not for The often contentious, EU-funded Human Brain Project whose initial aim was fixed firmly on full-brain simulation is now in the midst of a reboot targeting a more modest goal development of informatics tools and data/knowledge repository for brain research. Think Google search engine and associated repository for brain researchers. It s still a massive effort. publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 12
13 Future Business s AI Assistant The HPC Cluster ,456 PetaflopsdisRpeak tr Compute nodes 48 Compute Racks n o i t ibu r o n o cati li on C 17 tent 0 2 d rl Omni-Path o w M V Full Fat-Tree Interconnect f t o :N b u p or >10X MareNostrum 3 Only 30% more power 14PB IBM ESS storage 13
14 New Lenovo ThinkSystem SD530 Intel Skylake 8160 Total of Ghz 3,255.6 GF Rpeak 96GB and 384GB RAM Mix of "Fat" and "Thin" nodes SSD Local scratch storage VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication Compute Nodes 14
15 1 2 Non blocking Fat tree Director switches 148 Edge switches 14 8 VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication or distribution Omni-Path Fabric 15
16 6,227.2 Petaflops Run on 3,087 nodes n o i t ibu r #13 Top500 June17 n io t a c bli t o N nt: t s i d or u p r fo te n o C 7 Fastest Intelld Xeon 201 Platinum System in the world r o w VM Greenest none accelerator system in Europe 16
17 14 SERVER PLATFORMS WORLD RECORD PERFORMANCE & RELIABILITY 7 VMworld 2017 Content: Not for STORAGE OFFERINGS REVOLUTIONIZED ECONOMICS 5 NETWORK SWITCHES OPTIMIZED CLOUD PERFORMANCE publication 2017 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 17
18 World Record Benchmarks 2017 Lenovo. All rights reserved. VMworld 2017 Industry Leading Reliability #1 Increasing productivity and lowering OPEX 1 Real-time Insights at the speed of digital business 31% lower TCO compared to competition 2 Faster boot and faster firmware updates 2x / 6x for smaller maintenance windows 3 Unique system design 12% less service time minimizes downtime 4 The compact ThinkSystem SD530 provides 150% More VDI sessions than prior generation 1U servers 5 Content: Not for publication Lenovo infrastructure mgmt over manual process 20x / 72% less time than competitive infrastructure mgmt tools 6 18
19 Attack the status quo Modernize your business by modernizing your data centers VMworld 2017 Content: Not for Transformative Services and Support Simplified Engineered Solutions publication Platforms 19
20 VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication
21 VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication
22 Elon Musk In the distant future, people may outlaw driving cars because it s too dangerous. You can t have a person driving a two-ton death machine. The problem is that at a lot of big companies, process becomes a substitute for thinking. You're encouraged to behave like a little gear in a complex machine. Frankly, it allows you to keep people who aren't that smart, who aren't that creative. The path to the CEO's office should not be through the CFO's office, and it should not be through the marketing department. It needs to be through engineering and design. VMworld 2017 Content: Not for publication 2016 Lenovo Internal. All rights reserved. 23
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