Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Getting More Human
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1 Weekly Barometer 25 janvier 2012 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Getting More Human July 2017 ATONRÂ PARTNERS SA 12, Rue Pierre Fatio 1204 GENEVA SWITZERLAND - Tel:
2 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 2 Investment Case Thanks to increasing computing power and big data, artificial intelligence (AI) has been expanding at a fast pace, with notably major advances in the fields of natural language processing and computer vision In the long run, AI will combine software recreating the human thought process with mechatronic devices able to replicate the five human senses AI finds many applications in data-rich industries (banking, advertising/marketing ) where it can improve corporations efficiency through the collection, processing and analysis of data It is also expected to play a major role in the industrial world, where robotics adoption should accelerate as the growing sophistication and falling costs of robots and increasing labor costs in emerging markets make them an attractive ROI proposition The expected development of the Internet of Things could give another massive boost to AI applications over coming years (smart cars, smart homes and smart factories) AI and Robotics Certificate details Issuing bank: Natixis, Calculation agent: Natixis SA ISIN: XS Currency: USD Fees: 1.65% management fee + 15% performance fee, high water mark Bloomberg ticker: NXSRARTI
3 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 3 Tech vendors Industrial applications Consumer applications
4 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 4 From Automation To Intelligence Artificial Intelligence is about computer systems doing what is usually performed by the human intelligence Software recreating the human thought process Mechatronic Devices replicate the five human senses Artificial Intelligence
5 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 5 The 3rd And Final Stage Of Technological Evolution After Tools and Machines, Automation comes as the 3 rd step of technological evolution Tools To perform specific tasks Man brings motion Machines To motion tools Man brings control AI The removal of human control from the machine
6 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 6 The History Of Artificial Intelligence
7 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 7 Video Games Have Been A Field Of Experimentation For AI The relation between AI and video games is as strong as ever: AI technology adds realistic, intelligent behavior to the virtual creatures that populate a game world Video games are a major area of experimentation for AI The central processing unit or CPU is the brain of the computer The graphics processor unit or GPU makes possible realistic graphics The combination of a CPU with a GPU can deliver the best value of system performance and power 1,202 CPUs and 176 GPUs used by the Google DeepMind AI to win against the Go game Virtual Reality is the next evolution in gaming Game developers now have to come up with intelligent digital environments
8 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 8 Big Data And Computing Power Are The Two Main Catalysts Increasing data Increasing processing power Data (structured & unstructured) is mandatory for training AI algorithms Advanced processors are key to AI development In 2020, digital data is expected to be 50 times bigger than in 2013 (source: IDC) Computing power now at the level of the mouse brain Source: The Times
9 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 9 M&A Activity Picking Up Source: CBInsights
10 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 10 Main Applications Gaming Augmented Reality Learning Scientific Research & Biotech Virtual Reality Smart Home Legal & Finance Knowledge Automation AI Internet of Things Facility Management, Amazon Go CRM & Marketing Smart meters Robotics Farming Smart Cars Industry
11 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 11 A Key Driver Of Productivity In The Services Business AI-as-a-service is a major catalyst Cloud-industry leaders like Amazon or Microsoft already provide AI-as-a-service making access to AI affordable to most companies AI applications are numerous in services businesses Companies get access to new revenue streams and/or better efficiencies through tools helping them to: better price product and services, detect and prevent fraud, predict future losses track and analyze marketing campaigns, KPIs and customer behavior to identify marketing opportunities define, measure, and manage risk (credit scoring ) automate back-office functions
12 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 12 Robotics And Automation: AI Applied To The Industry Collaborative robots have a compelling ROI proposition: $30-40k on average vs. $50-250k (+ high integration costs) for traditional industrial robots they can work 24/7, never call in sick, never go on strike Current generations of robots are easier to program and come with features such as vision and touch technologies Collaborative robots can work alongside humans without a safety cage, meaning they can easily be deployed within a factory It s important to keep in mind that a robot is a combination of: steel, servo-motors, sensors, tools to perform tasks (such as cutting lasers and other equipment) and intelligence (OS, computing power, machine vision ) In our view, most of the value lies in the software and computing power
13 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 13 A Potentially Huge Economic Impact In a 2013 study, McKinsey estimated the annual positive impact of AI-related technologies on global GDP ($ 80 Tn) in the range of 6.5%-8.3% by 2025 Size in 2025, $ trillion Automation Of Knowledge Work The Internet Of Things Advanced Robotics Autonomous and Near Autonomous vehicles AI could double economic growth over the next 20 years in 12 developed economies (Accenture)
14 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 14 The Ultimate Goal For AI Scientists Artificial General Intelligence or AGI (Strong AI) A machine performing any tasks (including thinking and understanding) a human being would do Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) An AI system substantially beyond human intelligence by handling and taking as much information as possible into account We believe this won t be possible until quantum computing becomes truly available Quantum computation refers to encoding information as 0s, 1s or both simultaneously, unlike conventional digital computers where information is encoded by 0s and 1s Thanks to quantum computing: the power at which information can be manipulated and combined is gargantuan it becomes possible to work on billions of variables at the same time While we re still not there, we are moving fast as shown on the picture (Quantum computer at Google labs in 2016) quantum computing to be available at worst in 20 years, at best in ten years
15 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 15 How to play AI and Robotics? Technology providers (data collection) Sensors Positioning systems Social Media Cloud E-Commerce Internet of Things
16 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 16 How to play AI and Robotics? Technology providers (data processors) Data Indexing Computing Power Data analytics
17 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 17 How to play AI and Robotics? Consumer applications Autonomous Vehicles Home robots Personalized medicine Gaming & Virtual Reality
18 Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Certificate 18 How to play AI and Robotics? Industrial applications Industrial robots Machine vision Automation Cutting lasers and other tools
19 Disclaimer 19 This report has been produced by the organizational unit responsible for investment research (Research unit) of AtonRâ Partners and sent to you by the company sales representatives. As an internationally active company, AtonRâ Partners SA may be subject to a number of provisions in drawing up and distributing its investment research documents. These regulations include the Directives on the Independence of Financial Research issued by the Swiss Bankers Association. Although AtonRâ Partners SA believes that the information provided in this document is based on reliable sources, it cannot assume responsibility for the quality, correctness, timeliness or completeness of the information contained in this report. The information contained in these publications is exclusively intended for a client base consisting of professionals or qualified investors. It is sent to you by way of information and cannot be divulged to a third party without the prior consent of AtonRâ Partners. While all reasonable effort has been made to ensure that the information contained is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. Past performance is not indicative or a guarantee of future results. Investment losses may occur, and investors could lose some or all of their investment. Any indices cited herein are provided only as examples of general market performance and no index is directly comparable to the past or future performance of the Certificate. It should not be assumed that the Certificate will invest in any specific securities that comprise any index, nor should it be understood to mean that there is a correlation between the Certificate s returns and any index returns. Any material provided to you is intended only for discussion purposes and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security and should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities.
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