José Luis Cordeiro. The Future of Education and the Education of the Future. The Millennium Project Director, Venezuela Node

Transcription

1 José Luis Cordeiro The Millennium Project Director, Venezuela Node Singularity University NASA, Silicon Valley, California IDE JETRO METI, Tokyo, Japan The Future of Education and the Education of the Future

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3 The Millennium Project Global futurist think-tank with 50 nodes around the world

4 The Millennium Project recommended by Ban-Ki Moon in the UN 15 Global Challenges State of the Future Index Egypt 2020 Education in 2030 Future Arts/Media 2020 Latin America 2030 Environmental Security Other Futures Research And 10,000-page CD-ROM

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9 Education in 2030: The Possibilities 1. National programs for improving collective intelligence 2. Just in time knowledge and learning 3. Individualized education 4. Use of simulations 5. Continuous evaluation to prevent instability and/or becoming mentally ill. 6. Improved individual nutrition 7. Genetically increased intelligence 8. Use of global on-line simulations as a primary social science research 9. Use of public communications to reinforce pursuit of knowledge 10. Portable artificial intelligence 11. Complete mapping of human synapses to discover how learning occurs 12. Means for keeping adult brains healthier for longer 13. Chemistry for brain enhancement 14. Web Integrated life-long learning systems 16. Programs aimed at eliminating prejudice and hate 17. e-teaching 18. Smarter than human 19. Artificial microbes enhance intelligence

10 Likelihood of Possibilities Web 17.0 Integrated life-long learning systems Chemistry for brain enhancement Just in time knowledge and learning Use of public communications to reinforc Use of simulations e- Teaching Means for keeping adult brains healthier Individualized education Improved individual nutrition Global on-line simulations National programs for improving collecti Portable artificial intelligence devices Smarter than human computers Programs aimed at eliminating prejudice Continuous evaluation of individual learn Complete mapping of human synapses t Genetically increased intelligence Artificial microbes enhance intelligence Likelihood

11 Likelihood Most Likely: Web 17.0 Integrated life-long learning systems Chemistry for brain enhancement Just in time knowledge and learning Use of public communications to reinforce pursuit of knowledge Use of simulations Least Likely Genetically increased intelligence Artificial microbes enhance intelligence

12 Levels of Agreement The average judgments about likelihood range: from 79 percent (Web 17.0, an advanced form of Internet) to 30 percent (artificial microbes for enhancing intelligence) Almost all items had at least a respondent or two who: thought that the likelihood was zero thought the likelihood was about 100 percent A relatively high order of agreement with standard deviations ranging from 17.5 percent (the likelihood of an advanced Internet, Web 17.0) to the highest standard deviation, 27% (the likelihood of smarter than human computers)

13 Distribution of Opinions Percent of Responses in Each Quintile Artificial Microbes Web 17 Synapse Mapping

14 The brain: the final frontier!

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16 Silicon Valley: Singularity University Software innovations in education MIT+: OCW (OpenCourseWare) MIT-Harvard: EDx Australia: Moodle Silicon Valley: Khan Academy Silicon Valley: Udacity, Coursera

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19 Finland: tablets and facilitators Hardware innovations in education Japan: Riken Brain Institute Korea: from books to tablets in 2013 Korea: Robots as English teachers Silicon Valley: NeuroSky Australia: emotiv

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23 Singularity University

24 Changes are global and exponential

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27 Advisory Faculty Sonia Arrison, Senior Fellow, Pacific Research Institute Tom Byers, Faculty Director, Stanford Technology Ventures Program Vint Cerf, Vice President and Chief Internet Evangelist, Google Inc. Chris DiBona, Open Source Program Manager, Google Inc. Tim Ferriss, Author, The 4-Hour Workweek Larry Smarr, PhD, California Inst. for Telecom & Information Technology George Smoot, PhD, UC Berkeley; 2006 Nobel Prize in Physics Will Wright, Creator: SimCity, Spore; Founder, Maxis (Electronic Arts)

28 Graduate Studies Program Academic Tracks Technology Tracks 1. Artificial Intelligence & Robotics 2. Nanotechnology 3. Networks & Computing Systems 4. Biotechnology & Bioinformatics 5. Medicine & Neuroscience Application Tracks 1. Energy & Environmental Systems 2. Space & Physical Sciences Resource Tracks 1. Futures Studies & Forecasting 2. Policy, Law & Ethics 3. Finance, Entrepreneurship & Economics 28

29 10 Week Program phases: Innovation Engine

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32 Development is faster and faster China: outh Korea: Spain: Italy: Japan: USA: UK:

33 Japan: from bad toys to excellent computers in 30 years

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35 From manufacturing to mindfacturing

36 We need to add value: innovation

37 Sir Arthur C. Clarke with Jose Cordeiro

38 The Three Laws of Sir Arthur C. Clarke First Law: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong. Second Law: The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture a little way past them into the impossible. Third Law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.

39 Technologies of the past 30 years ago Personal computers 20 years ago Cell phones 10 years ago Google What will happen in 10 years? In 20 years? In 30 years? Immortal (ageless) cells!

40 Aging as a disease? And curable?

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43 Life extension results: today, now! x 3 times x 4 times x 6 times

44 Physical Immortality: Death of Death 1. Germinal cells (good) 2. Cancer cells (bad)

45 NBIC (Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno) National Science Foundation Department of Commerce

46 Technological Convergence NBIC Atoms Nano Bio Cells NBIC Bits Info Cogno Neurons

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48 3. Info (NBIC)

49 MIT Media Lab: $100 laptop

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53 Global brain?

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55 IBM s Watson won in Jeopardy! February 14-16, 2011

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62 Google Project Glass

63 4. Cogno (NBIC)

64 The triune brain: Paul MacLean, 1973 Reptilian (primitive): instincts Limbic (paleomammalian): emotions Neocortex (neomammalian): intelligence

65 Riken Brain Institute

66 Riken Brain Institute

67 What is a brain? 1 brain neurones synapsis computations (per second) And the mind? And the spirit? And the soul?

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70 Internal brain implants: Cyberkinetics Inc.

71 External brain implants

72 Robots in Japan and Korea

73 Asimo (Honda) evolution

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76 Yin-yang 阴阳 (and more yin-yang)

77 Light up the world

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80 Sábado 4 de mayo

81 Muchas gracias!