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1 [ ] [ ] ; [ ] ; ; ; [ ]I0-05 [ ]A [ ] (2011) [ ] (Scott Slovic)(1960 ) ( ) (Interdisciplinary Studies in Literature and Environment ISLE) [ ] (1962 ) ( ) Title: Science Eloquence and the Asymmetry of Trust: What s at Stake in Climate Change Fiction Author: Scott Slovic Abstract: This paper is to discuss the asymmetry of trust and the scientific uncertainty focusing on two specific climate change novels Susan Gaines s 2001 Carbon Dreams and Michael Crichton s 2004 State of Fear. Susan Gaines prompts her readers to ponder the proper role of science in society in her novel while Michael Crichton presents a startling caricature of environmentalist in his novel sowing seeds of doubts about environmental science. Ironically Michael Crichton s State of Fear is a great success thus suggesting A little bit of environmental knowledge and a lot of literary eloquence can be dangerous. At the same time the author points out that environmental literature and ecocriticism has not only its power but also its potential danger. Key words: environmental fiction; global climate change; trust; scientific uncertainty 1 : (Thinking Like Yucca Mountain: Taking to Heart the Literature of Sustainability) : 1985 : (Filters Against Folly: How to Survive Despite Ecologists E- conomists and the Merely Eloquent)
2 ? (Why do Scientists Argue) (Sandra Steingraber) : (John Janovy) (Living Downstream: A Scientist's Personal Investigation of Cancerand the Environment) : : ( IPCC )( ) ( ) 13 ; : ( ) 1??? : 1John Janovy Jr. Ten Minute Ecologist: 20 Answered Questions for Busy People Facing Environmental Issues New York: St. Martin s 1997p Sandra Steingraber Living Downstream: A Scientist s Personal Investigation of Cander and the Environment New York: Vintage 1997 p
3 (Michael Crichton) : (Susan M. Gaines) (Ross Gelbspan)1997 (The Heat Is On) 2004 (Boil- ing Point) (Chris Mooney)2005 (Republican War on Science) (Elizabeth Kolbert) 2006 : (Field Notes from a Catastrophe: Man Nature and Climate Change) IPCC (1995 IPCC ) ; 1 : 2 ( IPCC 5 ) : 1 William K. Stevens The Change in the Weather: People Weather and the Science of Climate New York: Delacorte 1999 p Chris Mooney The Republican War on Science New York: Basic Books 2005 p.87. 3Chris Mooney The Republican War on Science p.91. 4Chris Mooney The Republican War on Science p (Betrayal of Science and Reason) : ( ) ( ) 114
4 : (Paul Slovic) (Perceived Risk Trust and Democracy) 2000 : (1) ( ) ( ) ;(2) 1997 IPCC ;(3) : ( ) ;(4) 1 : ( (greenhouse fingerprint) ) ( ; ) : 1Paul Slovic The Perception of Risk London: Earthscan 2000 pp William K. Stevens The Change in the Weather: People Weather and the Science of Climate p
5 (Climate into the 21st Century 2003) : 1 (Al Gore) (Alan AtKisson) 1999 : ( : 3 ) : 2 (Paul. R. Ehrlich)? (Anna. H. Ehrlich)1996? :? 1William Burroughs Climate Into the 21st Century Cambridge UK: Cambridge UP 2003 p Alan AtKisson Believing Cassandra: An Optimist Looks at a Pessimist s World. White River Junction VT: Chelsea Green 1999 pp (Before and after The Day after Tomorrow) ( ) 49% 42% 1% ( ) 116
6 : ; :? 1 :! (NERF) : (Carbon Dreams) 2004 : (State of Fear) : (Garrett Hardin) 1Paul R. Ehrlich& Anna H. Ehrlich Betrayal of Science and Reason Washington DC: Island Press 1996 pp L Michael Crichton State of Fear New York: HarperCollins 2004 p
7 : 2 (Richard Grove) : (1996) : : ELF( ) 1Michael Crichton State of Fear p Michael Crichton State of Fear p (The Limits to Growth) (p.59) ( ) (p.595) 118
8 1 2 : (? 2005 ) : 2005 H (Michael Crichton and Global Warming) (David Sandalow) : 2001 : 1Ross Gelbspan The Heat is On: The Climate Crisis The Cover-up the PrescriptionReading MA: Perseus 1997 p K : (The Change in the Weather: People Weather and the Science of Climate) : (The Holes in the Ozone Scare: The Scientific Evidence That the Sky Isn't Falling) : (Trashing the Planet: How Science Can help Us Dealwith Acid Rain Depletion of the Ozone and Nuclear Waste (Among Other Things)1990) : (Environmental Overkill: Whatever Happened to Common Sense?1991) : (Donella Meadows2008) 119
9 ( ) ( ) :? (Rebecca Solnit) ( ) 1 ( ) ; 2 1Susan M. Gaines Carbon Dreams Berkeley CA: Creative Arts 2001 pp Michael Crichton State of Fear p
10 ( ) brownlasher 1 (Joseph Bast)( : (Bill McKibben) (Eco-Sanity: A Common-sense (Gale Christianson) (Mark Ly- Guide to Environmentalism) ) 2005 nas) (State of Fear: Michael Crichton and the End of Radical Environmentalism) 2 ( : ) : 1 brownlash brownlasher brown green green brown : (Mark Lynas)1996 brownlash : brownlash (p.1) (Eco-Scam1993) : (A Moment on the Earth:The Coming Age of Environmental Optimism1995) : (2001) : (2007) 2 : (The Story of Climate Change: Science Narrative and Social Action) (An Inconvenient Truth) : (Going Away to Think: Engagement Retreat and Ecocritical Responsibility)(2008) 121
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