German Market andprojects revisited

Transcription

1 German Market andprojects revisited Andreas Wagner, Managing Director German Offshore Wind Energy Foundation Lars Engelmann German Association for Marine Technology (GMT) e.v. London, 6 June 2017 Offshore Wind 2017

2 2 German Offshore Wind Energy Foundation Stiftung OFFSHORE-WINDENERGIE o Founded in 2005 as an independent, non-profit organisation to promote the utilization and research of offshore wind in Germany o Acquisition of ownership rights (permit) of alpha ventus moderated/accompanied process of Germany s first OWF o Platform for offshore wind/maritime industry, incl. trade associations, policy-makers and R/D o Involved in various projects (EU and national), e.g. OffWEA - consultation, support, moderation of the Geman government ( ); PROMOTioN (Horizon 2020), and Baltic InteGrid (Interreg-Programme)

3 3 alpha ventus (test site) late start but a very challenging site First Offshore Wind Farm (OWF) in Germany, Pioneering project - paving the way for commercial projects Ø 60 km distance to shore, 30 m water depth Ø First OWF with 5 MW class (12 turbines) à 60 MW Ø 2 turbine manufacturers (Multibrid-Adwen, REpower-Senvion) + 2 types of foundations (tripods, jackets) Ø Permits acquired by SOW in Leased to DOTI end of 2006 (EWE, E.ON, Vattenfall) Ø Construction started in 2008, commissioned in 04/2010 Ø Impressive operational results 50 % capacity factor (4,450 full load hours) > 1 TWh electrictiy production by 2014 Ø RAVE Research at alpha ventus: Extensive ecological and technology R&D Program by German government (50 Mio ) 3

4 4 Germany first commercial OWFs EnBW Baltic 1 First German OWF in Baltic Sea, within the 12-nm-zone 21 Siemens turbines (à 2,3 MW) à 48,3 MW m water depth Monopile foundations, AC grid connection (60 km to substation) Construction during Inauguration May 2011 BARD Offshore 1 EEZ (North Sea) - 90 km from shore 80 wind turbines (à 5 MW) à 400 MW Electricity for 400,000 households 40 m water depth Tripile foundations DC grid connection (120 km sea cable) Construction from Inaugurated Aug. 2013

5 5 OFFSHORE WIND FARMS IN GERMANY > 4.1 GW OPERATIONAL AND ONLINE BY END OF 2016

6 6 German Market Development, New govt. targets (2014): 2020: 6.5 GW 2030: 15 GW

7 7 EEG 2017 WindSeeG Law) Offshore targets and new installation trajectories until 2030 Government target for OWE capacity by 2020 is 6.5 GW, and 15 GW by GW additional buffer for offshore grid capacity by 2020, i.e. total OWE capacity by 2020 may potentially grow to a max. of 7.7 GW Until EEG2014, 10 GW target by 2020, 25 GW by EEG new installation trajectory for based on the differential of a max. capacity of 7.7 GW by 2020, and 15 GW by 2030 à total capacity of 7.3 GW from , equals average of 730 MW/yr during the 2020s SOW and offshore wind industry called for at least 900 MW/year to stimulate further cost reduction and industrial development. Tender volume reduced to 500 MW in 2021 (exclusively in Baltic Sea) and 500 MW in 2022 (up to 50 % for Baltic Sea), plus 700 MW per year during , and 840 MW per year during Political reasoning for reducing offshore wind targets in 2021/22: better synchronise onshore grid expansion and offshore wind development.

8 8 POLICY CONTEXT AND TENDER RESULTS June 2016 MoU signed for North Seas Energy Cooperation, acc. by wind industry s cost reduction statements (< 80 /MWh) NL tender results for Borselle 1+2, à 72,7 /MWh July 2016 New German RE Act passed fundamental shift from FIT to more competitive auction regime Sep DK Nearshore tender results à 60,8 /MWh Nov DK Kriegers Flak tender result à 49,9 /MWh NL Borssele 3+4 tender result à 54,5 /MWh EU Clean Energy Package proposals April 2017 German first transitional tender results paradigm shift! à three bids at 0 support, one bid for 60 /MWh

9 9 Cost reduction drivers latest auctionresults Increase in energy production caused by - latest turbine technology - continuous innovation Economy of Scale characterizedby - large projects, - improved procurement and - more standardisation Good site location characterizedby - strong winds, - moderate water depth, - synergies with neighboring OWF Good planning and pastpoliticalsupport/targets allowed the industry to mature and accelerate learning curve

10 10 Consequences of auction results Raising the bar!!!! Political Targets MW 2020: : : : : : : : : : : 840 Total: 7.3 GW German Offshore Wind Organizations (SOW, OWIA, AGOW, GMT) calling for new targets: By GW (15 GW acc. towindseeg) By GW (18-19 GW acc. to O-NEP2030) Reasoning: Climate ProtectionCommitments (COP21, Paris) Ensure innovation and technological development Harness cost reduction potentials Contribute to competition supply chain diversity Plus: 7.7 GW by 2020

11 11 Realize OWE s full potential in Europe Minimum target of 4 GW/yr

12 12 Founded in 1983, the German Association for Marine Technology (GMT) is recognized as one of the leading organizations in the field of marine technology. The GMT targets the joint development and promotion of marine technology, particular by enhancing the cooperation in-between the marine industry and related research institutions. As of today, the Association represents more than 120 companies and research facilities.

13 13 For GMT Marine Technology covers the following maritime topics: Offshore Oil and Gas Offshore Wind and Marine Renewable Energies Ocean Mining Marine Research Maritime Security Marine Monitoring and Environmental Protection Arctic and Polar Technology Mariculture Technology Hydrography Integrated Coastal Zone Management GMT has established working groups chaired by leading experts of the different fields of technology.

14 Gesellschaft für Maritime Technik e.v. Bramfelder Str Hamburg Stiftung OFFSHORE-WINDENERGIE Oldenburger Straße Varel

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16 16 How to exploit the Cost Reduction Potential Politics & Administration Industry Innovation Stable Framework Conditions R&D Funding Cost reduction potential Improvement Cooperation Standardisation Cost reduction comes through volume! Volume needs confidence, Confidence needs consistent policies. (Andrew Garrad, former EWEA President, Windkracht 2014)

17 17 17 EEG 2014 Revised targets for OWE Year IECP* of EEG GW 6,5 GW GW 15 GW ct/kwh 20,00 19,00 19,40 18,00 19,40 19,40 19,40 17,00 16,00 Degression of FIT for Offshore Wind acc. to para 26 EEG ,40 18,40 15,00 15,40 14,00 15,40 15,40 15,40 14,90 14,90 13,00 Standard (base) FIT model 13,90 (12 years initial tariff) 13,40 12,00 12, Basismodell Stauchungsmodell * Integrated Energy and Climate Programme of German Govt. Compressed FIT model but 2-year FIT-extension (8 years initial tariff) until Dec. 2019; After 2020, new tendering scheme applied for OWE first time zero support bids First tender in spring 2017, based on outcomeofpv pilottenders Degression of FIT para 20 EEG 2012 para 26 EEG 2014 Standard (base) model 7 % annual degression after 2017 in 2018: 0,5 ct/kwh in 2020: 1,0 ct/kwh Compressed FIT No degression in 2018: 1,0 ct/kwh

18 Prognos/Fichtner scenario assumptions 2 growth scenarios at 3 sites (North Sea) Market Volume determining potential for cost reduction 18

19 19 CostReductionRoadmaps UK, Germany Cost reduction pathways TCE, 2012 (LCOE vs. Time/Capacity) Cost reduction potentials study (Stiftung, 2013 (LCOE vs. Time/capacity)