Demographic Characteristics and Trends: Implications for Rural Texas

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1 Demographic Characteristics and Trends: Implications for Rural Texas Texas Farm Bureau AgLead XI FarmLead IV March 19, 2013 Austin, Texas Lloyd Potter Office: (210) Internet:

2 Year* Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, Population Numerical Change Percent Change Percent Change Due to Natural Increase ,711, Net Migration ,579,677 1,868, ,196,730 1,617, ,229,191 3,032, ,986,510 2,757, ,851,820 3,865, ,145,561 4,293, ,059, , * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. 2

3 Legend co48_d00 'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpop ,000 10,001-50,000 50, , , , ,001-1,000,000 1,000,001-4,100,000 Total Population by County, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Census Counts 3

4 Legend Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to 2010 co48_d00 'PROJECTIONS X$'.totpopch0010-3, ,000 10,001-50,000 50, , , , counties lost population over the decade Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Census Counts 4

5 Legend tl_2010_48_county10 popchg Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to 2012 LT 0 1-1,000 1,001-20, counties lost population over the two year period 20,001-80,000 80, ,252 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 5

6 The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012 Numeric Increase 1. Midland, Texas Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, Fla The Villages, Fla Odessa, Texas Jacksonville, N.C Austin-Round Rock, Texas Casper, Wyo Columbus, Ga.-Ala Manhattan, Kan. 2.8 Texas contains eight of the 25 counties with the highest numerical gains Source: U.S. Census Bureau,

7 The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, 2012 Numeric Increase 1. Harris, Texas 80, Los Angeles, Calif. 73, Maricopa, Ariz. 73, Dallas, Texas 45, San Diego, Calif. 38, King, Wash. 35, Travis, Texas 34, Orange, Calif. 34, Tarrant, Texas 32, Clark, Nev. 32,833 Source: U.S. Census Bureau,

8 Job Growth 8

9 Percent of labor force employed in professional, scientific, and management, and administrative and waste management services, census tracts, National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, ipc Legend tl_2010_48_tract1 IndPrfSciMgmt 0-5% National Geographic, Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, UNEP-WCMC, USGS, NASA, ESA, METI, NRCAN, GEBCO, NOAA, ipc % % % % Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample,

10 Percent of labor force employed in agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining, census tracts, Legend tl_2010_48_tract10 IndAgForFish 0-3% 3.1-6% % % % Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample,

11 Legend tl_2010_48_county10 Compoch$.domig -280,000 to --3, to ,000 10,001-50,000 50, , , ,000 Estimated domestic migration by county, Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center 11

12 Legend Estimated international migration by county, tl_2010_48_county10 Compoch$.inmig -1,400 to 0 1 to to 2,500 2,501 to 50,000 50,000 to 280,000 Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center 12

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16 Projected Population Growth in Texas, ,000,000 55,000,000 50,000,000 Migration Scenarios Zero.5 of ,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections 16

17 Legend Projected Population Change, Texas tl_2010_48_county10 F6-6, ,000 2,001-10,000 10, , ,001-1,000,000 1,000,001-3,480,000 Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario 17

18 Legend Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, tl_2010_48_county10 F5 LT 0% 0-40% % % % Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario 18

19 Percent of the Civilian Labor Force Employed in Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting, Texas Counties, Legend co48_d00 'PROJECTIONS X$'.PLAFFH 0-1% 1-5% 5-15% 15-25% 25-40% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 19

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24 Physicians per 1,000 Population, 2010 Physicians per 1,000 Population 2000 'PROJECTIONS X$'.phys Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census Counts and Texas Medical Board (physicians). 24

25 Contact Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. Office: (512) or (210) Internet: 25

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