Climate Update May 2006 Meeting
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1 Climate Update May 26 Meeting Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center presented at the Joint Meeting of the Flood Task Force & Water Availability Task Force, DOW, Denver, CO, May 16, 26 Prepared by Odie Bliss
2 Temperature Departures Water Year Departure (Degrees Fahrenheit) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Eastern Plains Foothills Mountains Western Valleys
3 April 26 % precipitation
4 Colorado Total Precipitation April 26 Rank 11 th Driest
5 WY 26 precipitation
6 Climate divisions defined by Dr. Klaus Wolter of NOAA's Climate Diagnostic Center in Boulder, CO
7 Division 1 Grand Lake 1NW Grand Lake 1 NW 26 Water Year 35 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year - 22 Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 3 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
8 Division 1 Taylor Park Taylor Park 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 3 25 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
9 Division 2 Grand Junction 16 Grand Junction WSFO 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 14 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR Months APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
10 25 Division 2 Collbran Collbran 2SW 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 2 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
11 18 Division 3 Montrose Montrose #2 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 16 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
12 Division 3 Mesa Verde Mesa Verde NP 26 Water Year 35 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year 3 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
13 Division 3 Cochetopa Creek Cochetopa Creek 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year - 22 Period of Record Average Water Year 2nd Min Year Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
14 Division 4 Del Norte 18 Del Norte 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Accumulated 22 Accumulated Water Year Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
15 12 Division 4 Center Center 4SSW 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year 25 Water Year 1 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
16 Division 5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 3 25 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
17 Division 5 Pueblo Pueblo WSO 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year - 22 Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 2 18 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR Months APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
18 Division 5 Buena Vista Buena Vista 26 Water Year 18 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Water Year Accumulated Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 16 Accumulated Precipitaton (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
19 Division 5 Canon City Canon City 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 25 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
20 25 Division 6 Rocky Ford Rocky Ford 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year - 22 Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
21 Division 6 Cheyenne Wells Cheyenne Wells 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year 22 Water Year Accumulated 3 25 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
22 Division 7 Akron Akron 4E 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year - 22 Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 25 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP Months
23 3 Division 7 Leroy Leroy 5SW 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 25 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
24 Division 8 Boulder Boulder 26 Water Year Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year 3 Accumulated Precipitation (inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
25 Division 8 Cheesman Cheesman 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year - 22 Period of Record Average Water Year 25 Accumulated Precipitaton (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
26 3 Division 8 Fort Collins Fort Collins 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year 22 WY 25 Accumulated Precipitation (inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR Month APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
27 Division 8 Kassler Kassler 26 Water Year 3 Year Averages Max Year Min Year Period of Record Average Water Year Accumulated 22 Water Year Accumulated 3 25 Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR Months MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
28 3 Month SPI
29 6 Month SPI
30 12 Month SPI
31 24 Month SPI
32 48 Month SPI
33 Fraction of Colorado in Drought Fraction of Colorado in Drought Based on 48 month SPI (189 - April 26) Year Fraction (in percent)
34 12 Month SPI
35 Projected Conditions at.2 Probability Level 12 Month SPI at 6 months
36 Projected Conditions at.5 Probability Level 12 Month SPI at 6 months
37 Projected Conditions at.8 Probability Level 12 Month SPI at 6 months
38 Conclusions April above average temperatures; below average precipitation not good! (Precipitation only 25% of 25) One beneficial storm in southern Colorado on April 28 th May temperatures near average but precipitation remains below average Since October 11, 25, eastern plains precipitation far below average Conditions are deteriorating rapidly Front Range urban forest interface very dry
39 Drought Monitor Map
40 Colorado Climate Center Colorado State University Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloading click on Drought then click on Presentations
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