Driving Future Growth
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1 Driving Future Growth ERA Convention 2012 Oslo May 16 th 2012 Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Future Research rohit@fastfuture.com
2 Future Proofed Organisations Work on 3 Horizons in Parallel 1-12 Months Operational Excellence 1-3 Years Drive for Growth Years Creating the Future
3 The World in 2020
4 Choosing a Future Markets and Models Capability and Technology Mindset and Behaviours
5 Future Proofing the Business Markets Mastery Muscle Magic Message Models Management Mindset
6 Markets
7 Markets Growth Poles 2 billion more people in 40 years Demographics is Driving Economics Source : United Nations
8 Markets - Life Redefined Lifespans are Increasing Under 50 s have 90% chance of living to 100. Aubrey de Grey suggests we could live to 500 or 1000 What are the health, housing, consumption and resource implications? What kind of opportunities will be created?
9 Adjacent Markets Build on your Core Strengths
10 Markets Focus on Growth Industries
11 Rising Infrastructure Spending CIBC projects up to $35 trillion in public works by 2030 (1) Annual spend: North America $180Bn Europe $205Bn Asia $400Bn Africa $10Bn Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015
12 Green Transport Revolution
13 Mastery
14
15 Mastery Foresight and Insight e.g. Horizon Scanning and Timeline Development by Sector
16 Mastery - Service is the Killer App
17 Mastery Data and Technology New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure
18 Convergence and Personalisation Telephony Voice Messaging SIM card Phonebook Ring Tones Security Connectivity Cellular Up to 14 bands WLAN/BT GPS NFC FM Data/ Enterprise 100Mbps IMS Browsing VPN PIM Ecommerce Payments Software Protocols Middleware Applications User Interface Minimize fragmentation Multimedia Camera 8-16M Camcorder 24M Color Display Memory (160GB) Multiformat A/V HD Video/TV out Games (50-100M Tps) DRM
19 Next Generation Interfaces
20 Augmented Reality
21 Mastery Rapid Innovation e.g. Naspers' New Media Lab ( Fail fast and cheaply Koos Bekker, CEO) We are doing research on next-generation technologies that will influence the ways in which humans interact with computers, the web and other forms of electronic media Research at cutting edge of technological media innovation e.g. humancomputer interaction, augmented reality, online gaming, internet television and semantic text processing
22 Mastery - New Construction Practices e.g. Neapo Pre-Fab Apartments
23 Muscle
24 Muscle Rapid Decision Making
25 Muscle Speed of Execution e.g. Ultra-Quick Construction
26 Magic
27 Magic Ideas that Delight E.g. Virtual Grocery Shopping Tesco South Korea
28 Magic - 3D Printing of Houses (Contour Crafting)
29 3D Printing of Houses
30 Message Engaging the Customer e.g. Open Innovation
31 Models - Multiple Streams and Preemptive Solutions
32 Models Access and Usership vs. Ownership
33 Shell From Asset Ownership to a Zero Fixed Cost Model
34 Person to Person Rental
35
36 Usership e.g. Movie Digitisation - Digital Development
37 Kickstarter.com
38 Models - Continuous Innovation E.g. Auctions
39 Muscle - Sustainability
40 Muscle - Eco Materials for Construction E.g. Meco Brics 30 Sec construction
41 Utility Lessons from Nature
42 Wool and Seaweed Bricks
43 Self-Healing Concrete
44 Management
45 Management Celebrate Successes
46 Management - Make Time and Space for Change
47 Management - Lead or Follow?
48 Performance Management - Maximising Employee Contribution Supporting lifelong learning - continuous reskilling - 61% Implementing real-time learning / development solutions - 49% Improving training / delivery effectiveness - 40%
49 Management - Tackling Complexity Customer Interface Process Organisation Information / Systems Regulatory Human
50 Mindset
51 Mindset - 3 Horizon Thinking 12 Months 1-3 Years 4-10 Years
52 Mindset Broad Scans and Deep Dives
53 Mindset - Tolerant of Uncertainty Encourage Experimentation
54 Mindset Curious, Sticky and Magnetic
55 Future Proofing the Business Markets Mastery Muscle Magic Message Models Management Mindset
56 Conclusions New Turbulent Era Future is a Journey The Door is Open
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