The Future Reinvented: Radical Energy Solutions

Transcription

1 The Future Reinvented: Radical Energy Solutions An Interactive Scenario & Storytelling Workshop 13 th June 2018 ENERGIZING FUTURES Sustainable Development and Energy in Transition Tampere, Finland Fast Future Publishing

2 Foresight Research Speaking and Moderating Publishing Capacity Building / Leadership Programs & Events Introducing Fast Future Images: Fast Future Publishing

3 Reimagining Life, Society, and Business Image: Fast Future Publishing

4 What is our Mind-set Challenge? Every Sector will Transform by 2025 Play by the Rules of the Game Create a New Game How will we Change our DNA?

5 Future Proofed Organisations Work on Three Horizons in Parallel 1-12 Months Operational Excellence 1-3 Years Search for Growth Years Understand Future Drivers Images: pixabay.com

6 What are the Major Forces Shaping the Future? Sustainable Consumption & Production Energy & Environment Convergence Human Enhancement / Transhumanism Uncertainty Control vs. Emergence When Two Worlds Collide Evolving Economic Architectures Universal Science & Technology Social & Demographic Shifts New Urban Infrastructure Societal System Redesign Exponential & Disruptive Lifestyle Solutions

7 Sustainability and Sustainable Corporations Image: United Nations

8 Possibility Explosion from Exponential Science and Technology Developments 3D / 4D Printing Nanotechnology / Atomically Precise Manufacturing Artificial Intelligence / Conscious Technology New Computing Architectures Food Chain Transformation Energy Innovation Hyperconnected Internet of Humanity Robotics / Drones Immersivity / Mixed Reality Living Brain Uploading Healthcare Transformation Human Augmentation Synthetic Biology Cryptocurrencies & Blockchain Technology Image: Fast Future Publishing

9 70 Million Electric Vehicles by 2025 Currently 2 million 2020 between 9 and 20 million 2025 between 40 and 70 million Source:

10 80 Billion Connected Devices 80bn connected Devices tr GB of Data and IoT Opportunities Amount of data from IoT & used to change business processes as big in 2025 as the amount of all the data created in 2020 Source: / International Data Corporation

11 Tsunami of Data Could Consume 1/5 of global electricity by 2025 Internet-connected devices - 3.5% emissions <10 years, 14% by 2040 Communications - 20% global electricity by 2025 ICT create up to 3.5% global emissions by 2020 surpassing aviation, shipping 14% 2040 Greenpeace: 20% of electricity used in data centres is renewable

12 Bitcoin Mining s Insatiable Appetite for Electricity Bitcoin mining consumes more electricity than 159 countries including Ireland, most African countries, and 12 U.S. states If it keeps increasing at current rate, Bitcoin mining will consume all the world s electricity by February 2020 Source:

13 How Much Energy Will the World Need by 2100? 3.2bn people middle class lifestyle reaching 5bn by 2030* Achieving U.S. standard of living 9.5 kw per person by 2100 = additional 51 TW of energy Demand = 70 TW every coalfired generator, nuclear power plant, wind turbine, solar farm x4 Source: *Homi Kharas, Brookings Institution

14 Workshop Intro: Radical Scenario Development World Café Images: flickr

15 Workshop Objectives A creative group process that generates radical future scenarios about energy reinvented. Image: flickr

16 Scenario & Storytelling Workshop Process 1. Scenario Development Round 1 Use a selection of radical future cards to develop scenario outlines (40 mins) 2. Café Review Review and comment on at least 3 other scenarios (15 mins) 3. Scenario Development Round 2 Scenario refinement and timeline development (25 mins) 4. Plenary discussion on insights (15 mins)

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