VOLUME 9 NUMBER 1 JANUARY 2018

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1 VOLUME 9 NUMBER 1 JANUARY 2018

2 VOLUME 9 NUMBER 1 JANUARY 2018 ECOSPHERE AN ESA OPEN ACCESS JOURNAL Editor-in-Chief DEBRA P. C. PETERS Associate Editors-in-Chief LUCAS N. JOPPA SHANNON LADEAU ROBERT R. PARMENTER BOARD OF EDITORS MICHAEL F. ALLEN GINGER R. ALLINGTON MADHUR ANAND DAVID M. BELL TANYA BERGER-WOLF FRANCO BIONDI W. ALICE BOYLE DAWN M. BROWNING JESSE L. BRUNNER MARY CADENASSO JAMES W. CAIN III SCOTT CARLETON STEPHANIE M. CARLSON IADINE CHADÈS F. STUART CHAPIN III THERESA M. CRIMMINS WYATT CROSS JUDY CUSHING CHARLENE D AVANZO BISTRA DILKINA MICHAEL DUNIWAY DIANE EBERT-MAY NANCY C. EMERY FEI FANG ALLISON M. GARDNER ERIC M. GESE LAUREANO GHERARDI MARGHERITA GIORIA NOEL GURWICK STEPHANIE E. HAMPTON KAREN A. HAUBENSAK LEAH R. JOHNSON KRISTOFER D. JOHNSON JULIA JONES ANDREW M. KRAMER CONRAD C. LABANDEIRA JOSÉ J. LAHOZ-MONFORT JOSEPH A. LAMANNA HUNTER S. LENIHANCORY MEROW CHRISTOPHER LEPCZYK BROOKE MASLO ANDREW MCCALL GEORGE MIDDENDORF CHARLES E. MITCHELL SETH NEWSOME UFFE NIELSEN TROY W. OCHELTREE GREG OKIN YUDE PAN JOSE M. PARUELO MICHAEL PERRING STEWARD T. A. PICKETT SEAN P. POWERS SUJITH RAVI ERIC RIBBENS T AI ROULSTON REBECCA J. ROWE KEIRITH SNYDER DEREK TITTENSOR TOBIAS VAN KOOTEN JONATHAN A. WALTER ANDREW R. WARGO PAIGE S. WARREN ROBERT WASHINGTON-ALLEN JASON WEST JULIE C. ZINNERT GUY ZIV ESA GOVERNING BOARD RICH POUYAT, President LAURA HUENNEKE, President-Elect DAVID LODGE, Past-President JAYNE BELNAP, Vice President for Science EVAN DELUCIA, Vice President for Finance FRANK DAVIS, Vice President for Public Affairs NALINI NADKARNI, Vice President for Education and Human Resources JESSICA GUREVITCH, Secretary EMILY CLOYD, Member-at-Large SHARON HALL, Member-at-Large GILLIAN BOWSER, Member-at-Large 2018 The Ecological Society of America. Ecosphere is an open access journal published monthly on behalf of the Ecological Society of America by Wiley Periodicals, Inc., a Wiley Company, 111 River St., Hoboken, NJ USA. It is available online only, free of charge, at wileyonlinelibrary.com. ESA Headquarters: 1990 M Street NW, Suite 700, Washington, DC USA Tel , Fax , esahq@esa.org

3 CONTENTS ECOSPHERE VOLUME 9 NUMBER 1 JANUARY 2018 COVER PHOTO: Burchell s zebra (Equus burchellii) and blue wildebeest (Taurinus connochaetes) at the shore of Lake Manyara, Tanzania. Kiffner et al. (Ecosphere Volume 8, Issue 12, Article e02027; doi: /ecs2.2027) describe longterm population dynamics of 13 herbivore species in this unique national park in northern Tanzania. While population densities of some species have increased over the past 58 year, losses in megaherbivores (African elephant, black rhinoceros, African buffalo) some 30 years ago led to an overall 40% reduction in herbivore biomass with cascading effects on vegetation structure and other animal species. Photo credit: Christian Kiffner. Articles Effects of environmental variables on invasive amphibian activity: using model selection on quantiles for counts. Benjamin J. Muller, Brian S. Cade, and Lin Schwarzkopf The nitrogen window for arctic herbivores: plant phenology and protein gain of migratory caribou ( Rangifer tarandus ). Perry S. Barboza, Lindsay L. Van Someren, David D. Gustine, and M. Syndonia Bret-Harte Special Feature: High-Energy Storms Resistance and resilience of social ecological systems to recurrent typhoon disturbance on a subtropical island: Taiwan. Chung-Te Chang, Matthew A. Vadeboncoeur, and Teng-Chiu Lin Articles Use of environmental sites by mule deer: a proxy for relative risk of chronic wasting disease exposure and transmission. María Fernanda Mejía-Salazar, Cheryl L. Waldner, Yeen Ten Hwang, and Trent K. Bollinger Monarch butterflies do not place all of their eggs in one basket: oviposition on nine Midwestern milkweed species. Victoria M. Pocius, Diane M. Debinski, John M. Pleasants, Keith G. Bidne, and Richard L. Hellmich Mesophytic litter dampens flammability in fire-excluded pyrophytic oak hickory woodlands. Jesse K. Kreye, J. Morgan Varner, Gregory W. Hamby, and Jeffrey M. Kane Urban stream microbial communities show resistance to pharmaceutical exposure. E. J. Rosi, H. A. Bechtold, D. Snow, M. Rojas, A. J. Reisinger, and J. J. Kelly Modeling leaf area index in North America using a process-based terrestrial ecosystem model. Yang Qu and Qianlai Zhuang Bacterial diversity is positively correlated with soil heterogeneity. Emily E. Curd, Jennifer B. H. Martiny, Huiying Li, and Thomas B. Smith Fire-induced change in floral abundance, density, and phenology benefits bumble bee foragers. John M. Mola and Neal M. Williams Provisional methods to guide species-specific seed transfer in ecological restoration. Taylor M. Crow, Shannon E. Albeke, C. Alex Buerkle, and Kristina M. Hufford Livestock and the functional habitat of vicuñas in Ecuador: a new puzzle. Brian E. McLaren, Douglas MacNearney, and Carlos A. Siavichay CONTINUES ON NEXT PAGE

4 Downhill shift of alpine plant assemblages under contemporary climate and land-use changes. Kuber Prasad Bhatta, John-Arvid Grytnes, and Ole Reidar Vetaas Age and level of self-organization affect the small-scale distribution of springtails (Collembola). Lina A. Widenfalk, Hans Petter Leinaas, Jan Bengtsson, and Tone Birkemoe Allocation to clonal and sexual reproduction and its plasticity in Vallisneria spinulosa along a water-depth gradient. Lei Li, Zhichun Lan, Jiakuan Chen, and Zhiping Song A salmonid individual-based model as a proposed decision support tool for management of a large regulated river. Peter N. Dudley Niche divergence along a fine-scale ecological gradient in sympatric color morphs of a coral reef fish. Jonathan L. Whitney, Megan J. Donahue, and Stephen A. Karl Historical niche partitioning and long-term trophic shifts in Laurentian Great Lakes deepwater coregonines. Chelsey Blanke, Yoshito Chikaraishi, and M. Jake Vander Zanden The primacy of bears as seed dispersers in salmon-bearing ecosystems. Laurie E. F. Harrer and Taal Levi Species-specific spring and autumn leaf phenology captured by time-lapse digital cameras. Yingying Xie, Daniel L. Civco, and John A. Silander Jr. Experimental droughts with rainout shelters: a methodological review. David L. Hoover, Kevin R. Wilcox, and Kristina E. Young Interactions between species attributes explain population dynamics in stream fishes under changing climate. Mathieu Chevalier, Lise Comte, Pascal Laffaille, and Gaël Grenouillet Multidimensional trait space informed by a mechanistic model of tree growth and carbon allocation. Michael Fell, Jarrett Barber, Jeremy W. Lichstein, and Kiona Ogle Spatiotemporal variation in drivers of parasitoid metacommunity structure in continuous forest landscapes. Ronan Marrec, Olivier Pontbriand-Paré, Simon Legault, and Patrick M. A. James Predators attract prey through ecosystem engineering in the Arctic. Tazarve Gharajehdaghipour and James D. Roth Can sugar maple establish into the boreal forest? Insights from seedlings under various canopies in southern Quebec. Alexandre Collin, Christian Messier, Steven W. Kembel, and Nicolas Bélanger Simulating the dependence of aspen ( Populus tremuloides ) on redistributed snow in a semi-arid watershed. B. S. Soderquist, K. L. Kavanagh, T. E. Link, M. S. Seyfried, and A. H. Winstral Saltmarsh plants, but not fertilizer, facilitate invertebrate recolonization after an oil spill. David Samuel Johnson, John W. Fleeger, Maria Rita Riggio, Irving A. Mendelssohn, Qianxin Lin, Sean A. Graham, Donald R. Deis, and Aixin Hou Predicting aboveground forest biomass with topographic variables in human-impacted tropical dry forest landscapes. Miguel A. Salinas-Melgoza, Margaret Skutsch, and Jon C. Lovett Activity and resource selection of a threatened carnivore: the case of black bears in northwestern Mexico. Nalleli E. Lara-Díaz, Helí Coronel-Arellano, Carlos A. López-González, Gerardo Sánchez-Rojas, and Juan Esteban Martínez-Gómez Nitrogen addition and ecosystem functioning: Both species abundances and traits alter community structure and function. Anna R. Tatarko and Johannes M. H. Knops Size-dependent prey availability affects diet and performance of predatory fish at sea: a case study of Atlantic salmon. Philip Jacobson, Anna Gårdmark, Johan Östergren, Michele Casini, and Magnus Huss Innovative Viewpoint Implicit assumptions of conceptual diagrams in environmental science and best practices for their illustration. Chloé A. Fandel, David D. Breshears, and Ellen E. McMahon CONTINUES ON NEXT PAGE

5 Articles Missing forest cover gains in boreal forests explained. Luc Guindon, Pierre Bernier, Sylvie Gauthier, Graham Stinson, Philippe Villemaire, and André Beaudoin Feral horses influence both spatial and temporal patterns of water use by native ungulates in a semi-arid environment. Lucas K. Hall, Randy T. Larsen, Robert N. Knight, and Brock R. McMillan Animal movement affects interpretation of occupancy models from camera-trap surveys of unmarked animals. Eric W. Neilson, Tal Avgar, A. Cole Burton, Kate Broadley, and Stan Boutin Estimating taxon-specific population dynamics in diverse microbial communities. Benjamin J. Koch, Theresa A. McHugh, Michaela Hayer, Egbert Schwartz, Steven J. Blazewicz, Paul Dijkstra, Natasja van Gestel, Jane C. Marks, Rebecca L. Mau, Ember M. Morrissey, Jennifer Pett-Ridge, and Bruce A. Hungate Process catalyzers in Amazonian rivers: large woody debris modifies ecosystem processes across freshwater habitats. Sebastian A. Heilpern and J. Timothy Wootton Impact of an invasive alien plant on litter decomposition along a latitudinal gradient. Kenny Helsen, Stuart W. Smith, Jörg Brunet, Sara A. O. Cousins, Pieter De Frenne, Adam Kimberley, Annette Kolb, Jonathan Lenoir, Shiyu Ma, Jana Michaelis, Jan Plue, Kris Verheyen, James D. M. Speed, and Bente J. Graae Shifts in algal dominance in freshwater experimental ponds across differing levels of macrophytes and nutrients. Josephine C. Iacarella, Jennifer L. Barrow, Alessandra Giani, Beatrix E. Beisner, and Irene Gregory-Eaves

6 AIMS & SCOPE The scope of Ecosphere is as broad as the science of ecology itself. The journal welcomes submissions from all sub-disciplines of ecological science, as well as interdisciplinary studies relating to ecology. The journal s goal is to provide a rapid-publication, online- only, open-access alternative to ESA s other journals, while maintaining the rigorous standards of peer review for which ESA publications are renowned. OPEN ACCESS AND COPYRIGHT All articles published in Ecosphere are fully open access: immediately freely available to read, download and share. All Ecosphere articles are published under the terms of a Creative Commons Attribution License. Copyright on any article in Ecosphere is retained by the author(s). Authors grant Wiley a license to publish the article and identify itself as the original publisher. Further information about copyright and the choice of open access licenses can be found at content/12f25db4c87/copyright License.html DISCLAIMER The views expressed in this journal are not necessarily those of the Publisher, the Ecological Society of America, the Governing Board, the Editor-in-Chief, or members of the Advisory and Editorial Boards. Those parties cannot be held responsible for errors or any consequences arising from the use of information contained in this journal. ESA Membership Information: visit Us for Customer Service ESA Members: membership@esa.org Institutions/Libraries: cs-journals@wiley.com Subscription Agents: cs-agency@wiley.com Publications Staff Director of Publishing and Member Services: Steven Sayre, steve@esa.org Peer Review Manager: Ellen Cotter, ellen@esa.org Peer Review Manager: Anne Marie Whelan, annemarie@esa.org Peer Review Specialist: Jane L. Bain, jane@esa.org Peer Review Specialist: Heather Carlo, heather@esa.org Peer Review Assistant: Sarah Schneider, sarah@esa.org

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