VOLUME 8 NUMBER 5 MAY 2017
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1 VOLUME 8 NUMBER 5 MAY 2017
2 VOLUME 8 NUMBER 5 MAY 2017 ECOSPHERE AN ESA OPEN ACCESS JOURNAL Editor-in-Chief DEBRA P. C. PETERS Associate Editors-in-Chief ROBERT R. PARMENTER LUCAS N. JOPPA BOARD OF EDITORS MICHAEL F. ALLEN GINGER R. ALLINGTON MADHUR ANAND FRANCO BIONDI W. ALICE BOYLE DAWN M. BROWNING MARY CADENASSO JAMES W. CAIN III SCOTT CARLETON F. STUART CHAPIN III SCOTT L. COLLINS THERESA M. CRIMMINS WYATT CROSS CHARLENE D AVANZO MICHAEL DUNIWAY DIANE EBERT-MAY NANCY C. EMERY ERIC M. GESE LAUREANO GHERARDI MARGHERITA GIORIA NOEL GURWICK KAREN A. HAUBENSAK KRISTOFER D. JOHNSON JULIA JONES ANDREW M. KRAMER CONRAD C. LABANDEIRA CHRISTOPHER LEPCZYK BROOKE MASLO ANDREW MCCALL GEORGE MIDDENDORF SETH NEWSOME UFFE NIELSEN TROY W. OCHELTREE GREG OKIN YUDE PAN ANDREW W. PARK JOSE M. PARUELO MICHAEL PERRING STEWARD T. A. PICKETT SUJITH RAVI ERIC RIBBENS T AI ROULSTON REBECCA J. ROWE KEIRITH SNYDER TOBIAS VAN KOOTEN JONATHAN A. WALTER PAIGE S. WARREN JASON WEST JULIE C. ZINNERT GUY ZIV ESA GOVERNING BOARD DAVID LODGE, President RICH POUYAT, President-Elect MONICA TURNER, Past-President JAYNE BELNAP, Vice President for Science EVAN DELUCIA, Vice President for Finance FRANK DAVIS, Vice President for Public Affairs NALINI NADKARNI, Vice President for Education and Human Resources JESSICA GUREVITCH, Secretary KATHRYN COTTINGHAM, Member-at-Large EMILY CLOYD, Member-at-Large SHARON HALL, Member-at-Large 2017 The Ecological Society of America. Ecosphere is an open access journal published monthly on behalf of the Ecological Society of America by Wiley Periodicals, Inc., a Wiley Company, 111 River St., Hoboken, NJ USA. It is available online only, free of charge, at wileyonlinelibrary.com. ESA Headquarters: 1990 M Street NW, Suite 700, Washington, DC USA Tel , Fax , esahq@esa.org
3 CONTENTS ECOSPHERE VOLUME 8 NUMBER 5 MAY 2017 COVER PHOTO: Three-week-old bighorn lambs group together under the vigilant gaze of one of their mothers. Bighorn mothers at the National Bison Range (MT) timed birth to substantially precede the local energetic optimum date in an energy-mediated competition with other females to reduce neonatal exposure to predation. Pronghorn mothers, in contrast, timed birth to match unusually high peaks in reproductive expenditure with maximum energy income at the local environmental optimum. See Hogg et al. (Ecosphere, Volume 8, Issue 4, Article e01766; doi: /ecs2.1766). Photo credit: J. T. Hogg. Predator-mediated negative effects of overabundant snow geese on arctic-nesting shorebirds. Jean-François Lamarre, Pierre Legagneux, Gilles Gauthier, Eric T. Reed, and Joël Bêty Predator trait evolution alters prey community composition. Erica M. Holdridge, Gilberto E. Flores, and Casey P. terhorst Factors influencing fire severity under moderate burning conditions in the Klamath Mountains, northern California, USA. Becky L. Estes, Eric E. Knapp, Carl N. Skinner, Jay D. Miller, and Haiganoush K. Preisler Modeling forest carbon cycle using long-term carbon stock field measurement in the Delaware River Basin. Bing Xu, Yude Pan, Alain F. Plante, Kevin McCullough, Richard Birdsey Special Feature: Air Quality and Ecosystem Services A framework to quantify the strength of ecological links between an environmental stressor and final ecosystem services. Michael D. Bell, Jennifer Phelan, Tamara F. Blett, Dixon Landers, Amanda M. Nahlik, George Van Houtven, Christine Davis, Christopher M. Clark, and Julie Hewitt A global study of GPP focusing on light-use efficiency in a random forest regression model. Suhua Wei, Chuixiang Yi, Wei Fang, and George Hendrey Weather, hydroregime, and breeding effort influence juvenile recruitment of anurans: implications for climate change. C. H. Greenberg, S. J. Zarnoch, and J. D. Austin Small mammal activity alters plant community composition and microbial activity in an old-field ecosystem. Leigh C. Moorhead, Lara Souza, Christopher W. Habeck, Richard L. Lindroth, and Aimée T. Classen Special Feature: Science for Our National Parks Second Century Using regional bird density distribution models to evaluate protected area networks and inform conservation planning. John D. Alexander, Jaime L. Stephens, Sam Veloz, Leo Salas, Josée S. Rousseau, C. John Ralph, and Daniel A. Sarr Plant community composition affects the species biogeochemical niche. Ifigenia Urbina, Jordi Sardans, Oriol Grau, Carl Beierkuhnlein, Anke Jentsch, Jüergen Kreyling, and Josep Peñuelas CONTINUES ON NEXT PAGE
4 Frequency of invasive plant occurrence is not a suitable proxy for abundance in the Northeast United States. Tyler Cross, John T. Finn, and Bethany A. Bradley Using ocean models to predict spatial and temporal variation in marine carbon isotopes. S. Magozzi, A. Yool, H. B. Vander Zanden, M. B. Wunder, and C. N. Trueman Special Feature: Air Quality and Ecosystem Services Impacts to ecosystem services from aquatic acidification: using FEGS-CS to understand the impacts of air pollution. Claire B. O Dea, Sarah Anderson, Timothy Sullivan, Dixon Landers, and C. Frank Casey Non-target impacts of weed control on birds, mammals, and reptiles. David B. Lindenmayer, Jeff Wood, Christopher MacGregor, Richard J. Hobbs, and Jane A. Catford Progression and stability analysis of rain forest tree growth under environmental stochasticity. David M. Newbery and Marcus Lingenfelder Coral disease hotspots in the Caribbean. R. van Woesik and C. J. Randall The ecology of infection between a transmissive and a dead-end host provides clues for the treatment of a plant disease. Matteo Garbelotto, Doug Schmidt, Steven Swain, Katherine Hayden, and Guglielmo Lione Differential effects of temperature and precipitation on early- vs. late-flowering species. Lynn M. Moore and William K. Lauenroth Relationships between gas field development and the presence and abundance of pygmy rabbits in southwestern Wyoming. Stephen S. Germaine, Sarah K. Carter, Drew A. Ignizio, and Aaron T. Freeman Modeling dynamics of native and invasive species to guide prioritization of management actions. Cheryl A. Lohr, Jim Hone, Michael Bode, Christopher R. Dickman, Amelia Wenger, and Robert L. Pressey Potential impacts of overlapping land-use and climate in a sensitive dryland: a case study of the Colorado Plateau, USA. Stella M. Copeland, John B. Bradford, Michael C. Duniway, and Rudy M. Schuster Drought-associated phenological changes of coastal marshes in Louisiana. Yu Mo, Michael Kearney, and Bahram Momen Insular biogeography and population genetics of dwarf mistletoe ( Arceuthobium americanum ) in the Central Rocky Mountains. Roy Hill, Janet L. Loxterman, and Ken Aho Environmental variability indicates a climate-adaptive center under threat in northern Mozambique coral reefs. Timothy R. McClanahan and Nyawira A. Muthiga Possible mechanisms underlying abundance and diversity responses of nematode communities to plant diversity. Roeland Cortois, G. F. (Ciska) Veen, Henk Duyts, Maike Abbas, Tanja Strecker, Olga Kostenko, Nico Eisenhauer, Stefan Scheu, Gerd Gleixner, Gerlinde B. De Deyn, and Wim H. van der Putten Climate and extreme weather independently affect population growth, but neither is a consistently good predictor. Stephen F. Matter and Jens Roland Ecological niche model comparison under different climate scenarios: a case study of Olea spp. in Asia. Uzma Ashraf, A. Townsend Peterson, Muhammad Nawaz Chaudhry, Irfan Ashraf, Zafeer Saqib, Sajid Rashid Ahmad, and Hassan Ali Altered sex-specific mortality and female mating success: ecological effects and evolutionary responses. Tobias Degen, Thomas Hovestadt, Oliver Mitesser, and Franz Hölker Spatial autocorrelation reduces model precision and predictive power in deforestation analyses. Kristjan D. Mets, Dolors Armenteras, and Liliana M. Dávalos The effect of the invasive Elaeagnus umbellata on soil microbial communities depends on proximity of soils to plants. Elizabeth Malinich, Nicole Lynn-Bell, and Peter S. Kourtev Invasion effects of Chromolaena odorata on soil carbon and nitrogen fractions in a tropical savanna. Hui Wei, Jialin Xu, Guoming Quan, Jiaen Zhang, and Zhong Qin Species climatic niche explains drought-induced die-off in a Mediterranean woody community. Gerard Sapes, Josep M. Serra-Diaz, and Francisco Lloret
5 Population, habitat, and marine location effects on early marine survival and behavior of Puget Sound steelhead smolts. Megan E. Moore and Barry A. Berejikian Responses of bottlenose dolphins and harbor porpoises to impact and vibration piling noise during harbor construction. Isla M. Graham, Enrico Pirotta, Nathan D. Merchant, Adrian Farcas, Tim R. Barton, Barbara Cheney, Gordon D. Hastie, and Paul M. Thompson Ecosystem consequences of plant genetic divergence with colonization of new habitat. Liam O. Mueller, Lauren C. Breza, Mark A. Genung, Christian P. Giardina, Nathan E. Stone, Lindsay C. Sidak-Loftis, Joseph D. Busch, David M. Wagner, Joseph K. Bailey, and Jennifer A. Schweitzer Exploring the effects of fishing pressure and upwelling intensity over subtidal kelp forest communities in Central Chile. Alejandro Pérez-Matus, Sergio A. Carrasco, Stefan Gelcich, Miriam Fernandez, and Evie A. Wieters Boom bust economics and vegetation dynamics in a desert city: How strong is the link? Julie Ripplinger, Scott L. Collins, Abigail M. York, and Janet Franklin
6 AIMS & SCOPE The scope of Ecosphere is as broad as the science of ecology itself. The journal welcomes submissions from all sub-disciplines of ecological science, as well as interdisciplinary studies relating to ecology. The journal s goal is to provide a rapid-publication, online- only, open-access alternative to ESA s other journals, while maintaining the rigorous standards of peer review for which ESA publications are renowned. OPEN ACCESS AND COPYRIGHT All articles published in Ecosphere are fully open access: immediately freely available to read, download and share. All Ecosphere articles are published under the terms of a Creative Commons Attribution License. Copyright on any article in Ecosphere is retained by the author(s). Authors grant Wiley a license to publish the article and identify itself as the original publisher. Further information about copyright and the choice of open access licenses can be found at content/12f25db4c87/copyright License.html DISCLAIMER The views expressed in this journal are not necessarily those of the Publisher, the Ecological Society of America, the Governing Board, the Editor-in-Chief, or members of the Advisory and Editorial Boards. Those parties cannot be held responsible for errors or any consequences arising from the use of information contained in this journal. ESA Membership Information: visit Us for Customer Service ESA Members: membership@esa.org Institutions/Libraries: cs-journals@wiley.com Subscription Agents: cs-agency@wiley.com Publications Staff Director of Publishing and Member Services: Steven Sayre, steve@esa.org Peer Review Manager: Ellen Cotter, ellen@esa.org Peer Review Manager: Anne Marie Whelan, annemarie@esa.org Peer Review Specialist: Jane L. Bain, jane@esa.org Peer Review Specialist: Heather Carlo, heather@esa.org Peer Review Assistant: Sarah Schneider, sarah@esa.org
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