TOURISM VISIONING & SCENARIO PLANNING EVENT

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Sheena Cunningham
6 years ago
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3 TUES, OCT 10 WED, OCT 11 TUES, NOV 14 TUES, NOV 14 WED, NOV 15 TUES, DEC 5 WED, DEC 6 WED, DEC 6 TOURISM VISIONING & SCENARIO PLANNING EVENT TOURISM PLANNING WORKSHOP CULTURAL HERITAGE & AGRITOURISM WORKSHOP CULTURAL HERITAGE & RECREATION NETWORKING EVENT ADVENTURE TRAVEL & OUTDOOR RECREATION WORKSHOP TOURISM MARKETING & COMMUNICATIONS WORKSHOP TEAMING FOR ACTION WORKSHOP COMMUNITY TOURISM CELEBRATION EVENT

6 Committed Groups

8 Playing the Futures Game Future Game for the Pacific Northwest, USA

9 Futures Game Simulation tool

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12 ROLES CEO of Eco Development Corporation Executive Director Destination Marketing Organization 1 x elected official from St Joseph 1 x elected official from Quail Valley BLM representative

13 Steps in playing the game Forward from 2010 to 2030 Four game steps (2010, 2012, 2015, 2020, then 2030) At each step you will.. Get map, decision sheet and big event card Discuss and debate decision (about 8-10 minutes) Choose 1 of the 2 options Record on decision sheet Hand in decision sheet receive next one

14 Into the future

15 Background to Game

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18 Key forces/drivers shaping the future of the region Population Growth and Pressure (Demographic Trends/Flight from Coastal Areas) Energy Cost/Availability Resource Management water, timber, preservation/utilization Land Use Planning Economic Gaps/Disparity Educational Inequality Lack of skilled workers Telecommunication/Technology Education e-commerce Public Lands Policy Infrastructure Embracing our youth Food Production Systems Global Economic Trends Emergence of Regional Community Reinvesting in Local Communities Connectivity Civic Engagement Child Poverty Climate Change Sustaining Sense of Place Summary deliberations Northern Idaho

19 Scenario Shaping Clusters of Drivers 19

20 Regional scenario shaping clusters of drivers Stewarding the Place Food production systems Land use planning Preservation and utilization of resources (timber /water) Infrastructure (housing / sewer / roads) Public Lands Policy Investing in people Civic engagement and leadership transition Educational inequalities Reinvestment in communities Child poverty Embracing our youth Emergence of regional community Economic gap /disparity Regional Scenario Shaping Clusters of Drivers Northern Idaho

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29 Debrief discussion Lesson from the game for Klamath Basin

30 Evaluations

31 Drivers to action making it simple! Transition from complexity to participation

38 Lack of product Lack of facilities like hotels, lack of restaurants, tour companies Lack of transportation services

39 Provide more product recreation, food, arts, heritage Encourage longer stays Develop unified brand and tourism messaging

41 What is Scenario Planning? A tool best used to embrace an uncertain future Explores a range of plausible futures Allows for the consideration of complex and interrelated forces

42 Explore Trends and Implications for tourism industry Drivers Shaping Klamath Basin Develop four plausible scenarios Implications for the Klamath Basin Preferred Future and action planning

43 Importance / Uncertainty matrix Rate each driver on a 1 5 scale (1=low; 5=high) Driver Importance Uncertainty

44 Uncertainty 3.50 RTS Klamath Basin - Scenario Shaping Clusters of Drivers Impacts of climate change and natural disasters Management of natural resources and biodiversity 3.00 Energy and fuel costs Land use planning Government regulation and funding Local economic development efforts Lodging developments Cost of living 2.50 Regional population changes Aging population Regional recreation infrastructure 2.00 Local access to services such as healthcare Suitably trained local workforce Regional transport infrastructure Quality of life in region Regional collaboration and engagement Access to information and communication technology Importance

45 Ability to leverage our human capacity Regional collaboration and engagement Local economic development efforts Quality of life in the region Suitably trained local workforce Regional tourism and economic infrastructure Lodging Developments Regional recreation infrastructure Access to information and communication technology Regional transport infrastructure

46 Ability to leverage human capacity Regional scenarios based on two scenario shaping clusters Effective planning. collaboration and actions that are anchored in local values, aspirations and skills. Scenario A Scenario B Lack of critical infrastructures to support viable tourism industry Regional tourism and economic infrastructure Well resourced local tourism and economic infrastructures Scenario D Scenario C Fragmented and disjointed efforts with conflicting priorities.

47 Scenario name and brief description Social Characteristics Economic Characteristics Environmental Characteristics

48 Scenario Group Headline news for the following years

49 Regional dimensions to consider (What will tourism in Klamath Basin look like in 2030?)

50 Suggested Scenario Group timeline Group meet and scope-out scenario (15m) Develop characteristics (30m) Headline News and (10m) Short scenario name (5m) Return to main room ready to present

51 Ability to leverage human capacity Regional scenarios based on two scenario shaping clusters Effective planning. collaboration and actions that are anchored in local values, aspirations and skills. Scenario A Scenario B Lack of critical infrastructures to support viable tourism industry Regional tourism and economic infrastructure Well resourced local tourism and economic infrastructures Scenario D Scenario C Fragmented and disjointed efforts with conflicting priorities.

52 Ability to leverage human capacity Fragmented and disjointed efforts with conflicting priorities. Regional scenarios based on two scenario shaping clusters Effective planning. collaboration and actions that are anchored in local values, aspirations and skills. XX XX Lack of critical infrastructures to support viable tourism industry Regional tourism and economic infrastructure Well resourced local tourism and economic infrastructures XX XX

Ability to leverage human capacity KLAMATH BASIN RURAL TOURISM STUDIO Scenario A Scenario B Instructions On the grid at the left, please use the following point assignments to rate the preferred and

53 Ability to leverage human capacity KLAMATH BASIN RURAL TOURISM STUDIO Scenario A Scenario B Instructions On the grid at the left, please use the following point assignments to rate the preferred and expected futures. Regional tourism and economic infrastructure EXPECTED FUTURE Please assign to the grid a E1 in the cell you view as the mostly likely expected future, if nothing changes. Scenario D Scenario C PREFERRED FUTURE Please assign to the grid a P1 in the cell that represents your most preferred future in 2030.

54 Ability to leverage human capacity Regional scenarios based on two scenario shaping clusters Lack of critical infrastructur es to support viable tourism industry XX XX XX XX Regional tourism and economic infrastructure XX Effective planning. collaboration and actions that are anchored in local values, aspirations and skills. XX XX XX XX XX XX XX Well resourced local tourism and economic infrastructures Fragmented and disjointed efforts with conflicting priorities.

55 Scenario A XXXX Community / social xx Environmental Xx Economy XX

56 Scenario B XXXX Community / social xx Environmental Xx Economy XX

57 Scenario C XXXX Community / social xx Environmental Xx Economy XX

58 Scenario D XXXX Community / social xx Environmental Xx Economy XX

RURAL TOURISM STUDIO VISIONING & PLANNING WORKSHOP KLAMATH BASIN REGION

RURAL TOURISM STUDIO VISIONING & PLANNING WORKSHOP KLAMATH BASIN REGION Report from regional scenario planning and visioning activities conducted on October 10 & 11, 2017 RURAL TOURISM STUDIO VISIONING