CHANGES IN 21 ST CENTURY OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES

Transcription

1 TIGER LEONG INNOVATION & ENTREPRENEUR CAMP # 3 CHANGES IN 21 ST CENTURY OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES Professor Worsak Kanok-Nukulchai President, Asian Institute of Thechnology Fellow of Academy of Sciences, Royal Society of Thailand

2 Milestones in Human History Exponential Growth of Technology Process of Technological Disruption Global Megatrends Why Education Needs Disruptions?

3 Name the 3 milestones in humankind history that have significantly change the human lifestyle? 23/07/2018 WK 4

4 THREE MILESTONES TO CIVILIZATION The Digital Revolution 20 th and 21 st Centuries The Industrial Revolution 18 th and 19 th Centuries The Agricultural Revolution 16 th and 17 th Centuries 23/07/2018 WK 5 WKanok-Nukulchai

5 Guest what might be the 4 th Revolution that may completely change the lifestyle of humankind? 23/07/2018 WK WKanok-Nukulchai 6

6 THE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENT REVOLUTION See you in the late 21st Century! Computers will overtake humans with AI within the next 100 years. When that happens, we need to make sure the computers have goals aligned with ours. Stephen Hawking May 12, /07/2018 WK 7

7 23/07/2018 WK WKanok-Nukulchai 8

8 Milestones in Human History Exponential Growth of Technology Process of Technological Disruption Global Megatrends Why Education Needs Disruptions?

9 QUOTE The reason that information technology grows exponentially is that we can use the latest technology to develop the next. Dr. Ray Kurzweil, the Author of Best-Seller Book: The Singularity is Near WKanok-Nukulchai

10 Exponential Growth 23/07/2018 WK 11 WKanok-Nukulchai

11 Exponential Growth of World Population

12 Exponential Growth of World Life Expectancy

13 Exponential Growth

14 (Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)

15 Sleeping Beauty wakes up after 50 years sleeping. Sleep from 1900 Wake Up 1950 Sleep from 2000 Wake Up 2050 WKanok-Nukulchai

16 Singularity! We are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth. Vernor Vinge The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence, 2015 By Tim Urban

17 Peter Diamandis, Ray Kurzweil s Mind-Boggling Predictions for the Next 25 Years,2015

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19 Photo credit: The Future of Work by Andrew Curry The Futures Company

20 (Canadian Futurist)

21 Milestones in Human History Exponential Growth of Technology Process of Technological Disruption Global Megatrends Why Education Needs Disruptions?

22 The Change in Technology 1. Change is Rapid. Continuous change of technologies requires continuous learning 23/07/2018 WK 23 WKanok-Nukulchai

23 The Change in Technology 2. Change is Global Global competitiveness requires continuous refreshing of technologies 23/07/2018 WK 24 WKanok-Nukulchai

24 The Change in Technology 3. Change is Disruptive Change has disrupted the established technologies that we have just learned yesterday! WKanok-Nukulchai 23/07/2018 WK 25

25 23/07/2018 WK (Credit photo: Tony Seba) 26

26 13 Years Later 23/07/2018 WK (Credit photo: Tony Seba) 27

27 Shibuya years later Shibuya 2030 WKanok-Nukulchai

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29 23/07/2018 WK 30

30 TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS (Already Here) 23/07/2018 WK 31 WKanok-Nukulchai

31 TECHNOLOGY DISRUPTIONS (Coming Soon ) 23/07/2018 WK 32 WKanok-Nukulchai

32 The Six Ds a road map of rapid development that always leads to enormous upheaval and opportunity digitization deception disruption demonetization dematerialization democratization Peter Diamandis

33 Digital information is easy to access, share, and distribute, it can spread at the speed of internet. (Credit photo: W. Kanok-Nukulchai )

34 Exponential Growth Linear Growth Initial period of growth is normally deceptive until the digital product breaks its linear expectation. (Credit photo: W. Kanok-Nukulchai )

35 Exponential Growth Linear Growth Sooner or later, traditional product will be outperformed and disrupted by digital technology. (Credit photo: W. Kanok-Nukulchai )

36 20 Years Later.All of these fit in your pocket Separated technologies that were once bulky and expensive are now all in a smart phone. (Credit photo: P. Diamantis )

37 Money is increasingly a non-issue, as technology becomes cheaper, often to the point of being free. (Credit photo: P. Diamantis )

38 Powerful technologies are no longer only for governments, large corporates, or the wealthy. (Credit photo: W. Kanok-Nukulchai )

39 Milestones in Human History Exponential Growth of Technology Process of Technological Disruption Global Megatrends Why Education Needs Disruptions?

40 The selected 6 Global Megatrends concern: 1 Issues that have to do with our planet. 2 Issues that have to do with the way we choose to live on this planet (social, economic, political). 3 Issues that have to do with the way we regulate our life on this planet (normative, legal).

41 GLOBAL MEGATRENDS 1. Population Boom Your text W. Kanok-Nukulchai

42 23/07/2018 WK (Credit photo: Anders Lindgren) 44

43 23/07/2018 WK (Credit photo: Anders Lindgren) 45

44 GLOBAL MEGATRENDS 1. Population Boom Your text 2. Rapid Urbanization W. Kanok-Nukulchai

45 23/07/2018 WK (Credit photo: Anders Lindgren) 47

46 23/07/2018 WK 48 (Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)

47 GLOBAL MEGATRENDS 1. Population Boom Your text 2. Rapid Urbanization 3. Climate Change W. Kanok-Nukulchai

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49 There is no place like home

50 GLOBAL MEGATRENDS 1. Population Boom Your text 2. Rapid Urbanization 4. Global Connectedness 3. Climate Change W. Kanok-Nukulchai

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52 23/07/2018 WK (Credit photo: Anders Lindgren) 54

53 GLOBAL MEGATRENDS 1. Population Boom 5. Wealth Inequality Your text 2. Rapid Urbanization 4. Global Connectedness 3. Climate Change W. Kanok-Nukulchai

54 23/07/2018 WK 56 (Credit photo: Anders Lindgren)

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56 GLOBAL MEGATRENDS 6. Aging Society 1. Population Boom 5. Wealth Inequality Your text 2. Rapid Urbanization 4. Global Connectedness 3. Climate Change W. Kanok-Nukulchai

57 SUPER-AGING SOCIETY The ratio of Japanese population aged over 65 years reached 26% in 2015, and to rise to 40% by around

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59 Milestones in Human History Exponential Growth of Technology Process of Technological Disruption Global Megatrends Why Education Needs Disruptions?

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61 Exponential Growth of Technology 1 Change occurs so rapidly that the human mind cannot imagine what will happen next.. 2 Education must prepare for intense periods of social, cultural, and economic transformation. WKanok-Nukulchai

62 Projection on Exponential Changes Changes of the World Pre-Industrial Age Industrial Age Digital Age Today (2017) A.I. Age Projection on Today s Global Megatrends Projection on Traditional Model Time of the World WKanok-Nukulchai

63 WHY EDUCATION MUST CHANGE: Today s education is not fit to the world of tomorrow. 23/07/2018 WK WKanok-Nukulchai 65

64 Why Lifelong Learning? It is no longer possible to acquire knowledge once and spend the rest of one s life applying them 23/07/2018 WK 66 WKanok-Nukulchai

65 Which future do we prepare today s students for? We are currently preparing students for jobs that don t yet exist, Using technologies that haven t been yet invented, In order to solve problems we don t even know are problems yet. WKanok-Nukulchai

66 DON T GAMBLE FOR A FUTURE, PREPARE TO ADAPT TO ANY FUTURE. Today, it is more and more difficult to predict the future; it s better to prepare oneself to be capable of adapting to any future change! 23/07/2018 WK 68 WKanok-Nukulchai

67 Information vs Knowledge When we talk about knowledge, we frequently confuse the knowledge with data and information. WKanok-Nukulchai

68 Educational Currencies Information Knowledge Wisdom Combined bits and pieces of data here and there. Personal understanding of related information Personal mastery of applying knowledges. WKanok-Nukulchai

69 Wisdom Knowledge Information Mastering Understanding Collecting Data WKanok-Nukulchai

70 Photo Credit :

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72 NO NEED TO ACCUMULATE, NO NEED TO MEMORIZE. JUST-IN-TIME MUSIC! JUST-IN-TIME INFORMATION! CLOUD! STREAMS! WKanok-Nukulchai

73 MY PROPOSAL Every human individual should be equipped, at least, with Universal Basic Competence, which includes basic knowledges in STEM + Humanity, and skills that are required for his life-long learning in the future. Worsak Kanok-Nukulchai WKanok-Nukulchai

74 UNIVERSAL BASIC COMPETENCE In the future world of VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity), the 4- year higher education should equip students with Universal Basic Competence needed for lifelong learning, consisting of basic knowledge in STEM + H + SS + En +L + A + 21 st Century Skills WKanok-Nukulchai S = Science, T = Technology, E = Engineering, M = Mathematics H = Humanities, SS = Social Science, En = Entrepreneurship, L = Law, A = Arts

75 SKILL SET FOR FUTURE GLOBAL CITIZENS 21 st CENTURY SKILLS Collaboration skills Communication skills Critical thinking skills Creativity skills Information technology skills Numeracy skills Problem-solving skills WKanok-Nukulchai

76 Post-Graduate Professional Degrees LEARN TO BE SPECIALISTS Engineering Agriculture Medical Sciences Laws Under Grad Life Science Political Science WKanok-Nukulchai Architect Business Management

77 CHANGES OF EDUCATION 19 th CENTURY EDUCATION 1. Copy & Memorization Skill 2. Collected Information 3. Contemporary Knowledge 4. Forgotten & Obsolete Knowledge 5. Deadwood 21 st CENTURY EDUCATION 1. Lifelong Learning Skill 2. Basic Knowledge 3. Just-in-time Information 4. Fresh & Up-to-date Knowledge 5. Wisdom WKanok-Nukulchai

78 A UNIVERSITY MODEL OF THE FUTURE Continuous Technological Changes Longer Health-Span Global Megatrends WKanok-Nukulchai

79 BUSINESS AS USUAL IS DEAD UNIVERSITY AS USUAL IS DYING WKanok-Nukulchai

80 Questions session.