UK Subsea Sector, The Invisible Global Player

Transcription

1 UK Subsea Sector, The Invisible Global Player An Overview of the Global Impact of UK Subsea Engineering Companies and Personnel Will Rowley Director of Analytical Services Infield Systems Limited Infield Systems Ltd 2006

2 Forward Looking Disclaimer The information contained in this document is believed to be accurate, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Infield Systems Limited as to the completeness, accuracy or fairness of any information contained in it, and we do not accept any responsibility in relation to such information whether fact, opinion or conclusion that the reader may draw. The views expressed are those of the individual contributors and do not represent those of the publishers. Some of the statements contained in this document are forward-looking statements. Forward looking statements include but are not limited to, statements concerning estimates of recoverable hydrocarbons, expected hydrocarbon prices, expected costs, numbers of development units, statements relating to the continued advancement of the industry s projects and other statements which are not historical facts. When used in this document, and in other published information of the Company, the words such as "could," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "may," "potential," "should," and similar expressions are forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes that its expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, such statements involve risk and uncertainties and no assurance can be given that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements. Various factors could cause actual results to differ from these forwardlooking statements including the potential for the industry s projects to experience technical or mechanical problems or changes in financial decisions, geological conditions in the reservoir may not result in a commercial level of oil and gas production, changes in product prices and other risks not anticipated by the Company. Since forward-looking statements address future events and conditions, by their very nature, they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Infield Systems Limited 2006 Subtech06 2 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

3 Infield Systems Ltd [aka Infield or ISL] Facility $m WD (m) $m U n its $ m Africa 3000 Australasia Latin America 2500 North America WD (m) Asia Europe Middle East Actual Year of Spend 30 FPSs FPSO Spar TLP Other Year Installed Year Installed ,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 FPSO FPSs TLP Spar Other BP CABGOC CNR ConocoPhillips ExxonMobil Shell Star Deep Statoil Total Woodside Oil Co Actual Year of Spend Ultra-deep Deep Shallow Specialist boutique in offshore energy 20 th year of operation Highly respected internationally with clients in every continent Clients - operators, contractors, suppliers, finance & investment, Governments & NGOs Worldwide offshore coverage unique databases & info Full suite of products and services data, publications & analytical services Offshore Energy Database - unique global database with >25million data points Specialist Vessel Database 600+ offshore vessels incl specs (pipelay, heavy lift, construction etc) OFFPEX Modelling & Forecasting System - highly developed proprietary modelling & forecasting Bottom-up, project-by-project analysis, fully transparent Tailored reports, studies and surveys Major sector & regional reports, Global Perspectives & Regional Perspectives series Match & Track tailored models & forecasting service Market due diligence & benchmarking analysis Offshore Indices activity & cost indices including future indicators Vessel Activity Log contracts & activity of specialist vessels Contracts Database industry wide contract data & information, current & historical Supply & Demand Analysis Benchmarking & scheduling analysis $m 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Actual Year of Spend Subtech06 3 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

4 Contents Global subsea market Brief overview UK influence People Companies Conclusion Subtech06 4 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

5 Global Subsea Market $11.7bn market p.a. direct expenditure (narrow ISL def n) Growing >11% p.a. 87% activity outside UK waters Most growth is outside UK waters Deepwater still backbone of growth Africa 6,000 Asia 5,000 Australasia US$ Millions 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Europe Latin America Middle East & Caspian North America Year On-stream Subtech06 5 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

6 Global Subsea Market Every deepwater project has a subsea element Water depths are increasing Technical challenges increasing HPHT Processing Flow assurance Subsea to shore etc Subsea continues to be a critical element in delivering offshore future production growth - worldwide Subtech06 6 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

7 To many here the previous slides are not new news, everyone is busy and our industry constantly talks about deepwater & subsea And the subsea sector, according to Subsea UK, contributes > 3bn to the UK economy But. This paper calls it The UK s Invisible Global Player And I m here to provide an overview of its global impact? So.. I started with a simple exercise Where in the world have I had personal contact with UK Subsea Engineering Companies & Personnel? Subtech06 7 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

8 Global Influence Subtech06 8 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

9 Global Influence The previous map gives my personal experience of UK contacts in relation to the global subsea market - Note personal view not scientific Without exception every major subsea project that I have had any contact with has involved UK personnel A considerable number of subsea related senior project managers and engineers are British The following map highlights key offices of UK engineering companies Subtech06 9 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

10 Office locations major UK companies Subtech06 10 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

11 Scale of influence around the world A quantitative assessment of the global impact of the UK subsea industry does not exist Research completed on subsea related projects & contracts from our databases & files suggests On average >82% of subsea projects worldwide involve UK companies in at least one of the following subsea sectors; Engineering design or project management, equipment supply, survey, installation and testing & inspection. In addition UK personnel are widely distributed amongst senior positions within operators of all types, across the world The UK therefore has considerable influence within the global subsea sector The real problem is Subtech06 11 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

12 Scale of influence around the world Those on the inside can see it but those on the outside can t. A cautionary tale: Most subsea personnel are much older than me Extended influence through elevated positions Influence will wane over time Lower positions & growing influence of local companies & personnel often trained by UK personnel Same message I gave in a DTI report on Offshore E&D in 2001 Subtech06 12 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

13 Conclusion UK subsea sector is a major global influence Companies & personnel spread throughout the world Very strong technical & professional reputation External visibility of this success is limited. The sector did not just become invisible, we let it. Subtech06 13 Infield Systems Ltd 2006

14 Sources OFFPEX Forecasting & Modelling System Infield s Offshore Energy Database Infield s Specialist Vessels Database Infield s Offshore Contracts Database Infield s Offshore Cost Indices Used by over 87% of the offshore industry s major players Will Rowley - Director of Analytical Services will@infield.com