SPACE DEBRIS AND SPACE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYMPOSIUM 2004
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1 SPACE DEBRIS AND SPACE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYMPOSIUM 2004 Edited by Joerg Bendisch Volume 110 SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY SERIES A Supplement to Advances in the Astronautical Sciences Proceedings of the International Academy of Astronautics Space Debris and Space Traffic Management Symposium, held in conjunction with the 55th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), October 4-8, 2004, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. Published for the American Astronautical Society by Univelt, Incorporated, P.O. Box 28130, San Diego, California Web Site: Published by permission of The International Academy of Astronautics
2 Copyright 2005 by AMERICAN ASTRONAUTICAL SOCIETY AAS Publications Office P.O. Box San Diego, California Affiliated with the American Association for the Advancement of Science Member of the International Astronautical Federation First Printing 2005 ISSN ISBN (Hard Cover Plus CD ROM) ISBN (Soft Cover Plus CD ROM) Published for the American Astronautical Society by Univelt, Incorporated, P.O. Box 28130, San Diego, California Web Site: Printed and Bound in the U.S.A. vi
3 CONTENTS Page FOREWORD vii SPACE SURVEILLANCE, MEASUREMENTS AND MODELING OF SPACE DEBRIS AND METEOROIDS 1 Modelling of the Optical Observations of a Geosynchronous Fragmentation Event (IAC-04-IAA ) Christopher J. Saunders Results from the GEO Debris Survey with MODEST (IAC-04-IAA ) Patrick Seitzer, Kira Jorgensen, John Africano, Tracy Parr-Thumm, Mark Matney, Kandy Jarvis and Eugene Stansbery Analysis of the Space Debris Environment with SDM 3.0 (IAC-04-IAA ) Alessandro Rossi, Luciano Anselmo, Carmen Pardini, Giovanni B. Valsecchi and Rüdiger Jehn Upgrading the ESA-MASTER Model (IAC-04-IAA ) Michael Oswald, Sebastian Stabroth, Carsten Wiedemann, Peter Vörsmann, Peter Wegener, Clare Martin, Damian Smith and Heiner Klinkrad Additional Validation Results for the Small Particles Fraction in the ESA MASTER Space Debris Model (IAC-04-IAA ) Sebastian Stabroth, Michael Oswald, Carsten Wiedemann, Peter Vörsmann, Peter Wegener and Heiner Klinkrad A Consideration on Size and Area-to-Mass Distributions for Breakup Fragments (IAC-04-IAA ) H. Hata, T. Hanada, T. Yasaka, Y. Akahoshi and S. Harada Evolution and Expansion of the Orbital Debris Scenario based on Constant Gain Kalman Filter Approach (IAC-04-IAA ) M. R. Ananthasayanam, A. K. Anilkumar and P. V. Subba Rao RISK ANALYSIS, HYPERVELOCITY IMPACT AND PROTECTION 95 Advanced Shields for Manned Space Modules (IAC-04-IAA ) Eberhard Schneider, Frank Schäfer, Roberto Destefanis and Michel Lambert Hypervelocity Impact Tests on Metal Mesh Materials (IAC-04-IAA ) Masumi Higashide, Makoto Tanaka, Yasuhiro Akahoshi and Fumio Tohyama ix
4 Page Impact Sensor Network for Detection of Hypervelocity Impacts on Spacecraft (IAC-04-IAA ) Frank Schäfer and Rolf Janovsky A Standardized Method for Re-Entry Risk Evaluation (IAC-04-IAA ) Heiner Klinkrad, Bent Fritsche and Tobias Lips Modeling of Spacecraft Explosions During Re-Entry (IAC-04-IAA ) Bent Fritsche, Georg Koppenwallner and Tobias Lips A Comparison of Commonly Used Re-Entry Analysis Tools (IAC-04-IAA ) Tobias Lips and Bent Fritsche Estimation of On-Ground Risk Due to Uncontrolled Re-Entries From Eccentric Orbits (IAC-04-IAA ) Priyankar Bandyopadhyay and Krishna Kumar MITIGATION MEASURES, STANDARDS 191 Collision Avoidance as a Debris Mitigation Measure (IAC-04-IAA ) William H. Ailor and Glenn E. Peterson Consequences of Space Debris Mitigation Guidelines on Geostationary Transfer Orbits (IAC-04-IAA ) F. Alby, B. Deguine, C. Bonnal and P. M. Ratte Introducing the ESA DRAMA Tool (IAC-04-IAA ) C. E. Martin, J. E. Cheese, N. Sánchez-Ortiz, H. Klinkrad, K. Bunte, S. Hauptmann, B. Fritsche and T. Lips Orbital Spacecraft Active Removal (IAC-04-IAA ) J. E. Cheese, C. E. Martin and H. Klinkrad A LEO Satellite Postmission Disposal Study Using LEGEND (IAC-04-IAA ) J.-C. Liou and Nicholas L. Johnson Upgrading the ESA MASTER Model (IAC-04-IAA ) Michael Oswald, Sebastian Stabroth, Carsten Wiedemann and Peter Vörsmann SPACE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT 267 Space Traffic Management Makes Sense (IAC-04-IAA ) Luboš Perek Consequences of a Space Traffic Management Concept for National Space Legislation (IAC-04-IAA ) Michael Gerhard Space Traffic Management in the GEOstationary Ring (IAC-04-IAA ) R. Jehn, H. Klinkrad, W. Flury, C. Hernandez and V. Agapov x
5 Page MODELING AND RISK ANALYSIS OF SPACE DEBRIS AND METEOROIDS 297 Modeling of RORSAT NaK Droplets for the MASTER 2005 Upgrade (IAC-04-IAA ) Carsten Wiedemann, Michael Oswald, Sebastian Stabroth, Heiner Klinkrad and Peter Vörsmann Modeling the Sodium Potassium Droplet Interactions With the Low Earth Orbit Space Debris Environment (IAC-04-IAA ) Paula H. Krisko and James L. Foster Space Debris Environment Analysis With DELTA 2.0 (IAC-04-IAA ) C. E. Martin, J. E. Cheese and H. Klinkrad A Proposed Reference Collision Probability Estimation Model of the Space Debris Scenario (IAC-04-IAA ) A. K. Anilkumar, M. R. Ananthasayanam and P. V. Subba Rao Parameter Relations in Orbital Collision Risk Reduction (IAC-04-IAA ) Russell P. Patera Collision Risk Analysis for Spaceborne Interferometric SAR Systems (IAC-03-IAA ) H. G. Lewis, G. G. Swinerd and S. E. Channer Collision Avoidance Manouevres During Spacecraft Mission Lifetime: Analysis of Operational Missions (IAC-04-IAA ) Noelia Sánchez-Ortiz, Miguel Belló-Mora and Heiner Klinkrad Dynamic Orbital Debris Collision Risk Mitigation (IAC-03-IAA ) Mark J. Matney APPENDICES 405 Publications of the American Astronautical Society Advances in the Astronautical Sciences Science and Technology Series AAS History Series INDEX 425 Numerical Index Author Index xi
SPACE DEBRIS AND SPACE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT SYMPOSIUM 2005
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