Disruptive Technologies By Bader Abdulaziz Kanoo. Research & Innovation Summit March 8th 2017

Transcription

1 Disruptive Technologies By Bader Abdulaziz Kanoo : Research & Innovation Summit March 8th 2017

2 : Disruptive Technologies A disruptive technology is one that displaces an established technology and shakes up the industry or a ground-breaking product that creates a completely new industry.

3 Create objects by printing them, just input a design and raw materials. Status: typical technological innovation that will get better, faster, cheaper exponentially. Common in aerospace, orthopedic and dental applications. Fast adoption in oil, gas and military Status: unstoppable avalanche. Think years, not decades. 3D PRINTING

4 Remove the driver from the vehicle (car, airplane, ship). Status: closely follows the progress in machine learning and artificial intelligence though it does not need to be a ML/AI solution itself. AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES As with all autonomous and AI-based technology: ethical and legal issues to be solved, certainly when applied for military purposes. Requires large investments in infrastructure. Status: very large industry effort to get this thing going. General-purpose full autonomy not anytime soon but already very useable partial autonomy.

5 Everything connected to the internet, like a bionic layer over planet earth. From large industrial machines to MEMS (micro electromechanical sensors). Typical, predictable technological innovation: will get faster, cheaper FAST! Huge privacy and security issues, a hackers paradise. Status: unstoppable avalanche. Think years, not decades THE INTERNET OF THINGS

6 Programs that are intelligent By 2029 no computer or machine intelligence will have passed the Turing test Status: already widespread use for specialized tasks, first general purpose AI (the Alpha GO) self-teaches and outplays humans on Go and Atarigames. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

7 Organisms created to genetic specification. Status: overhyped, little progress since the disappointing Human Genome Project. Big ethical issues. We can modify plants to grow human collagen, not much more Genetic determinism still just an dream. Genomics stumbling from one failing hypothesis to another. Being able to decode or edit a genome does not mean understanding it. At all. It takes more than CRISPR. DESIGNER SPECIES Greedy investment climate because of big, patentable promises.

8 BIONICS (mind-controlled) exoskeletons, prosthetics, bodyparts and super-senses. Partly in realm of engineering and as such will see the same (albeit more uneven) exponential progress (3D-printing, materials, electronics etc). The neurological / biological part of the tech will remain difficult. Successful neural interfaces within a decade. Status: successful on disabled people but won t be popular among healthy people soon because mechanics still very inferior to organics.

9 THE COLLABORATIVE ECONOMY An economy in which machines, algorithms and people are producing and sharing things without much bureaucracy or central planning. An ecosystem of platforms. Task-based economy, not job-based. Very compatible with robots and AI. Like the industrial economy, it too will be owned by a few people. Status: taking over right now, resisted big time. Think decades not years.

10 BITCOIN Cash money over the internet. No need for banks or governments. First application of the blockchain. Decentralizing technology. Status: proven, stable, secure technology. Ready for take off. All it needs is a good old fashioned financial crisis.

11 The decentralized ledger. Eliminates the need for trusted or intermediate parties when transacting. Blockchains enable property (incl. money) to be exchanged and assigned instantly, undisputable, secure and internetted. Makes any property cash property. On the blockchain, nobody knows you re a fridge, allows machines to become economic actors. THE BLOCKCHAIN

12 ANTI-GRAVITY DEVICES Electrogravitics. Manipulating gravity like we can manipulate electromagnetism and light. To be able to generate, shield, store, emit etc. gravity. Gravity is not described by quantum theory unlike all other (known) fundamental forces. Only scientific theory is in classical physics not particle physics. Status: waiting for a very fundamental scientific breakthrough

13 OVERUNITY ENERGY DEVICES The absolute holy grail of innovation and technology: devices that produce more energy than they use by drawing from the zero-point field. Limitless, free energy. Would instantly promote mankind to a type I or II civilization on the Kardashev scale. The legacy of Nikolai Tesla Status: still very much in the realm of myth and conspiracy theory. Proven in hundreds of laboratories around the world -- Dr. Brian O Leary, Ph.D, scientist, author, Princeton/Cornell physics professor, and former NASA astronaut.

14 Nature invented 3D printing billion years ago (morphogenesis). Has been running an internet for millions of years (mycelia). Is using quantum technology for millions of years (bird navigation). Etc. A human cell has 10 billion moving parts, more complicated than a modern nuclear submarine. Your body has 370 trillion such cells. Science not very successful in understanding nature because she doesn t fit the mechanistic paradigm. Her most common trick (selforganization, homeostasis, anti-chaos) has no scientific explanation. Nature is the master of exponentiality and crowdsourcing. It s everywhere. For solutions, always look to nature first! Bio-mimicry. The more technology evolves, the more it will become biological BIOLOGY IS THE ULTIMATE TECHNOLOGY

15 FACTORY WORKER

16 FACTORY WORKER Cost: $5 per replaced worker per day!

17 AMAZON AUTOMATED WAREHOUSE

18 SECURITY GUARD, UBER PARKING

19 SNIPER

20 PIZZA DELIVERY GUY

21 ROBO CHEFF

22 AI LAWYER ROSS

23 FARM WORKERS

24 LET US HOPE FOR THE BEST

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26 Houston Technology Center- Middle East

27 US -Asia- Middle East Technology Pipeline 2

28 1 of 10 Technology Incubators Changing the World International Business Magazine 1 of 12 Business Incubators Changing the World 4

29 Open Innovation = Better R&D HTC- Middle East will accelerate and optimize the R&D efforts of leading multinational corporations via Open Innovation The central idea behind open innovation is that, in a world of widely distributed knowledge, companies cannot afford to rely entirely on their own research, but should instead buy or license processes or inventions (i.e. patents) from other companies. * Open innovation is a paradigm that assumes that firms can and should use external ideas as well as internal ideas, and internal and external paths to market, as the firms look to advance their technology ** Open Innovation was first promoted by Henry Chesbrough, a professor and executive director at the Center for Open Innovation at the University of California, Berkeley. It is understood as the systematic encouragement and exploration of a wide rangeof internal and external sources for innovative opportunities, the integration of this exploration with firm capabilities and resources, and the exploitation of these opportunities through multiple channels. *** HTC s Open Innovation Process intimately embeds corporate partners within its growing ecosystem of hundreds of start up U.S. technology companies. HTC is an external extension and accelerator for your internal technology scouting and R&D teams. *Chesbrough, Henry William (2003). "The era of open innovation". MIT Sloan Management Review **Chesbrough, Henry William (1 March 2003). Open Innovation: The new imperative for creating and profiting from technology. Boston: Harvard Business Schoo ***West, J.; Gallagher, S. (2006). "Challenges of open innovation: The paradox of firm investment in open-source software". R and D Management 5

30 Start Ups + Large Companies HTC Middle East connects BIG IDEAS to solve BIG PROBLEMS for BIG COMPANIES 6

31 OPPORTUNITIES Connect corporations with an extensive ecosystem of emerging disruptive technologies: JV s International Licensing Product Testing Strategic Partnerships Business Development Corporate Venture Capital 9

32 Win-Win Collaborations Start ups are great at innovating but have trouble commercializing and scaling. Big companies are great at commercializing and scaling but have trouble innovating. 10

33 How does USA.inc manage innovation Collaboration with innovators Support of Startups Acquisition of ideas and companies that are early stratus Decentralized innovation model which is highly cost effective

34 Focused Divisions ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES Fossil, Petro-Chemicals, CCUS, Clean, Green, Renewable Alternative, & Water Technologies LIFE SCIENCES Bio & Nano Technologies & Medical Devices INDUSTRIAL IT NASA Aerospace, Aeronautics, Robotics A nexus of new ideas, technological innovation, and entrepreneurship for these four verticals. 12

35 THANK YOU!!