The Power of Exponential Thinking

Transcription

1 The Power of Exponential Thinking An Introduction to Singularity University 2016 Singularity University

2 What is Singularity University (SU)? We are a global community using exponential technologies to tackle the world s biggest challenges and build an abundant future for

3 WHO WE ARE Our impact mission Positively impact 1 billion people in the next decade using exponentially growing technologies: Computers and networks 3D Printing Digital medicine Impact Artificial intelligence Synthetic biology Nanotechnology Robotics DISASTER RESILIENCE ENERGY ENVIRONMENT FOOD GOVERNANCE GLOBAL LEARNING PROSPERITY SECURITY SHELTER SPACE WATER HEALTH

4 Intro to exponentials and abundance

5 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS Human development over 250,000+ years Local + Linear

6 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS Human development over 50 years... Exponential + Global

7 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS Human history The world has changed dramatically since the Industrial Revolution and the rate of change continues to accelerate.

8 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS The exponential growth of data 5 billion gigabytes In 2010 In 2013 ~2 days ~10 minutes >100 hours of video content is added to YouTube every minute A commercial airliner generates >1 Terabyte of data per day.

9 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS What is driving this? Moore s Law: Price performance of computers doubles every months Gordon Moore

10 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS Integrated circuits 1958: 2 transistors 1971: Intel : Nvidia s GPU 2 transistors 2,300 transistors 7.1 billion transistors 10K (faster) & 10M (cheaper) 100 billion-fold improvement (40

11 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS Exponential growth Accelerometer: $1 Early ICBM navigation Inertial Measurement Unit 1960 s $ Millions 50 lbs Velocity/Orientation/Accel. Gyroscope: $3 Molecular machines Free and embedded

12 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS Exponential growth 1st commercial GPS receiver in 1981 Weight: 53 lbs; Cost: $119,900 Single-chip GPS receiver in 2010 <$5 each

13 INTRO TO EXPONENTIALS Exponential growth 1000x resolution 1000x lighter 1000x cheaper 1,000,000,000 x better 1976: 1st digital camera (Kodak) 0.01 MP / 3.75 lbs / $10, : Mobile digital camera >10 MP / 0.03 lbs / $10

14 How Technology Can Create Abundance

15 Technology is a force that takes what was once scarce and makes it abundant. Peter Diamandis

16 SCARCITY VS. ABUNDANCE 6 Ds exponential framework Democratize Digitized Deceptive Disruptive (Information Tech) Demonetize Dematerialize Because of exponential growth of computing speed, once something can be digitized it can become dramatically less expensive and available to everyone moving from scarcity to abundance, though it often is underwhelming at first.

17 SCARCITY VS. ABUNDANCE In only 20 years... An entire store s worth of electronic products all fit in your pocket...and come for free on your phone as

18 SCARCITY VS. ABUNDANCE Yesterday vs. today RECORD STORE BOOK STORE LONG DISTANCE RESEARCH LIBRARY CLASSIFIEDS LOCAL

19 SCARCITY VS. ABUNDANCE The new Kodak moment Linear Exponential 1996: Market cap: $28M Employees: 140, : Bankrupt Employees: 17,000 April, 2012: Market cap: $1B Employees: 13

20 SCARCITY VS. ABUNDANCE The new housing moment Linear Exponential $8.4B $4B in revenue Founded in 1957 $20B $250M in revenue Founded in 2008

21 In 10 years, it s predicted that 40% of the Fortune 500 companies will no longer exist as things that were once scarce become abundant

22 A community with a bold and abundant mindset

23 A BOLD AND ABUNDANT MINDSET Global alumni 21,093 alumni and participants Representing 110 countries and territories

24 A BOLD AND ABUNDANT MINDSET Our global community Education Innovation Community Impact 21,093 Educated 34 Startup companies 101,495 Community members 373 Impact initiatives 4,284 Conferences 3,570 Summits $181.6M Capital raised by startups 110 Countries and territories 93 New organizations 15 Enacted policy 603 Global Solutions Programs 1,982 Executive Programs 302 Number of startup employees 53 Chapters in 33 countries 41 R&D projects 67 Education and awareness 34 Labs programs 10,620 Custom Programs 2 Exits 28 Innovation Partnership Program members 94 Global Impact Challenges 76 Organizational innovation 81 Mobilized resources 11 Development org partners

25 A BOLD AND ABUNDANT MINDSET Supporting our community along the innovation journey Learn 1 Ideate 2 Incubate 3 Leap 4 See the future Design the future Test the future Become the future SU and our global community supports organizations, entrepreneurs and individuals via learning and innovation programs, coaching, and a network of experts in exponential technologies and global grand

26 Creating a future in which animal products are animal-free by harnessing the collective power of design, biology and engineering to biofabricate a new material

27 Using neuroscience and the science of sound and music to help focus, reduce distractions, maintain productivity and retain information when working, studying, writing and

28 Creating additive manufacturing technology to manufacture assets in the environment of space rather than launching them from the face of Planet Earth. This will enable much lower cost space exploration and enable the next wave of space

29 Connecting blind and visually impaired people with sighted helpers from around the world via live video connection, smartphone to

30 Creating a new, sustainable agricultural paradigm by digitising today's agricultural practices and using the data to create innovations through AI analysis and

31 Developing a mobile health clinic in a shipping container that provides ad hoc video translation services to connect doctors and patients with more than 750 live interpreters that are fluent in more than 50 languages at the press of a

32 Matternet will enable people, companies and organizations around the world to build and operate drone logistics networks for transporting goods on demand, through the air, at a fraction of the time, cost and energy of any other transportation method used

33 A BOLD AND ABUNDANT MINDSET What is your moonshot? What is the one area of your work where you should shoot for 10x growth, rather than 10%?

34 Thank You. Singularity University 2016 Singularity University