Space Launchers: Competitiveness continuous renewal thru Innovation

Transcription

1 Space Launchers: Competitiveness continuous renewal thru Innovation ArianeGroup CEA LETI Innovation Days H. GILIBERT Chief Technical Officer 04/07/2018 #spaceenablers

2 ARIANEGROUP IS A SPACE BUSINESS ENABLER ENABLING EUROPE TO ACCESS SPACE, FOR THE BENEFIT OF ALL ITS CITIZENS IS WHAT WE DO EVERY DAY. Access to space Ariane 5 & Ariane 6 Marketing and operations of Vega & Soyuz via Arianespace and Rockot via Eurockot Space Situational Awareness & Space Traffic Solutions through GEOTracker Propulsion solutions for all missions and all orbits Satellite propulsion systems Launchers propulsion products and equipment (e.g. ammonium perchlorate, nozzle ) Orion-MPCV propulsion system Advanced space products and solutions Light and stable composite space structures Cutting-edge equipment and sensors for New Space Critical deep space solutions Moon Stability on Earth supported by deterrence WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. - ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/2018 2

3 WORLD LEADER IN ACCESS TO SPACE 9,000 EMPLOYEES IN FRANCE & GERMANY 11 SUBSIDIARIES & MAIN AFFILIATES CIVIL LAUNCHERS Ariane 5 Ariane 6 Launch services DEFENSE M51 program 50/50 JOINT COMPANY BETWEEN AIRBUS & SAFRAN 3.4 BILLION ESTIMATED PRO FORMA SALES EQUIPMENT & SERVICES For satellites, spacecraft For launchers For defence, security, critical infrastructures and industry WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. - ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/2018 3

4 MORE THAN FIGURES OUR IDCARD IS WHAT MAKES US VIBRATE 20/08/2018

5 ACCESS TO SPACE: VIEWS ON LAST DECADES A FANTASTIC TRAJECTORY Pioneers commercial FROM 1980 TO 2010 Launch attempts Technical exploits Public enthusiasm Reliability, Availability, Cadence Industrialisation, Low Costs Access to Space is Strategic ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/2018 5

6 ACCESS TO SPACE: VIEWS ON LAST DECADES A FANTASTIC TRAJECTORY Evolution of launchers missions / performance / size GEO Satcoms: kg/yr ATV to ISS Dual launch (Ariane 5) Deep space Herschel & Planck ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/2018 6

7 ACCESS TO SPACE: VIEWS ON LAST DECADES A FANTASTIC TRAJECTORY Ambitions for space : ups, downs and ruptures B$ NASA Budgets (2007 EC) Still strategic, but subject to ordinary budget and competition constraints M Space Business - Europe (EC 2010) Space Business Total Europe Launchers Business Total Europe ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/2018 7

8 ACCESS TO SPACE: VIEWS ON LAST DECADES A FANTASTIC TRAJECTORY Programmes management & organisation Here : illustration for Ariane 5 development programmes EAP ESA Industrial Architect MPS EPC Vulcain CNES Upper Stage Launcher System Ground systems US engine SYLDA ESA/CNES APT Fairings Ground systems ESA = Devt Contracting Authority CNES = Prime Contractor, Design Authority & Qualification Authority ESA = Devt Contracting Authority ASTRIUM = Prime Contractor Astrium Snecma Europropulsion RUAG EAP MPS EPC Vulcain Upper Stage US engine SYLDA From direct management of industry by Agencies to responsibilized industry wrt reliability, availability and competitiveness Fairings ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/2018 8

9 ACCESS TO SPACE: VIEWS ON LAST DECADES A FANTASTIC TRAJECTORY Leading edge engineering & technology to be now fully devoted to industrial robustness Leading edge System Engineering Multi-disciplinary optimisation ( Architect ) Top-Down approach & concurrent engineering Reliability & Safety Leading edge engineering Physics modelling in all domains! Today & tomorrow : Model Based System Engineering (MBSE) Functional Mock-Up (FMU) Digital Mock-Up (DMU) Functional Digital Mock-Up (FDMU) ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/2018 9

10 ACCESS TO SPACE : VIEWS ON LAST DECADES A FANTASTIC TRAJECTORY European Supremacy on Commercial Market Here : illustration for Ariane 5 development programmes GEO Commercial Satellites launched GEO Commercial Satellites launch contracts 32% 53% Arianespace SpaceX ILS 14% 21% 65% LM ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

11 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY Private actors shaking the well established playground Here : illustration for Ariane 5 development programmes Falcon 9 Total disruption on commercial launch service prices (k$/kg) ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

12 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY The wave of New Space Here : illustration for Ariane 5 development programmes ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

13 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 New Governance Industrial Innovation Industrial Restructuring Ariane 6 Innovations Technical Innovation New launchers, new services in Space 2 on costs and on timeto-entry into service ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

14 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 New Governance Industrial Innovation Industrial Restructuring Ariane 6 Innovations Technical Innovation New launchers, new services in Space 2 on costs and on timeto entry into service ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

15 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 On June 16 th 2014, Airbus and Safran have proposed a triple initiative to reshape European launcher sector Airbus & Safran Initiative New Industrial set-up through the Joint Venture New Governance The two main European launcher industrialists decided to join forces to build a new rationalized and lean, Franco-German, industrial organization Adapting the partnership between Governments/ESA and industry. Alternative Ariane 6 Design Respond to the evolution of market requirements over the next decades with a modular, two-variant offer, and with large built-in evolution and growth potential. ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

16 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 New Governance Industrial Innovation Industrial Restructuring Ariane 6 Innovations Technical Innovation New launchers, new services in Space 2 on costs and on timeto entry into service ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

17 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 High performance and flexibility on trajectories ARIANE 64 PERFORMANCE MEO LEO 20 t Vega-C 2019 maiden flight Ariane 62 & maiden flight FOC 2023 SSO GTO 10.5 to 12 t ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

18 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

19 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 New Governance Industrial Innovation Industrial Restructuring Ariane 6 Innovations Technical Innovation New launchers, new services in Space 2 on costs and on timeto entry into service ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

20 ARIANE 6 ENGINEERING: PRODUCTION PULL APPROACH Gain a factor 2 to 3 on NRC, RC and time to exploitation Go fast to Manufacturing before finalizing definition Distribution and coordinate tasks thru efficient concurrent engineering Production - Exploitation Design Tests Qualification Implementation of Industrial Tools Manufacturing & Integration ramp-up Maiden Flight Entry into service Full Production Capability Production Pulled cycle Classical Engineering pushed cycle Our challenge! ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

21 ARIANE 6 ENGINEERING, HOW WE ARE DOING IT MT-Aerospace Air Liquide - Magna Steyr CASA RUAG Airbus DS Netherlands Kongsberg ELV Avio (solid propulsion) Europropulsion Regulus Launch System Architect Arianespace SABCA Airbus DS Electronics CRISA GTD - Clemessy Thales Alenia Space Sagem Nammo Avio (liquid propulsion) GKN DLR CNES/DLA/SDS TechSpace Aero APCO Technologies Each actor of the extended enterprise is involved in one and only one segment 21

22 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 New Governance Industrial Innovation Industrial Restructuring Ariane 6 Innovations Technical Innovation New launchers, new services in Space 2 on costs and on timeto entry into service ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

23 13,5m SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 Ariane 6 & VEGA C directly benefit from R&T investments done in the last decade ALM techno. Out of Autoclave fairings Ø3400 P120C - World largest single segment Solid Propellant booster (here on Ariane 6 APU) Opto-pyro FSW ETI Laser Surf. Treat. TTEthernet Vulcain2 engine on P3M Ø2200 Simplified Nozzle ESC ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

24 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TOMORROW THE EUROPEAN ANSWER IN THE 20 S A family of innovative dispensers and stages to answer several market needs and improve Ariane 6 market capture M/LEO constellation dispatching Deploying (big) constellations Replenishing in multiple planes Galileo 1 st and 2 nd generation Dispenser(s) Multi-payload for GTO and GEO Dual launch towards GTO Transportation of stack of small sats to GEO Black Upper Stage on Ariane 6 Kick Stage(s) Enabling complex and long duration missions Exploration (lunar and cargo) Science missions PROMETHEUS Engine (for core stage) Same thrust level as Vulcain 2 10 times cheaper Reusable ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

25 SPACE TRANSPORTATION TODAY THE EUROPEAN ANSWER FOR 2020 New Governance Industrial Innovation Industrial Restructuring Ariane 6 Innovations Technical Innovation New launchers, new services in Space 2 on costs and on timeto entry into service ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

26 BY THE WAY, WHAT ABOUT ELECTRONICS TECHNOLOGIES FOR LAUNCHERS? Launchers are not so much demanding for Electronics performance but Severe environment Radiative Mechanical (acceleration, vibrations) Thermal Obsolescences at stake (our cycles are very long ) Our objective: discouple design stakes (functional vs environmental) through technology and shorten development and integration duration through full focus on functional aspects (validation on iron birds). ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

27 AND NOW WHAT S NEXT? Moon WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. - ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

28 OUR PERSPECTIVE: SPACE LOGISTICS CONCEPT & MINDSET Address space transportation as a nodes and flows network (Constellation) Satellite GEO Satellite CIS lunar Earth Moon Space Station LEO/MEO What main market segments? GEO For what activities on the nodes? Telecom Space Security Space Production Earth Observation Human flight + cargo Mining ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

29 MARKET EVALUATION USING SCENARIO PLANNING GLOBALIZATION G7 rules BREAKTHROUGH Jeff was right POWER BLOCKS Global Neglect At each inflexion point, rich countries (G7) invest in their future and take the best decisions. Emerging and poor countries do not implement the necessary changes (structural and institutional). Disruption in the cost of access to space, triggering a self-sustaining B2C space economy and dominant level of private investment vs institutional At each inflexion point, each country promotes its own interest. Scenarios are a set of extreme but coherent futures (2040+), and are quantified with respect to space transportation up to 2035 to support product development robustness assessments WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days - 04/07/

30 YEARLY ACCESSIBLE TRANSPORTATION MARKET VALUE SITUATION IN in M per annum (Constellation) Satellite GEO Satellite Cis-lunar Space Station Earth Moon Suborbital LEO/MEO Space Station GEO ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

31 YEARLY ACCESSIBLE TRANSPORTATION MARKET VALUE GLOBALIZATION SCENARIO in M per annum (Constellation) Satellite GEO Satellite Cis-lunar Space Station Earth Moon Suborbital LEO/MEO Space Station GEO ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

32 YEARLY ACCESSIBLE TRANSPORTATION MARKET VALUE BREAKTHROUGH SCENARIO in M per annum (Constellation) Satellite GEO Satellite Cis-lunar Space Station Earth Moon Suborbital LEO/MEO Space Station GEO ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

33 MAJOR STAKE TO COME SPACE SECURITY ACTIVE SATELLITES TRACKED OBJECTS > 10 CM OBJECTS BETWEEN 1 AND 10 CM ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

34 MAJOR STAKE TO COME SPACE SECURITY 2018 COLLISION RISKS INCREASE LOSS OF ASSETS GROUND & CITIZEN SECURITY ACTIVE DEBRIS SATELLITES INCREASE TRACKED OBJECTS > 10 CM OBJECTS BETWEEN 1 AND 10 CM ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

35 MAJOR STAKE TO COME SPACE SECURITY X2 ACTIVE SATELLITES BY WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days - 04/07/

36 OUR PERSPECTIVE «Space, like artificial intelligence or renewable energies, is becoming one of the biggest & most transforming markets of the next 30 years» GLOBALIZATION G7 rules At each inflexion point, rich countries (G7) invest in their future and take the best decisions. Emerging and poor countries do not implement the necessary changes (structural and institutional). BREAKTHROUGH Jeff was right Disruption in the cost of access to space, triggering a self-sustaining B2C space economy and dominant level of private investment vs institutional POWER BLOCKS Global Neglect At each inflexion point, each country promotes its own interest. «Space is disrupted and will grow into multi-trillion dollar industry in the next 2 decades» Goldman Sachs, March 2017 WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days - 04/07/

37 Earth HOW WE SEE ARIANEGROUP IN 2025 ArianeGroup will focus on its customers needs and expectations, with a global industrial and commercial footprint. ENABLING ACCESS TO SPACE The versatility of Ariane 6 will provide Access to Space serving any mission to any orbit. ArianeGroup will be part of new exploration programs through high-value Products, Equipment and Services. ENABLING GLOBAL STABILITY ON EARTH M51 and its evolutions will remain core activities for ArianeGroup, enabling the development of major disruptive technologies. PREPARING THE FUTURE ArianeGroup is preparing the building blocks for next newgeneration, reusable and versatile launch vehicles. ENABLING SECURITY IN SPACE The success of the Space Traffic Management system enables Security in Space and Space Business development. WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. - ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days 04/07/

38 Thank you for your attention! WRITTEN CONSENT ARIANEGROUP SAS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. ArianeGroup Keynote LETI Innovation Days - 04/07/