The Transformative Force of Robotics & Vision in Industry & Society Peter Corke
What is a robot?
Perhaps super-intelligent machines 1977
or perhaps not
2013
Warehouse dispatching Kiva Systems
Robotics put us inside people
Robots move things from A to B B A
Robots move themselves and things from A to B B A
Robots move themselves and BIG things from A to B A B
Where are all the robots?
1997 2016
The sense of sight Vision is our most impressive sense We use it to help with almost everything we do we can see close, and we can see far we see shape, texture, color and movement
Human vision data sheet 120Mpixel 20bit dynamic range 3 colors 2 Vision engine 3x10 10 neurons 500g 6W 3 gyroscopes 2 2 accelerometers
Graphs of our times 105 11 10.6 Population (billions) 10 9 8 7 6 5 High Medium Low 6.1 8.9 7.4 Dependency ratio 85 65 45 4 3 2.5 2 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 25 1950 1965 1980 1995 2010 2025 2040 2055 2070 2085 2100 Year
Graphs of our times 105 11 10.6 Population (billions) 10 9 8 7 6 5 High Medium Low 6.1 8.9 7.4 Dependency ratio 85 65 45 4 3 2.5 2 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 25 1950 1965 1980 1995 2010 2025 2040 2055 2070 2085 2100 Year
World population more food 11 10.6 more transportation 10 9 High Medium Low 8.9 more resources (energy, metals, water) 8 Population (billions) 7 6 6.1 7.4 5 4 Population 3 2.5 2 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
World population more food 11 10.6 more transportation 10 9 High Medium Low 8.9 more resources (energy, metals, water) 8 Population (billions) 7 6 6.1 7.4 5 4 Population 3 2.5 2 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
70% increase in food production by 2050
ARC Centre of Excellence for Robotic Vision roboticvision.org
Agricultural revolution(s) better genetics mechanisation herb/pesticides
Agricultural revolution(s)
3 2.5 SOIL STRESS AT 0.4M DEPTH - PRESSURE (BAR) 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1930 1940 1980 2010 2012 TIMELINE
The weeds are fighting back herbicide resistant weeds are on the rise
Farmer population by age group: 65+ 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10,000 20,000 30,000 - Australia 2020 Summit, The Future of Rural and Regional Australia, April 2008
just like we used to do, and did for thousands of years
Graphs of our times 105 11 10.6 Population (billions) 10 9 8 7 6 5 High Medium Low 6.1 8.9 7.4 Dependency ratio 85 65 4 45 3 2.5 2 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 25 1950 1965 1980 1995 2010 2025 2040 2055 2070 2085 2100 Year
Dependency ratio Age(0-14) + Age(65+) 105 Age(15-64) 85 Dependency ratio 65 dependents / workers 45 low is good 25 1950 1965 1980 1995 2010 2025 2040 2055 2070 2085 2100 Year high means we need more work per person (greater productivity)
Population pyramids Japan Germany USA China India populationpyramid.net
Health care need Figure 10.3: Elective admissions involving surgery, by sex and age group, all hospitals, 2010 11 Australian hospital statistics 2010-11
hospital corridor picture
Graphs of our times 105 11 10.6 Population (billions) 10 9 8 7 6 5 High Medium Low 6.1 8.9 7.4 Dependency ratio 85 65 4 45 3 2.5 2 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 25 1950 1965 1980 1995 2010 2025 2040 2055 2070 2085 2100 Year
Environmental change
Managing our biggest asset Three laws of asset management Inspect Inspect Inspect
ARGO floats
CH4 from water storages courtesy CSIRO
Dugong population monitoring.
The future
Robotics is emerging as the next generation of high technology business: Robotics, $10T s of new business McKinsey report on disruptive technologies http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/business_technology/disruptive_technologies
Smart co-workers that understand the task you are doing anticipate what comes next Share the physical load
Knowing where everything and everybody is Enhanced safety Safe transport of material Smart machines as co-workers
Inspecting our growing and ageing infrastructure base
Improved productivity for surgery and handling patients, meals, drugs, linen, samples etc Smart co-workers understand the task you are doing anticipate what comes next
Robots to enhance agricultural productivity sustainable production of more food with less land, lower inputs and fewer farmers treating individual plants
Take home messages Computers move information, robots move stuff from A to B Robots can work 24/7 and are very precise increase productivity Robots don t look like what you might think The applications are almost unlimited Robots are getting better and better (quickly) In the near future robots will be as normal as a smart phone