The integ-risk FP 7 project ( ) Short presentation

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1 The integ-risk FP 7 project ( ) Short presentation Version of April 8, 2013 integ-risk

2 Contents Motivation What is it about? Challenge and solution integ-risk Emerging Risk Management Framework (ERMF) A 10 steps process; process for whom? Terminology emerging risk The integ-risk project ( ) Key information Structure Main approach Case studies Main results Example Overview of available material Tools, methods and guidelines Pre-standardization CEN Workshop Agreement (CWA) document 2

3 What is the challenge? Any new or changed technology leading to potentially emerging risks need to balance the management of the risks against the benefits of introducing new technology to the market, including the time this takes New/changed technologies Social accepted management of emerging risks Accelerated time-to-market of EU technology 3

4 What is the solution? What is needed? New/changed technologies An agreed response to emerging (new technology related) risks is needed Agreed response to emerging (new technology related) risks This is the main idea behind the integ-risk project Social accepted management of emerging risks Accelerated time-to-market of EU technology 4

5 Agreed response the integ-risk ERMF New technology related emerging risk Emerging Risk Continuous Activities 9. Communication and consultation 10. Monitoring, review & continuous improvement Emerging Risk Horizon Screening 1. Early warnings - notions 8. Management & decision (treatment) Emerging Risk Pre-Assessment 2. Context & concerns 3. Identification of risk scenarios 7. Evaluation of tolerability & acceptability 6. Characterization Emerging Risk Assessment 4. Pre-assessment 5. Analysis (appraisal/assessment) Social accepted management of emerging risks Accelerated time-to-market of EU technology 5

6 integ-risk ERMF a 10 steps process Emerging Risk Continuous Activities 9. Communication and consultation 10. Monitoring, review & continuous improvement Emerging Risk Horizon Screening 1. Early warnings - notions 8. Management & decision (treatment) Emerging Risk Pre-Assessment 2. Context & concerns 3. Identification of risk scenarios 7. Evaluation of tolerability & acceptability 6. Characterization Emerging Risk Assessment 4. Pre-assessment 5. Analysis (appraisal/assessment) 6

7 For whom is this process needed? New technology related emerging risk The process is needed at all levels of concern 7

8 Terminology what is an emerging risk? New risk: New issue (Purely) new risk a) The risk did not previously exist and is caused by new processes, new technologies, new types of workplace, or social or organizational change Old issue (not regarded as a risk) New perception New scientific knowledge New risk New risk b) A long-standing issue is newly considered as a risk due to a change in social or public perception c) New scientific knowledge allows a long-standing issue to be identified as a risk Increased risk: Increased no. of hazards i) Number of hazards leading to the risk is growing Old risk Increased exposure ii) Exposure to the hazard leading to the risk is increasing Increased severity iii) Effects/impacts of the hazards are getting worse (e.g. seriousness of health effects and/or the number of people affected) The term "increasing" is understood as something which can represent an industry wide, regional or global challenge. 8

9 integ-risk project key information* Haus der Wirtschaft, Stuttgart, Germany 7th FP Cooperation Programme Theme 4; NMP** Initiated through: ETPIS*** Total budget : 19.3 mill EUR Duration: Dec 2008 May 2013 Coordinator: A. Jovanovic, EU-VRi **** No. of partners: 87 No. of project participants: 431 No. of deliverables: 227 * ** NMP Nanosciences, Nanotechnologies, Materials and New Production Technologies *** ETPIS European Technology Platform for Industrial Safety **** EU-VRi European Virtual Institute for Integrated Risk Management 9

10 integ-risk project main partners * EDF D Appolonia Technologica USTUTT Demokritos ARPC GDF MIT Gmbh GERG LEIA IVF Mavionics Definiens DNV BT URL VSB-TUO ARMINES-CRC MERL COWI Enagás Imperial JSI GDS TÜV Pöyry INCDPM TU Crete HSE-HSL TUKE Novineon MOL Plc. SWISSI CONPRICI JRC FTN R-Tech VSH KMM-VIN SINTEF CEN EKON Iberdrola Swiss Re INERIS DTU-MAN RIVM SP Atos Origin NIS CEA VTT RegLomb STUVA Eni Norge Saipem BAM BZF vfdb EU-VRi * From start-up (some changes during the project) 10

11 integ-risk project structure 11

12 integ-risk project main approach Concurrent Top-down & Bottom-up approach New/changed technologies 12

13 integ-risk project case studies/erras Bottom-up approach starting with problems identified as relevant and representative 17 case studies; so-called ERRAs (Emerging Risk Representative Applications) Grouped in four classes: Type A: New (production) technologies 5 Type B: New materials and products 3 Type C: New technologies & production networks 5 Type D: New policies Directly or indirectly related to EU industrial innovation 13

14 integ-risk project case studies/erras The relations between the ERRA types are illustrated in the figure below, and also shows the structure of the CWA document where each ERRA group is represented in an annex. 14

15 Overview of the ERRAs (Topic A)

16 Overview of the ERRAs (Topic B)

17 Overview of the ERRAs (Topic C)

18 Overview of the ERRAs (Topic D)

19 CWA document other cases In the CWA document Annex A-D, corresponding to ERRA Groups A-D, the following cases have been used as examples: Hydraulic fracturing Carbon nanotubes Drilling in Arctic Nano-regulation In addition, Annex H consists of a sample list of emerging risks, which overlaps with the 17 ERRAs 19

20 Results: Overview of available material 1 document 1 document 9. Communication and consultation Emerging Risk Continuous Activities 10. Monitoring, review & continuous improvement Concurrent Top-down & Bottom-up approach 1 document Provides the structure/process Provides the methods, tools & GLs to be used in the various process steps Emerging Risk Pre- Assessment Emerging Risk Horizon Screening 1. Early warnings - notions 2. Context & concerns 3. Identification of risk scenarios 4. Pre-assessment 1StopShop 8. Management & decision (treatment) 7. Evaluation of tolerability & acceptability 6. Characterization 5. Analysis (appraisal/assessment) Emerging Risk Assessment Methods, tools & information «Hundreds» of documents (Portal) 20

21 integ-risk 1StopShop tools/methods/etc. 1StopShop (Portal) Background tools Safetypedia Information about the emerging risks and background information KPI Library KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) collected and stored in the KPI Library MethodsMart & Glossary General; Failure Analysis; Application-oriented and Alternative Methods Education Education system for professional and academic education ENISFER Competences (persons & capacities) for dealing with emerging risks Survey Tool Tool for broad access of information/opinions in the project 21

22 Overview of the main tools 22

23 Overview of selected methods* 1StopShop Methods, tools & information Horizon scanning (Portal) Existing EU and other regulations Expert consultations Information from relevant organizations Public info (Analysis by tools) RICAF C2 9. Communication and consultation Emerging Risk Continuous Activities 10. Monitoring, review & continuous improvement REWI C2 ORIM C2 Incident based method C2 HSE dual assurance method C2 KPI Library Emerging Risk Horizon Screening REWI C2 1. Early warnings - notions 8. Management & decision (treatment) (RICAF C2) Assessment of drone-crash scenarios A3 HAZID brainstorming A4 MIMAH A1/A4 DyPASI A1/A4/C4 Event analysis ERMF-IRGC C4 * Selection mainly based on ERRA summary reports and methods relevant for any emerging risk situation. Emerging Risk Pre-Assessment 2. Context & concerns 3. Identification of risk scenarios 4. Pre-assessment Early risk assessment (Risk Spark) A2 Quick Check for emerging risks B1 PHA/Rapid Risk Ranking B3 7. Evaluation of tolerability & acceptability 6. Characterization 5. Analysis (appraisal/assessment) Tailorized Bow-Ties A1/A4 Time-framed risk assessment of CCS A1 LCA assessment of CCS A1 Emerging Risk Assessment (ALARP budget approach C1) IRGC categorization Change assessment method A3 QRA of LNG regasification A4 QRA in underground HUBs A5 AMERA B3 Model for safe subcontracting C1 Bayesian networks D1 ERRA D2 Tool D2 QRA extended to NaTech events D3 Vulnerability models for QRA NaTech ass. D4 Integrated Risk Analysis (IRA) 23

24 Overview of other methods 1StopShop Safetypedia Information about the emerging risks and background information Background tools Education Education system for professional and academic education Methods, tools & information KPI Library KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) collected and stored in the KPI Library ENISFER Competences (persons & capacities) for dealing with emerging risks (Portal) MethodsMart & Glossary General; Failure Analysis; Application-oriented and Alternative Methods Survey Tool Tool for broad access of information/opinions in the project 24

25 Overview of guidelines etc. Complementary guidelines covering all dimensions of risk (T-C-H-R) and issues like security, environment, etc. Handbook issues: Uncertainty handling Data mining NaTech, common and systemic factors, including security Human factors in its organizational context Environmental impact assessment Guidelines: Emerging risks pre-assessment Emerging risks appraisal Emerging risks management Emerging risks related to policies and regulatory frameworks Environmental issues Risk governance and culture 25

26 CEN WS67 CWA document "the quintessence" 26

27 integ-risk project more information Check out the project web for more information ( In particular the project video 27

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