The Automotive Council Managing the Automotive Transformation Dr. Graham Hoare Ford Motor Company Chair Automotive Council Technology Group AESIN Conference 20 th October 2016 www.automotivecouncil.co.uk
Automotive Council UK Approach: The Automotive Council was formed in 2009 : To strengthen and promote sustainable growth of the automotive sector in the UK through enhanced dialogue and co-operation between UK government and automotive industry Define, enable & deliver the right technology technologies Optimise business environment for the UK Automotive sector Address skills challenges facing the sector A continuous value creation cycle enabled through co-operation and team work
Automotive Council UK Structure: Business Environment & Skills Main Aims Develop technology roadmaps, future research challenges and identify where the UK can develop competitive advantage Supply Chain Technology Advise on automotive R&D investment opportunities to foster a stronger UK engineering, supply and manufacturing base Prepare and own the UK Automotive Technology Strategy Workstreams 3 Complementary Workstreams to drive all facets of the Automotive Council Agenda
Technology Strategy - Where to focus? IC Engines (Thermal Propulsion ) Energy Storage 5 Sticky Technologies Light weight Structures Electric Machines Intelligent Mobility 5 Sticky Technologies providing direction for technology innovation & process focus
Industrial Strategy - Technology Update Strategic Activity STATUS Invest 1 billion over 10 years in a new Advanced Propulsion Centre (APC) Improve coordination and collaboration with the academic research community Improve collaboration/access from EU R&D funding opportunities Construct additional roadmaps for future technology needs Identify required high value manufacturing technologies Create an energy storage roadmap which includes non-electric Create a UK intelligent mobility demonstration program to test technology and business effectiveness Enhance collaboration on innovation and technology between Motorsport and mainstream automotive Establish a Design workstream to build UK strength Great progress to date and significant achievements. Vital to keep evolving & fostering a collaborative / innovative ecosystem to keep a step ahead.
Future Technology R&D Co-ordination Automotive technologies: the UK s current capability Goal : Improved co-ordination between Academic & Industrial Research Academic Research Networks Academic automotive research Funding bodies Industry R&D leaders and teams Added focus on key challenges the industry needs to solve while maintaining academic independence Opportunity to align APC Spokes with Academic Challenge Networks APC Spokes add specific functional, technological and regional centres of excellence Power Electronics Spoke - University of Nottingham Electrical Energy Storage - University of Warwick Digital Engineering & Test - Loughborough University (London) Electric Machines Spoke Newcastle University ICE Thermal Efficiency University of Brighton ICE System Efficiency University of Bath Advanced Propulsion Centre (APC) Goal : Scan for Future R&D Focus Areas / Roadmaps New roadmaps Future Fuels & Energy Virtual Product Dev t Processes Next Gen Electrical / Electronic Architectures Co-ordination with APC to publish roadmaps and R&D agendas Enhancing the Research through to Manufacture Pipe-line - cohesive coordination of the Eco-system
Future Technology Focus 2016+ Re evaluation of priorities based on : Achievements to date Horizon scanning & outlook Capability Study Insights Priorities determined to enhance UK technical competitiveness & productivity 6 core workstreams Leveraged APC and Cross sectorial Connected & Autonomous Vehicle (IM-PACT UK ) activities to help momentum Automotive Council to provide industry technical consensus critical topics i.e. Air Quality NEW STRATEGIC FOCUS identified to advance Insight, Strategy & Implementation on future automotive technology priorities
Growth of Powertrain Electrification US 4.7% CAN 4.7% EU 5.1% Brazil 3.4% China 5.5% Average Annual FE / CO 2 Improvement Required by Regulation (2015-20) Continuous pressure on improving Fuel Economy / CO2 in all regions. Traditional Powertrain improvements no longer cost effective Driving increasing P/T electrification Electrification opportunities at all voltage levels: 12V / 48V: mhev s. Higher voltages: HEV s, PHEV s, BEV s
Virtual DV / Digital Engineering Insight Objective : To create a view for the future of digital engineering & virtual product development/ manufacture in the Automotive Sector for the UK. To Define the areas of growth & seek to strengthen UK capability. Digital Product Development Roadmap Systems simulation, modelling & optimisation of Automotive Hardware & Software should unlock lower costs, more robust solutions, shorter validation times & competitive advantage.
Digital Engineering & Test Centre APC Spoke, London Halving the time, Doubling the value Bringing the value of next-generation Digital Engineering into automotive Facilitating Cross sector activities Supporting Core programs, Collaborative R&D and Research World Class Cross functional Initial partners led by University of Loughborough in London DETC Supports: The four Automotive Council Strategic Technologies, and Manufacturing Digital Engineering in Product and Manufacturing-process design Cross sector links to the Gaming and Digital industry Roadmap generation to prioritise the development of future digital technologies Supporting the HOW : APC s Digital Engineering & Test Centre is open to all, open to new ideas and open for business.
Intelligent Mobility Technology Road Mapping 12 key challenges to improve mobility in UK Developing solutions of these challenges will meet UK travelers needs and unlock potential revenue opportunities Solutions will need to include a combination of Access, Automation, Demand & Supply and Integration Innovative Road mapping thought leadership process initiated based on TN key challenges Intelligent Mobility & Autonomous Vehicle technology focus accelerating at an unprecedented rate. Major progress & clarity emerging supported by Government policy and stimulus.
Autonomy During the next decade, we see autonomous vehicles as having as significant an impact as Ford s moving assembly line did 100 years ago - Mark Fields, Ford Motor Company CEO will mass produce AV for ride sharing applications by 2021 w/ level 4 autonomy. 2021
Growth of Vehicle Software TREND: FUNCTIONAL GROWTH IS GOING TO CONTINUE AND WILL EVEN ACCELERATE Today s vehicle typically has 400+ features, ~2000 functions, 20k software components & 100m lines of code Today s cars have roughly seven times more code than a Boeing 787 airliner! Module software complexity grew by factor between 3 & 7 from 08 to 11 Software increasingly provides the user experiences which differentiates car brands
Today Near Term New Dawn Growth of Vehicle Electronics Autonomous vehicle module 2kW power Vehicle centralised E/E Architecture Domain centralised E/E Architecture Distributed E/E Architecture - Cloud computing Some vehicle functions will move to the cloud - Sensor fusion & very powerful, centralised computing sites, an enabler for Autonomous Vehicles - Functions are integrated within modules & powerful domain ECU s provide X-zone functions - Connected car with on-board modem - Each function has its own ECU Modules moving from one function / module to many functions within a single module. Very complex X-zone domain functions drive more powerful integration sites - connected car realised. Sensor fusion & powerful centralised computing sites deliver Autonomous functions. The estimated value of the global automotive electronics industry will be $275bn / year by 2020. Source: IHS Forum : Berlin 12-14 th May, 2014
Summary Automotive Council : Steering the UK Automotive landscape through the technology transformation. Seeking solutions to unite Industry, Academia & Government to deliver a joined up ecosystem to promote innovation and industrialisation. 1 s & 0 s take over the automotive world!: The balance between traditional mechanical skills for body, chassis and P/T and EE skills are being turned on their head, we need to prepare for the new world: - The value of electronics & software will be the dominant cost of the vehicle within a smatter of years, for high series vehicles this is already happening. - The features which customers want and those which provide differentiation between brands are increasingly being driven by the EE domain Power Train electrification at all voltage levels, becomes increasingly important to deliver CO2 roadmaps for all regions of the globe As we move into Smart Mobility & Cloud Computing, software is now Beyond The Car There are major opportunities to engage with the auto industry : New Dawn for software to support autonomous mega module functions Skill sets transition. Growth within the normal automotive supply base The future of the Automotive industry has a strong dependence upon success in the EE domain