Mobility Choice Blueprint Initiative 1445 Market Street Denver, CO 80202 mobilitychoiceblueprint.com BOARD OF DIRECTORS MEETING Wednesday, January 24, 2018 at 3pm MEETING SUMMARY 1. Opening of Regular Meeting/Roll Call (Bruce Alexander / Becca O Brien Kuusinen) a. Board of Directors: Name: Organization: Attendance: Bruce Alexander, Chair Vectra Bank Colorado Present Becca O'Brien Kuusinen, Vice Chair McKinsey & Company Present Michael Lewis Colorado Department of Transportation Absent Kelly Brough Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce Present Dave Genova Regional Transportation District Present Barry Gore Adams County Economic Development Present Mike Fitzgerald Denver South Economic Development Partnership Present Brendan McGuire Vail Resorts Present Aiden Mitchell Arrow Electronics Absent Byron O Dell IHS Markit Present Doug Rex Denver Regional Council of Governments Present Will Toor Southwest Energy Efficiency Project Present Jin Tsuchiya Kaiser Permanente Present Jarrett Wendt Panasonic Enterprise Solutions Company Absent b. Alternate(s): Debra Perkins-Smith, Colorado Department of Transportation c. Staff: Don Hunt, Mobility Choice Initiative Alejandra Henao, Mobility Choice Initiative Mizraim Cordero, Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce Bridget Garcia, Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce 2. Adoption of the Agenda (Bruce Alexander) The agenda was adopted without change.
Mobility Choice Blueprint Initiative 1445 Market Street Denver, CO 80202 mobilitychoiceblueprint.com 3. November 16, 2017 MCI BOD Meeting Summary Approval (Bruce Alexander) The meeting summary provided in their packets was approved without further discussion. Motion: Barry Gore made the motion to approve the November 16, 2017 meeting summary. Kelly Brough seconded the motion. Vote: Motion approved unanimously. 4. Public Comment There was no public comment. 5. Introduction of Consultant Team (Don Hunt) Don Hunt introduced the technical consultant selected, HDR, and provided background on HDR s knowledge, expertise and research in emerging transformation transportation projects in the Denver metro area. KPMG will be a sub-consultant to HDR. Don introduced Rick Pilgrim, Project Manager/Sr. Vice President at HDR and the HDR Task Team: Chris Primus (support to Rick as deputy project manager), Kaia Nesbitt (outreach lead), Jason Longsdorf (governance and agency alignment), Jason McGlashan (planning lead), and Cristina Beermann (support outreach efforts). HDR used the attached slide deck (attachment 5.a) for their presentation. HDR passed out a questionnaire for the Board and attendees to complete. The survey (attachment 5.b) asks participants to rate and prioritize aspects of mobility and transportation that are most important to them. 6. Adjournment (Bruce Alexander) 7. Attachment - Contact Lists
Mobility Choice Blueprint Initiative 1445 Market Street Denver, CO 80202 mobilitychoiceblueprint.com Mobility Choice Initiative Board of Directors Bruce Alexander Vectra Bank Colorado bruce.alexander@vectrabank.com Becca O'Brien Kuusinen McKinsey & Company becca_obrien_kuusinen@mckinsey.com Kelly Brough Denver Metro Chamber of Commerce kelly.brough@denverchamber.org Mike Fitzgerald Denver South Economic Development Partnership Mike@denversouthedp.org Dave Genova Regional Transportation District David.Genova@rtd-denver.com Barry Gore Adams County Economic Development bgore@adamscountyed.com Michael Lewis Colorado Department of Transportation Michael.p.lewis@state.co.us Brendan McGuire Vail Resorts bmcguire@vailresorts.com Aiden Mitchell Arrow Electronics amitchell@arrow.com Byron O Dell IHS Markit Byron.o dell@ihsmarkit.com Doug Rex Denver Regional Council of Governments drex@drcog.org Will Toor Southwest Energy Efficiency Project wtoor@swenergy.org Jin Tsuchiya Kaiser Permanente Jin.A.Tsuchiya@kp.org Jarrett Wendt Panasonic Enterprise Solutions Company Jarrett.Wendt@us.panasonic.com Don Hunt Managing Director, Mobility Choice Initiative dhunt@anteronet.com Alejandro Henao Mobility Choice Blueprint Project Management Team Deputy Managing Director, Mobility Choice Initiative Alejandro.Henao@nrel.gov Brian Welch Regional Transportation District brian.welch@rtd-denver.com Doug Rex Denver Regional Council of Governments drex@drcog.org Debra Perkins- Smith Colorado Department of Transportation debra.perkins-smith@state.co.us Mobility Choice Blueprint Consultants Rick Pilgrim Project Manager/Sr. Vice President, HDR rick.pilgrim@hdrinc.com Chris Primus Deputy Project Manager, HDR christopher.primus@hdrinc.com Kaia Nesbitt Outreach Lead/Principal, HDR kaia.nesbitt@hdrinc.com Jason McGlashan Planning Lead, HDR jason.mcglashan@hdrinc.com Jason Longsdorf Governance & Agency Coordination, HDR jason.longsdorf@hdrinc.com Cristina Beermann Strategic Communications Coordinator, HDR cristina.beermann@hdrinc.com Roger Sherman Managing Partner, CRL Associates rsherman@crlassociates.com
Attachment 5.a MOBILITY CHOICE BLUEPRINT 2017 HDR, Inc., all rights reserved.
OUR MOBILITY FUTURE Establish Blueprint: 15 Years Align Agencies Engage the Public Stimulate the Private Sector
TECHNOLOGY OPPORTUNITIES
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES IN TRANSPORTATION Smart Streetlights Autonomous/Connected Vehicles (AV / CV) Adaptive Traffic Signals & Transit Signal Prioritization Smart Parking Enhanced Fare Payment Systems Dynamic Wayfinding (BLE) Enhanced Human Services Ridesourcing & Dynamic Transit
ESTIMATING THE RATE OF TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION Historical Societal Trends Econometric and Statistical Algorithms Literature Reviews Public Opinion and Interviews
HYPE CYCLE By NeedCokeNow - Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=27546041
DENVER METROPOLITAN AREA TRENDS
DENVER POPULATION AND REGIONAL TRANSIT RIDERSHIP
VMT PER CAPITA DECLINE WILL THE TREND REMAIN?
MOBILITY CHOICE BLUEPRINT
FRAMEWORK Technology Transformation Technology Transformation On Demand Shared Electric Driverless Connected Successful Implementation Mobility Policy Program/Implementation Funding Mobility Livable Community Livable Community Health and Wellness Social Equity Environmental Urban Form
MOBILITY CHOICE BLUEPRINT OBJECTIVES REVIEW Scenario Evaluation Strategically Align Investments of CDOT, DRCOG, RTD Develop Policies and Programs Year 2030 Recommendations: o Policy Changes o Transportation Program Alignment o Mobility Pilot Projects Identify Existing and New Funding
APPROACH TO PROJECT
ENGAGEMENT SCHEDULE F O U N D AT I O N F O R P R O J E C T P R O C E S S A N D S C E N A R I O D E V E L O P M E N T
TWO PRIMARY COMPONENTS QUALITATIVE QUANTITATIVE
QUALITATIVE RESEARCH Generative QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH Evaluative 10 People 100 People 100 Insights 10 Insights
UNDERSTANDING COMMUNITY
COMMUNITY & STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT Foundation for Project Process and Scenario Development COHORTS Global Thought Leaders Local Technical Experts Metro Ambassadors The Public EVENTS Ethnography Workshops Digital Engagement CLIENT ENGAGEMENT Board Meetings Management Meetings
ETHNOGRAPHY Rethinking a city s mobility starts with its citizens Searching for problems, not asking for solutions Learn about desired lifestyles Learn what s important to them Discover real needs
DIGITAL ENGAGEMENT Input Surveys Social Media Validating Ethnographic Insights
DIGITAL ENGAGEMENT Testing Facebook Live (TED Talks) Testing Scenarios Online Public Meetings Metro Ambassadors
DIGITAL ENGAGEMENT Celebration Create virtual energy and excitement Metro Ambassadors Social Media Traditional Media
TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT & SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT
BASELINE ASSESSMENT OF TECHNOLOGY AND MOBILITY OPTIONS Existing Models & Tools Emerging Technology Initiatives & Regulations New Research LITERATURE REVIEW SCENARIOS QUALITATIVE ETHNOGRAPHY
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES IN TRANSPORTATION Smart Streetlights Autonomous/Connected Vehicles (AV / CV) Adaptive Traffic Signals & Transit Signal Prioritization Smart Parking Enhanced Fare Payment Systems Dynamic Wayfinding (BLE) Enhanced Human Services Ridesourcing & Dynamic Transit
Levels of Autonomy GM Super Cruise 2017 Cadillac CT6 Tesla Model S Waymo (Google)
Penetration Rate ADOPTION RATES FOR AUTONOMOUS & CONNECTED VEHICLES 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 Kockelman - VTPI - Conse VTPI - Aggre Kockelman - Kockelman - Goldman Sa
SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL IMPACTS Factors Auto Ownership Trips (#) Parking Utilization Roadway Capacity Multimodal Safety VMT Access to Jobs Automated Vehicle Passenger Automated Vehicle Commercial Aging Population Millennial Travel Behavior????? Telecommuting Car Sharing Ride Hailing Service
PLANNING FOR MULTIPLE FUTURES Traditional planning for most likely future Probabilistic Scenario Planning Considering multiple futures and uncertainties Composite Uncertainty Cone Planning for multiple futures Acknowledging uncertainty Source: Adapted from Global Business Network (2007)
PLANNING FOR MULTIPLE FUTURES
REGIONAL METRICS Baseline Scenario - Delays AV Scenario - Delays
PERFORMANCE METRICS Access to Jobs Mode Share Vehicle Hours Traveled Transportation Emissions Bike / Pedestrian Proximity Travel Reliability
235 Acres of Downtown Land Exclusively Used for Parking Cars
PROGRAMS AND POLICIES
BUSINESS COMMUNITY & LOCAL AGENCIES Public Transportation Roadway Multimodal Networks Land Use Regulations Mobility Benefits Bus & Rail Service Scheduling Ride Share & Employer Based Services TSM&O TMC Incident Management Maintenance TDM Program ITS TSSIP Life Safety First Response Local Maintenance Mobility on demand Trip Planning Fare Payment M&O Surveillance ATIS Road X ITS TSSIP Smart City Implementation Development Regulations Market Innovations Private Development
Develop recommendations for new policies & programs Vet those recommendations with Project Management Team and MCI Board to identify models most likely to succeed Rick Pilgrim and our Task Leaders will support MCI in presentation of new Policies and Programs to CDOT, RTD and DRCOG
CONTINUING PROCESS BUSINESS COMMUNITY & LOCAL AGENCIES Board of Directors Transportation Commission Board of Directors CEO General Manager Executive Director Executive Director Senior Management Technical Staff Technical Staff Technical Staff Staff
QUESTIONNAIRE FEEDBACK
Attachment 5.b 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Encourage the use of on-demand ride hailing to supplement or replace some public bus transit Develop integrated electronic payment for all mobility services Implement Bus Rapid Transit smart corridors using existing roadways Establish programs to increase electric vehicles and bike sharing Develop strategies for the introduction of self-driving vehicles in the Denver region to create heaven not hell Implement selfdriving vehicle testing and pilots in the Denver region Develop better realtime information for intermodal trip decision-making Apply technology to reduce roadway congestion and improve safety Analyze Big Data to identify safety improvement projects Create a regional agreement to collect and share mobility data Public transit and private system integration Address statutory/regulatory barriers Address future mobility funding models Utilize mobility technology to address social equity