Towards Sustainability! Prof. Martin Curley Vice President, Intel Labs Director, Intel Labs Europe, Intel Corp. Co-Director, Innovation Value Institute National University of Ireland, Maynooth Dublin Castle, 23rd November, 2012
the Winds of Change > When the winds of change come, some people build walls, other build windmills > Brian and Sangeeta Mayne
Exploit the Mega Trends Mass Collaboration Digital Transformations Sustainability
Digital Transformations
Relentless Pursuit of Moore s Law Opens the Door to Innovation Number of transistors on a chip doubles every ~2 years Feature Width 250nm 180nm 130nm 90nm 65nm 45nm 32nm Wafer Size 200mm 200mm 200mm 300mm 300mm 300mm 300mm Integrated electronics will make electronic techniques more generally available throughout all of society, performing many functions that presently are done inadequately by other techniques or not done at all. Gordon Moore
MOORE S LAW DRIVES CONTINUOUS CHIP-LEVEL ENERGY EFFICIENCY: directly supports Sustainability 1.E+00 1.E-01 1.E-02 1.E-03 1.E-04 1.E-05 1.E-06 Power reduction Over Time* 1.E-07 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 Core Integer Performance Over Time* 10000 1000 100 10 Pentium 4 Processor Pentium -IIi Processor Pentium -II Processor Pentium Pro Processor Pentium Processor i486 i486dx2 Pentium -D Processor Pentium 4 Processor EE Core 2 Duo Extreme QX6700 Core 2 Duo Processor X6800 1 386 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Single Core Moore s Law 1 million x factor reduction in energy/transistor over 30+ years Smaller, faster transistors = faster AND more efficient chips and computer systems And The Trend Continues Source: Intel Labs
Moore s law is colliding with many domains Genomics Research Financial Analysis Medical Imaging Weather Prediction Oil Exploration Design Simulation Cloud Computing Data Center Refresh Power Lines Sensors Home Storage Point of Sale In-Vehicle Infotainment IP Phones IP Cameras Net book Security Learning IPTV/IMS Military/Aero Digital Signage Home Auto Portable Medical Net top Gaming Medical Industrial PC Printers Transport Robotics Factory Automation MID Many opportunities from Genomic Research to Connecting cars, and much, much more
Innovation Agenda: Digital Europe E-Services / Digital Content Broadband/ Wireless Digital Government Digital Business DIGITAL EUROPE Digital Health PCs/Phones,Tablets etc Digital Education Digital Home Digital Literacy Delivering An Integrated Infrastructure A Connected Society A Competitive Economy
Quality of Life Moore s Law for the Healthcare Industry: Shift Left 100% Home Care Healthy, Independent Living Chronic Disease Management Community Clinic Doctor s Office Residential Care Assisted Living Skilled Nursing Facility Acute Care Specialty Clinic Community Hospital ICU 0% USD 1 USD 10 USD 100 USD 1,000 USD 10,000 Cost of Care/Day Source: Doug Busch, Intel
Sustainability
The Changing Shape of Society From Resource Based...
To Knowledge Based
Sustainable Development Sustainable development is a pattern of resource use that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. Brundtland report
An Inconvenient Truth: Our Collective Challenge If consumption trends continue, we will need two Earths to support us. There is no Planet B! Jose Maria Figueres Source: Global Footprint Network
Resource Decoupling Source: Unep international resource panel
Increasing Energy Efficiency ICT leading sector in energy efficient improvements : need to take advantage of this out-performance. 1978 2008 Energy-efficiency Improvement Automobiles 14.3 miles per gallon of gas 20.0 miles per gallon of gas 40% Passenger Airlines Agriculture Steel Manufacturing 22.8 revenue passenger miles per gallon 0.63 units of output per unit of energy use 63 pounds of steel per MBtu 50.4 revenue passenger miles per gallon 1.46 units of output per unit of energy use 167 pounds of steel per MBtu 121% 132% 167% Resource Decoupling Opportunity Lighting Incandescent light bulb 13 lumens per watt Compact flourescent bulb 57 lumens per watt 339% Computer Systems 1,400 instructions per second per watt 40,000,000 Instructions per second per watt 2,857,000% Source: A Smarter Shade of Green, ACEEE Report for the Technology CEO Council, 2008.
Leverage IT to Drive Energy Savings, Resource Decoupling and Better Services Automation Substitution De-materialization Industrial Robots Logistics for Transportation LEED Certified Buildings Smart Power Delivery Video Conferencing Online Entertainment E-commerce Remote Management Converting Atoms to Bits Online Banking Digital Music
Mass Collaboration
Mass Collaboration > European Internet Foundation; Digital 2025 The central paradigm we propose is that of a world driven by Mass Collaboration
Innovation moving out of the Lab Open Innovation 2.0 Centralized inward looking innovation Closed Innovation Externally focused, collaborative innovation Open Innovation Ecosystem centric, crossorganizational innovation Innovation Networks 20 Source: EU OISPG
Intel Labs Europe Network Harnessing the collective value of Intel s R&D investments in Europe 40 Labs 4000 R&D Professionals >400 collaborators in Ecosystem
Mass Collaboration
Intel's Vision This decade we will create and extend computing technology to connect and enrich the lives of every person on earth
Shared Value > Re-conceiving the intersection between society and corporate performance > Find Win Win outcomes > Profit through solving Big problems
Intel Labs Europe Bring the benefits of the ongoing digital revolution to European economy & society by: Advancing breakthrough research Forming close partnerships with the European technology community
Helping to Realize Europe 2020 ILE Research Agenda Digital Agenda Resource Efficient Europe New Skills and Jobs ILE Innovation Agenda E-Services / Digital Content Broadband/ Wireless Industrial Policy Digital Government Digital Business DIGITAL EUROPE PCs/MIDs etc Digital Health Digital Home Digital Education Digital Literacy Innovation Union
Innovating Innovation
Open Innovation 1.0 Source: Chesbrough
Triple Helix Innovation Source: Etzkowitz
Open Innovation 2.0 Source: Venkat
Intel Sustainable & Connected Cities Institute The Concept: driving the computing continuum and innovating the city of the future The Testbed: London Institute Research Outputs Novel user experiences Understanding of future workloads Future network architectures & protocols Security & privacy insights New opportunities in big data Architectural requirements New business models A step on the way to creating more environmentally friendly, sustainable cities Collaborative Open Innovation Formation Q2 2012 Open Innovation at Work! 31
Sustainable Connected Cities Dublin 32
Accelerating the Sustainable City Society Sustainable Intelligent Living Source: Intel Labs Europe Part Inspired by Rifkin: The Third Industrial Revolution
Accelerating the Sustainable Society Value Cycle vs Value Chain Sustainable Intelligent Living Create a virtuous circle: energy efficiency/self sufficiency, new services and jobs
Value Cycle Outcomes: Move the Needle Energy Efficiency Energy Self Sufficiency New Services Employment Growth
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A Sustainable Society The possibility "Ere many generations pass, our machinery will be driven by a power obtainable at any point of the universe Nicola Tesla A possible vision > Ireland as the leading exemplar of a sustainable society to catalyze Europe
Sustainable Intelligent Living Conference Vision: Sustainable Society, Mission: Sustainable Growth May, 20-21 2013 Dublin Castle Theme: Build a Smart, Sustainable and Inclusive society through Open Innovation 2.0 Sustainable Intelligent Living Goal: Be the catalyst to enable an evolutionary leap towards sustainable cities and society EU Open Innovation Strategy & Policy Group
..but it takes courage too. 40
Thanks! The Opportunity of a Lifetime has to be taken in the lifetime of the Opportunity! Email: Martin.G.Curley@Intel.com