Norway local content lessons learned. Willy H Olsen, Special advisor Norwegian Energy Partners Advisor to Statoil s leadership

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Transcription:

Norway local content lessons learned Willy H Olsen, Special advisor Norwegian Energy Partners Advisor to Statoil s leadership 1980-2010

A changing world oil market Political leaders will play a new role Russia sanctions But still high production and exports of oil and gas USA a new and unclear president His aims is more production of oil and gas in the US China reduced Production of oil and gas at home Has to import more

Local content has spread rapidly Regulatory requirements have emerged Local content has become a regulatory requirement It has entered the agenda of most resource-rich countries Local involvement was a gentlemen s agreement not a binding requirement like in the old days Oil companies used to start working with the tide or ahead of it to gain a social license to operate Most resource-driven countries have now legal local content provisions

Local content is far from a new feature Brazil and Nigeria launched new policies Local content had two simple and powerful appeals Create jobs at home rather than abroad Channel business to home firms rather than foreign firms. Oil and gas local content policies introduced in 40-50 countries Brazil was a front-runner, but are recommending changes Nigeria had early legislation less implementation Global organizations like WTO, regional agreements in US/Mexico/Canada and the European Union do not like local content policies Willy H Olsen

Oil changed Norway

Make it an epoch not an episode Quote 1971 Mr. Finn Lied, first Minister of Oil and Chairman of Statoil board for a decade The petroleum resources belong to the nation and should be developed to the benefit of the whole society Norway s goals were long term National control and state participation Resource management Building and fostering a Norwegian oil community Technology and competence The issues are still the country s priorities

Building on existing industrial experience Norway was an industrially developed nation when oil was discovered It had long maritime and engineering traditions and expertise Adapted quickly to support ambitions of local content development Norway hosted internationally competitive industries contributing to knowledge building in existing industries Norway had a favourable geography, low priced hydropower and deep fjords for construction of concrete substructures

Delivering benefits to society The government focused on delivering wide societal benefits Institutions and organisations were formed for this purpose The licensing system was used by the government and Statoil to obtain a foothold in the international supply chains A key principle for local content development was the encouragement of Norwegian supply and service participation Developing a competitive environment was instrumental in ensuring technological and institutional innovation

Saving hydrocarbon revenues for future generations Pension fund is a key national strategy Billion NOK 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 Norway used all the oil revenues for the first 30 years of oil and gas production The Oil Fund was created in 1994 to preserve Norway s natural resource wealth Norway may still have 30-50 years of production left 3000 2000 1000 0 1998 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2017

Norway s oil and gas structure Several ministries have a role to play Parliament Government Ministry og Petroleum and Energy Ministry of Climate and Environment Ministry of Labour Ministry of Transport and Communication Ministry of Finance The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate The Norwegian Environment Agency The Petroleum and Safety Autority The Norweigan Coastal Administration Government Pension Fund - Global Petoro AS The Petroleum Tax Office Gassco AS The commercial instruments Statoil ASA

Current situation

High-in country value addition Oil and gas production beyond 2050 Oil industry centers Operations Major fields 3 2 Oil production mill b/d 1 0 120 Gas production bcm 80 40 0

A snapshot of Norwegian oil and gas industry Statoil has become the dominant operator More than 80 fields in production Liquids production some 2 million b/d Gas sales : 120 billion cubic meters The world s second largest gas exporter Large system of pipelines linking Norway to Europe LNG from the Barents Sea in the north More than 50 oil companies active in Norway Major oil companies less dominant than in the past Norway is prepared for a future with stricter climate change requirements with impact on oil and gas Terje Søviknes Minister of oil

Statoil strategy has been adjusted with time Norwegian champion global player Statoil is the Norwegian oil and gas champion Intended to serve broad purposes of Norwegian petroleum and economic development Statoil s strategy has increasingly sought to assure its future by being competitive on the global stage Low oil prices have led to sales of assets in the USA and Canada But expansion in Brazil and offshore Canada Statoil s strategy is now similar to that of many major international oil company But it has the advantage of a large domestic footprint Eldar Sætre Statoil s 5 th CEO

The oil industry has changed in four years Profitable projects at far lower costs Norway has seen a major reduction in costs on the NCS in the last years due to the market collapse But more than 10 major offshore projects are under development The industry has adjusted itself to the new market 40% cost reduction More effective drilling Simplified project solutions Lower cost for people and their projects Pipelines and cables cost have declined The Norwegian petroleum clusters are now able to deliver new profitable projects at far lower costs Head of Norway Oil and Gas, Karl Eirik Schjøtt- Pedersen, former Minister of Finance

A large Norwegian service and supply industry It has been hit hard by the price collapse The Norwegian service and supply industry s annual revenue was close to US$ 50 billion before the oil price collapsed 40% of the revenues came from international markets The service and supply industry had 1250 active firms 125 000 were directly employed by the supply and service companies 26 000 were permanently stationed offshore Some 27 000 worked for the oil companies Near 100,000 jobs were indirectly linked to oil and gas More than 45 000 people have lost their jobs since the oil price began declining

Development of investments in oil and gas Several major projects are emerging 250 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 MillionNOK

Arvid Hallen Head of R&D Center Technology important part of the business

The Norwegian oil and gas sector over 40 years Local content policies and price of oil 120 Local content policies EU rules 1992 Global market focus 100 $US 80 Ekofisk, Frigg, Statfjord Gullfaks, Oseberg Ormen Lange, Snøhvit 60 Snorre, Sleipner, Norne, Troll, Åsgard 40 20 0 Money of the day US$ 2011 1975 1980 1990 2000 2010 2017 Cost focus NCS standards

Local content legislation introduced in 1972 Securing local firms a fair opportunity Norwegian goods and services should have preference provided it is competitive in price and quality, schedule and service 54 in the Petroleum Law Roles and responsibilities clearly defined between government and the oil companies The Ministry established an office to monitor local content in 1973 Oil companies had to present all tenders above one million kroner The Ministry was informed of the evaluations before contract award Oil companies had to present their tendering strategy twice a year Supply based had to be located in Norway not the UK Tendering information was released to the whole petroleum cluster

Norway s strategic approach Attracting global competent firms National Oilwell Varco Aker Solutions FMC Technology Norwegian supplier industry was built with a focus on Norwegian content rather than Norwegian ownership Norway introduced policies to attract global competence Foreign ownership among Norwegian based suppliers above 50% Many have made strategic acquisition of local enterprises Have not harmed the development of the national clusters Rather led to more focus on competitiveness and technology

Oil operators The government used incentives Wide ranging technology cooperation Oil service industry Universities and R&D centers technipfmc

Oil companies made the NCS a laboratory New technologies more production Troll Oil Tordis IOR Åsgard Ormen Lange Tapping a thin oil layer Drilling systems Advanced software Subsea separation boosting and injection system Åsgard Subsea gas compression - Boosting production Aker Solution Full scale subsea gas compression pilot

Local content no longer accepted

Norway and UK dropped local content in 1972 EU policies prohibit local content policies Norway and the UK introduced local content strategies in 1974 United Kingdom set up Offshore Supplies Office The aim was to raise British participation from 30% to 70% Norway introduced policies to assist Norwegian based firms Ministry of Petroleum monitored contracts awards Statoil had a dominant role in all licenses and pushed for use of companies based in Norway The most important step was the use of concrete platforms Another key issue was to move engineering to Norway UK and Norway had to drop local content requirement in 1992 It was against European Union policies

Had to follow EU rules and regulations from the 1990s No preference to Norwegian firms Infant industry argument no longer applicable The Norwegian population voted against membership in the European Union twice But it joined the European Economic Area Norway had to introduce EU regulations to its oil and gas strategy The new regulations were based on competition as the key principle Predictability, transparency, traceability Prohibited to discriminate on the basis of nationality Not allowed to use EU standards and specifications to obstruct competition

The industry developed Norwegian standards Made life easier for the suppliers The NORSOK standards were developed by the Norwegian petroleum industry to ensure adequate safety, value adding and cost effectiveness The intention was to replace the specifications which the different oil companies were using 79 national NORSOK standards are now in active use Standards Norway became an important basis for the regulations on the Norwegian continental shelf Hundreds of Norwegian experts participated in the petroleum standardization Norway s petroleum standards are a voluntary tripartite cooperation between oil industry, employee unions and the government. Finn Kristensen launched the NORSOK standards as Minister in the 1990s

Growing focus on corruption issues Statoil its lesson learned was tough Statoil s Iran contract with the son of a former President led to major changes He was involved in corruption The Chairman of Statoil, the CEO and the head of International E&P had to resign Statoil got a large fine from the Norwegian Financial Police Even larger fine from US investigations Norway has been exposed to a number of corruption cases in the oil and gas sector Established guidelines for 200 companies Worked hard to enable small and medium sized companies to handle the challenges 28

International expansion

Norway s oil industry became global for a while Large international markets became important Brazil Brazil US GOM GoM UK UKCS Tanzania The Norwegian oil industry grew internationally in the late 1990s Norway established a new entity, INTSOK, to open the doors for the companies in new markets internationally UK markets were the front runner Gulf of Mexico moved as fast Brazil became the big success story more then 100 companies Norway s oil and gas cluster operated all over the world Many Norwegian firms have been hard hit by the price collapse

South Korea was more competitive Norwegian clients were difficult to handle Norwegian oil companies placed more than 10 major contracts three Korean yards Statoil had personnel in the yards to supervise all projects The cost went far above all contracts South Korea had a very different approach to the Norwegian firms Korean yards had a clear and rigid structure with a strong role for the top of the hierarchy They also had problems understanding the NORSOK-standards Will influence future Norwegian contracts

Local content must be seen in a wider perspective Innovation, learning, technology and cost Technology Innovation and Learning Local Suppliers Human Resources

Brazil s has high research and development ambitions Statoil involved in the Doris robot project Norway s Crown Prince Harald has visited CENPES to be briefed on new ideas Brazil s high focus on R&D is attractive for many CENPES has become a strong force The robotics group at UFRJ is closely monitored by many outside Brazil The Doris robot project is a collaboration financed by Statoil and Petrobras The idea is that the robot should monitor and do surveillance of topside offshore installations The robot can be programmed to perform autonomous inspection rounds to detects anomalities or irregularities The robot is part of the oil industry s new future Willy H Olsen

New challenges

Handled CO2 for future storage Environment has been important for years Sleipner field North Sea with a lot of CO2 Six yeard study from 1990 found the way One million tonn CO2 stored every years Snøhvit field in the far north - 700 000 tonn annually

Local content should be seen in a wider perspective A future with more focus on low carbon Oil and gas industry will be part of the solution to the world s energy and climate challenges Major oil companies, like Total and Statoil, are investing actively in low-carbon technology and renewables, such as wind power. Climate policy measures should be predictable, transparent and internationally applied to avoid carbon leakage, ensure cost effectiveness and create a level playing field in global market A price on greenhouse gas emissions based on the emitter pays principle should be the preferred climate policy framework

The oil industry will have to face a new future Civil society has become more influential Civil society has in the last decade grown in influence They are increasing setting the agenda They are influencing policial leaders, financial institutions and government policies Issues like The environment Human rights Corruption Demanding more transparency in the oil and gas sector

The far-north of Norway is still an uncertainty Major potential remaining for the future