tepav The Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey Discussing innovation in Turkey: Key issues for the next five years Ozan Acar 12 June 2012, Ankara
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 2 Context Acknowledging the progress: 1990s: there s R&D and we are falling behind because of instability! 2000s: let s catch up by devoting more resources to R&D 2010s: now we have the capacity, can we go toward smarter policies?
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 3 What s TEPAV working on recently? Design for a Venture Capital Fund of Funds A co-investment mechanism to bring experienced global investors to Turkey Turkey Fast-Growth 25 A contest for identifying fastest growing companies Global Entrepreneurship Program A program to catalyze entrepreneurship development Framework for Bi-National Research and Development Foundations A bi-national funding and matchmaking mechanism for joint technology development projects
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 4 Critical issues for the next five years Private sector R&D, as opposed to R&D Commercialization process and gain-sharing? Move from large corporations to SMEs / democratization of R&D? Connectivity and technology transfer Where are we in the era of networked production? Who will be our connectors? Location of innovation Where will innovation take place? Decentralization of industrial policy?
Private R&D investments have a direct effect on technological transformation and economic growth 100% Turkey 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Private Public and Universities 100% S.Korea 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 * GDP share of R&D expenditure is 0.85% in Turkey and 3.37% in S.Korea (2009) Source: TURKSTAT R&D expenditure by source of funds - R&D Data of S.Korea Ministry of Science and Technology.
1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 6 Scarcity of human capital: a constraint? School enrollment, tertiary (% gross), 1971-2008, South Korea and Turkey 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Korea Turkey There are 2 researchers per 1000 employees in Turkey, EU-27 average is 6. Source: The World Bank, World Development Indicators
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 7 In terms of state support for R&D we have come a long way State aid provided for 1 USD of private R&D investment, 2009 Source: OECD and TEPAV calculations
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 8 But Turkey needs to tackle efficiency problems in R&D R&D for each USPTO patent (thousands of PPP$), ECA countries, 2007 Source: the World Bank s Igniting Innocation Report
IPR index score-2010 Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 9 Critical importance of IPR: Turkey needs stronger intellectual property environment to attract private R&D investments + internalization by the gov t 9 8,5 8 7,5 7 6,5 6 5,5 5 4,5 4 0,00 0,50 1,00 1,50 2,00 2,50 3,00 Private sector R&D expenditure (% GDP) -2009 EU standards achieved in regulation implementation, enforcement? IP courts? TPE capacity? Score: International Property Rights Index 2011, http://www.internationalpropertyrightsindex.org/ and WDI, 2011
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 10 Democratization of R&D... Which firms? Current system favors large companies R&D is done predominantly by large firms in Turkey Hard to see R&D focused, fast-growth SMEs Challenge is increasing the number of firms performing R&D, as opposed to volume per firm 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Acquisitions of the largest Turkish conglomerates (2007 2010) Entry Exit 13 17 Manufacturing İmalat sanayii The M&A activities (2007-2010) of ISO1000 conglomerates subject to Competition Authority decision 25 13 Services Hizmetler, enerji Source: TEPAV
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 11 Venture capital activity is highly critical for high growth R&D focused SMEs Venture Capital Investments vs. R&D/GDP, 2009 in OECD countries Turkey Source: OECD and TEPAV calculations
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 12 Commercializing knowledge, rather than generating it, seems to be a bottleneck How to foster spin-offs from universities? A new IPR legislation necessary but not sufficient Technology Transfer Offices experience is very new Patent filing services vs. connecting Learning from OTAM and Inovent (scaling up?) Revisiting the technopark regime Do they connect, really?
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 13 Do technoparks actually contribute to innovation? 39 TDZs of which 27 are operational 927 companies & 3.080 R&D projects Technology transfer in TDZs? Real estate development vs. technology development: rent costs three times the market rate Value added services highly limited What to do with the program? Tax incentives expire in 2023. Extend again?
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 14 Leveraging international networks Foreign direct investment strategy Going beyond marketing departments Preparing the labor force and physical infrastructure in line with sectoral needs Tapping into international knowledge flows and cross-national technological cooperation Turkish diaspora may be a good starting point Turkey has the highest rate of nationals staying in the US (60%) after completion of PhDs, after China, India, Iran and Argentina
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 15 Location of innovation Private sector & access to finance Knowledge generation capacity Quality of life and climate İstanbul?? Ankara?? İzmir??
Discussing innovation in Turkey Slide 16 Conclusions: Turkey ready for a jump? We have build decent capacity for knowledge generation. Next challenge will be commercialization capacity: Private sector R&D + high growth, hi-tech SMEs Time for smarter policies Newly established Ministry of Science, Industry and Technology, a step in right direction Time for better connectivity Right connectors in right places will make the difference