Dynamics of Evictions in Sweden A New Data Base Some Preliminary Results

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Transcription:

Insert your logo here Dynamics of Evictions in Sweden A New Data Base Some Preliminary Results Sten-Åke Stenberg Swedish Institute for Social Research Stockholm University Copenhagen, 23rd September 2015

Dynamics of Evictions in Sweden A database covering all judicial processes registered by the Swedish Enforcement Authority involving evictions or threats of eviction which occurred in Sweden during 2009 to 2012. These data are linked to several administrative registers for the years 1990-2014.

Dynamics of Evictions in Sweden Applications for summary proceedings contain approximately 120,000 cases, of which 113,000 are unique case-ids. Data on cases with the Enforcement Authority contain roughly 28,000 cases and a total number of around 8,000 executed evictions.

Dynamics of Evictions in Sweden The database also includes a 10 percent representative sample of the Swedish adult population (age 16+) in 2012, excluding those found in eviction data, as a point of reference (n 770,000). Linking with administrative registers from Swedish authorities we also collected information about other household members (wives/husbands/children), and for individuals in the Enforcement Authority registers at age 30 or below (N 20,000) we collected information about their parents. This adds up to a database consisting of 3,200,000 individuals.

Dynamics of Evictions in Sweden Statistics Sweden s longitudinal integration database for health insurance and labor market studies, and geography and domestic residential mobility database 1990 2013, The Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention s data on criminal convictions (1990 2013), Student registers from the Swedish National Agency for Education (1987/88 2013), The National Board of Health and Welfare s medical prescription (2005 2015), patient (2001 2014) and cause-of-death (1991 2014) registers. Swedish National Board of Institutional care on compulsory care for young people with psychosocial problems and adults with substance misuse problems (2000 2014).

Applications for eviction (SUPRO) Applications to the Execution Office (REX) Executed evictions (REX) Time period Tenure form Jan 2009 Aug 2012 Jan 2009 March 2012 Jan 2009 March 2012 -rented 0.92 0.93 0.92 -owner-occupied 0.06 0.06 0.05 -student 0.01 0.002 0.002 -special lease 0.01 0.003 0.004 -N/A 0.01 0.01 0.02 Reasons given by the landlord -rent arrears 0.98 0.97 0.95 -anti-social 0.01 0.01 0.02 behavior -other; N/A 0.01 0.02 0.03 Total N (cases) 119,966 26,591 i 7,733

No verdict 19,926 (62 %) SUPRO 2009 N (cases) = 32,054 Verdict, not to REX 5,569 (17%) Not evicted 4,707 (72%) Verdict, to REX 6,559 (20%) Evicted 1,799 (27%) N/A 53 (1%)

The Judicial Process Notice to vacate Verdict Application to Bailiff Eviction

Leaky Funnel

Australia The Judicial Process Notice to vacate Verdict Application to Bailiff Eviction

SUPRO REX Evicted Reference pop. 2012 Men 56.1 59.3 66.7 49.3 Women 43.9 40.7 33.3 50.7 Family type: Married/cohab. no children 4.2 3.5 3.1 23.0 Married/cohab. with children 18.4 16.4 10.9 32.2 Single parent household 21.4 21.6 15.8 7.9 Single househ. no children 56.0 58.5 70.3 36.6

Municipality type SUPRO REX Evicted Reference pop. 2012 Metropolitan 17.4 14.3 18.2 17.8 Suburban 11.2 10.1 10.9 15.3 Large cities 33.1 32.6 29.5 27.7 Commuter municipality Sparsely populated 5.7 6.4 5.9 6.4 2.2 2.5 2.1 3.1

SUPRO REX Evicted Reference pop. 2012 Sweden 66.5 71.2 70.7 85.0 Other Nordic 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.0 Other West iii 4.0 4.0 4.2 2.8 Other Europe iv 5.0 4.4 3.7 2.5 Middle East v Other v 9.0 6.9 6.9 3.3 13.9 12.0 12.7 5.4 iii EU-25, other Western Europe, Australia, Canada, New Zeeland, USA. iv Former Soviet Union European part, Romania, Bulgaria, Balkan except Greece. v Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and Asia except the Middle East.

Educational level SUPRO REX Evicted Reference pop. 2012 Lower secondary; n/a 35.2 36.4 39.0 20.8 Upper secondary 49.9 52.6 50.4 45.4 Tertiary 14.9 10.9 10.5 33.8 No labour market 38.2 42.6 51.3 14.6 income vi Equiv. disp. household inc. vi 122,541 117,143 104,202 206,875 Vi In active ages: 25 54.

No. of years with Social Assistance SUPRO REX Evicted Reference pop. 2012 0 42.4 32.4 31.1 92.6 1 15.7 18.5 18.5 2.6 2 3 4 12.1 14.1 13.5 1.5 9.9 12.0 12.1 1.0 8.4 10.0 10.6.8 5 11.6 12.9 14.2 1.4

SUPRO REX Evicted Reference pop. 2012 Criminal conviction ix : 0 57.5 50.6 42.0 86.3 1 17.8 18.9 18.4 8.7 2+ 39.6 24.7 30.5 4.9 Mean no. hospital stays: All diagnoses 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 Psych. Diagnoses 0.7 0.8 1.2 0.2 ix Since 1990.

Depression in the aftermath of eviction A one-year follow-up study of a disruptive housing life event Carin Qvarfordt Eisenstein

Depression in the aftermath of eviction Study period and mental illness for included sample 36 months Control for prior mental illness 6 months No mental illness 12 months Follow-up for depression Start date Exposed Group: Eviction date 2009 Control Group: January 1st 2009

Depression in the aftermath of eviction Primary inaptient diagnosis of depression during one year follow-up (%): Exposed Women 0.43 Unexposed Women 0.08 Exposed Men 0.74 Unexposed Women 0.06 OR 7.49 None recent menat illness 2.36 Recent mental illness

Evictions and criminal offending investigating the relationship Susanne Alm

20 Prevalence rates 2007-2012 for evictees in 2009-10 and for reference population 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Homelessness Evictees and Social Ref popwork in Europe

Proportions convicted at least once per year 2006-2012 0,3 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 0 2006 2007 Copenhagen, Treated 23rd Controls September 2016 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Increased social assistance in the wake of forced eviction Anna Kahlmeter

Change in mean proportion of DI that consists of SA for woman and men. 0,4 0,35 0,3 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 0 2004 2005 2006 2007EUROPEAN 2008 RESEARCH 2009 CONFERENCE 2010 2011 2012 2013 Men Copenhagen, Men 23rd Women September Women 2016