Co/HE evolution Panel B1: IP Network Modernization, Fotonics and SDN 4º Workshop America Movil Eduardo Jedruch CCS Network Architect CALA President Fiber Broadband Association LATAM 1 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Bandwidth requirements will likely continue to grow, but by what exactly is still unknown Empirical studies suggest that bandwidth requirements have grown at 50%/year. Predictions are substantiated by historical data & industry forecasts. There are a variety of possible use cases which will drive the growth. Bandwidth for High End User Kb/s 100,000.0 10,000.0 1,000.0 100.0 10.0 1.0 0.1 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Source: Neilson s Law Predictions Nielson s Law says Bandwidth doubles every 21 months (~45% CAGR) 2x says Bandwidth doubles every 18 months (~60% CAGR) 2x 6 mos 1 yr 18 mos 2 yrs Possible Use Cases Near-Term Longer-Term Video Anytime Cloud Mobility Urbanization Wearables VR/AR Autonomous vehicles Industrial IoT Voice Computing Holographic Video AR/VR Artificial Intelligence Automation Smart cities 2 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Near term growth in mobile and cloud are placing huge demands on networks and are only expected to continue grow at high rates Growth in Mobile devices and Mobile traffic (specifically video) Growth in cloud Internet of Things: Connected Devices Millions of units 18,200 2015 Smartphones* Other Devices 22,900 2016 28,400 2017 +22% 34,800 2018 42,100 2019 50,100 2020 CARGs 4% 24% Global Mobile Data Traffic Exaabytes per Month 2015 Video Web, data and VoIP Audio Streaming File Sharing 2016 2017 +53% 2018 22 2019 31 2020 CARGs 62% 75% 15 31% 10 6 45% 4 17% 6% 2% 66% Data Center IP Traffic by Type Exabytes per Year 75% DC to user (through Internet or IP WAN) DC to DC within DC --% DC workloads in the cloud 4,677 16% 7% 77% 2015 6,522 14% 8% 78% 2016 8,605 14% 8% 78% 2017 +27% 10,753 13% 9% 78% 2018 12,929 14% 9% 77% 2019 15,334 14% 9% 77% 2020 CARGs 24% 32% 92% 27% Source: Statista, 2016 High Mobile growth/mo compared to less DC-to-user traffic growth/yr appears to mean fixed traffic is growing slower Source: Cisco VNI, 2016 *Higher volume of DC traffic is due to including traffic inside the DC (Internet & WAN traffic definitions usually stop at the DC) Source: Cisco Global Cloud Index, 2016 3 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Market Drivers & Dynamics driving network evolution Consumer Demand Competition Technology/ Business Case Increased Protectionism Regulatory Uncertainty Weakening Net Neutrality in the (US) Funds for Networks Mobility Growth Consumer bandwidth demand Reduced Latency Movement towards the cloud driving hyperscale & emerging cloud investment Increased competition amongst operators Network ownership shifts Spend shifts between network areas Fixed Wireless Interest 5G: Increased speed & device connectivity Virtualization New frequencies Integrated Antennas Increased competition amongst equipment providers Regulatory Uncertainty 4 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
How the networks are being transformed? Network Area Effected: Access Core Edge Across All Networks Multi-Use of Fiber Networks Wireline/WLS Convergence Multi-Tenant DCs Spin Leaf & AOC Silicon Photonics Operations in Cloud MM to SM 100G Ethernet OM5 WBMMF Mobile Edge Computing Edge Cloud DCs Densification Higher Frequencies Spectrum Management Unlicensed RF More Radios, RF Split Sectors/ MIMO FTTx Networks 3G/LTE/5G Virtualization CRAN/SDN/ NFV 5 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Access Operators utilize fiber to backhaul and access, provides wireless for efficiency, and optimize with the convergence of wireless & wireline networks Core Central Office/Head End - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 kilometer- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HSDL/ADSL 2-20 Mbps HFC (Node Splitting) 20 Mbps- 1 Gbbs Copper Coax Fiber Micro Wave Small Cell/DAS 1-300Mbps Wi-Fi 1-800Mbps Fiber or MW Backhaul Fiber to the Antenna 1-10 Gbps 3G 1-3 Mbps 4G/LTE 3-300 Mbps 5G (Coming Soon) 0-1 Gbps Fiber to the Node &VDSL2, G.Fast 20-100 Mbps (G.Fast sometimes up to 750Mbps) Fiber to the Distribution Point & VDSL2 250 Mbps- 1Gbps Fiber to the Home 1-12 Gbps Fiber to the Building/Home 1-12 Gbps Sources: Scipio Technologies, Corning 6 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Core Area of Impact: Multi-tenant data centers are growing to handle demands, and central office/data centers are moving to new technologies to achieve efficiencies and optimize the networks Central Office/Head End Or Data Center 10G, 40G, 100G The path to 400G Ethernet continues... Percent of Server Shipments % 50G Active Optical Cables Increasing bandwidth requirements and huge DC deployments are likely to drive AOC. MM to SM Moving from multimode fiber to single mode in the DC means higher capacity connections Data Center Central Office Growth in MTDC The global MTDC and wholesale DC market is to grow at 13% CAGR between 2016-2020 2 due to growth in data. Cloud By 2020, 92% of workloads will be processed by cloud DCs 3. With increasing investments in virtualization (NFV, SDN) the CO will look more like a DC. Silicon Photonics Data transfer among computer chips by optical rays, over single mode fiber. Low-cost, high-speed optics over duplex SM drives demand for SM fiber and drives duplex away from parallel. Leaf Spine Architecture For lower latency, higher throughput and dynamic routing 7 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Across Networks Fiber is quickly becoming the common denominator of networks, growing deployments to support changes in all areas of the network Macro Base Station Small Cells Fiber to the Home Fiber to the Cell Site Global Sales Fiber Optic Cable Installations M of Fiber km 264 313 246 189 218 +9% 411 403 413 413 438 368 9% 6% Multimode Single-mode Central Office Fiber to the Node/ Fiber to the Cabinet 2010 2015 2020 Source: CRU 2016 8 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Across Networks Network operators are investing in virtualization of all areas of their network to reach improved levels of efficiencies and optimize their network investments Virtualization in all network areas starting with defending the core & growing core revenues, and moving out into the edge to widen subscriber reach & increase profitability Core Access Edge Data Center End Users Central Office Base Band RAN Mobile Core Edge DC Network Form Virtualization (NFV) Software defined Networking (SDN) Cloud RAN (CRAN) Software Defined RAN (SDRAN) Software Defined Access Network (SDAN) 9 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
SDN - Software Defined Networking TRADITIONAL ARCHITECTURE SDN app app app app No centralized control/orchestration. Each element individually touched. Static Routing. control data SDN controller control data control control control control data IP traffic data data IP traffic data 10 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
NFV Network Function Virtualization 11 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c Source: AT&T
SDN and NFV Network Impact SDN and NFV will gradually change Networks VNF PNF Virtual Network Function Physical Network Function Network Management SDN Controller Customer Portal Customer Services OSS/BSS NFV Orchestrator NFV Management A U T O M A T I O N CPE BBU - BBU - Edge Virtualization Examples - vbbu - CloudRAN - Content Distribution vcdn - Virtual Reality Edge Computing - FTTH - volt FTTH + NFV infrastructure Central Office PNF volt Central Office PNF VNF vbbu VNF vcpe Data Center Central Office Data Center ACCESS METRO CORE PNF VNF VNF VNF Central Office Core Virtualization Examples PNF - SD-WAN - vvpn, Firewall - Wireless Core (vepc) - Voice recording Central service Office - DHCP server for CPE CSP2 12 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Central Offices will transform into hybrid facilities, introducing datacenter architectures to support NFV, CloudRAN and Edge Computing Typical NFV infrastructure : 2 1. OCP racks with Servers and Storage 2. Fabric leaf and spine switches 3 1 4 3. Interface to access network, fixed or wireless (includes volt) 4. Interface to core network VNF infrastructure sizes still uncertain, tend to be compact (1 to 4 racks) but will evolve over time, as demands increase. Central Office Legacy Equipment High Speed IO Leading Architecture & terminology VNF POD PNF ROADM Core Network Next Generation Central Office Integrated Cloud Central Office Re-architected as a Datacenter VNF VNF ODF Low Speed IO GPON OLT Access Network Cloud Central Office 13 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
CO Edge DC POD Deployment Challenges Core and Access Networks are critical long term investments that remain and grow as key elements of a Central Office Virtual Network Function (VNF) pods will be inserted within an existing Central Office Some functions will be new, some will replace existing, not all functions will be virtualized Pods will come and go, the core network and access network will last far longer Size requirements highly uncertain pods will likely evolve by adding 1 rack at a time. Hardware lifecycle will be shortened (Moore s law still applies!), different generations of servers need to coexist using different communication speeds, inside the same leaf-spine fabric. Pod Fabric and Core connectivity is critical! - Day 1 speed vs. future requirements - Very different from DC where full pod is deployed at once!! Other CO challenges include: - Heating and cooling - Powering - Fire Suppression - Security 14 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Other Trends Driving Central Office Evolution Mobile Edge Computing Businesses and Consumers require lower latency for video and voice applications By 2025 60% of cloud servers will be deployed in Edge locations 2 Latency and bandwidth volume drive move to Edge Proliferation of dense, small-scale facilities Network Convergence, 5G RAN Evolution Densification Centralization Virtualization 15 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Central Office Evolution 16 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Central Office Transformation Best Practices 1. Separate NFV infrastructure from legacy central office Enables energy efficient power and cooling solution. Ability to manage security and access for different teams. 2. Use a modular approach: start small, expand when needed. Requirements will change! Typical CO deployments sizes expected to be 1-6 racks. Updates of equipment more frequent; shorter hardware lifecycle for IT servers and storage. Equipment comes in 1 rack at a time, and needs to plug into the leaf-spine fabric. 3. Use a structured cabling design with clear demarcation to connect VNF pod and legacy CO-ODF Easily expand or upgrade NFV infrastructure, whilst maintaining the integrity of the leaf-spine fabric. Separation of responsibilities between different teams (IT & actives vs. OSP-legacy main ODF) Prepare for high speed migration 10-40-100G / 25-50-100G. Use multi-fiber links. Manage documentation well, consider automation 17 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
High-Speed Migration Components Building blocks of a solid strategy 18 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
HIGH-SPEED MIGRATION COMPONENTS Fiber panels Unique split tray design for open access to all fibers and connections while innovative fiber routing keeps all cables ordered, visible and accessible as they exit the front and rear of the panel High-density (HD): 48 duplex LC or 32 MPO ports per RU Ultra-high density (UD): 72 duplex LC or 48 MPO ports per RU Both support singlemode, OM4 and OM5 multimode G2 compatible modules and adapter packs Intelligence enabled with imvision! 19 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
HIGH-SPEED MIGRATION COMPONENTS Cabling and connectors Fiber cables OM5 WideBand multimode: Pioneered by CommScope, it enables shortwave division multiplexing and increases capacity by a factor of four Ultra-low loss pre-terminated cable: Supports longer link spans and the infrastructure design needed for guaranteed operational availability G.657.A2 singlemode: Delivers lowest bend losses for macro- as well as micro-bending Connectors Wide range of MPO configurations: 8-, 12- and 24-fiber 24-fiber MPO ensures lowest first cost duplex deployment 20 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Manage it all with intelligence imvision Faster speeds mean more components, cables and connections far too many to monitor and manage manually. 21 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Manage it all with intelligence imvision imvision provides automatic real-time tracking of every connection and change in your physical layer, enabling you to: Handle moves/add/changes more easily Accelerate mean time to repair Record all physical layer changes as they occur Be notified of any unplanned or unauthorized change Identify unused IT assets and cabling for reuse imvision intelligence is available as an option with many components in the high-speed migration platform 22 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
Not just solutions a solid strategy More than innovative infrastructure solutions, the high-speed migration platform is a long-term strategy, taking you from where you are today to where you are going tomorrow. Learn more commscope.com 23 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c
- Thank You Eduardo Jedruch eduardo.jedruch@commscope.com 24 P R I V A T E A N D C O N F I D E N T I A L 2 0 1 7 C o m m S c o p e, I n c