Using proxies of anthropogenic disturbance to estimate the distribution of wintering Piping Plovers
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1 Using proxies of anthropogenic disturbance to estimate the distribution of wintering Piping Plovers Olivia LeDee and Francesca J. Cuthbert Conservation Biology Graduate Program University of Minnesota
2 With the concern for species conservation, more research is needed into whether or not human presence has an adverse affect on wildlife Hockin et al. 1992; Hill et al Laguna Madre, MX
3 Threats to wintering plovers 55-60% of Americans in 722 counties adjacent to the U.S. coasts; some 100 million beach tourists Hinrichsen 1998 By 2025, nearly 75% of Americans are expected to live in coastal counties Hinrichsen 1998
4 How disturbance affects PIPL Recreational activity higher at non-plover sites than plover sites Nicholls, J.L. and G.A. Baldassarre Human disturbance appears to limit local piping plover abundance; vehicle use displaces PIPL from preferential habitat Zonick and Ryan 1995 Beach length and beach vehicular density strongly influence PIPL abundance Zonick and Ryan 1995; Zonick 2000 Marco Island, FL PIPL seldom use tidal flats adjacent to developed areas (5/1371) Drake et al. 2001
5 Disturbance reduces time spent foraging and increases energy expenditure Burger 1991; Zonick and Ryan 1995
6 Objectives Investigate relationship between plover abundance and 4 selected anthropogenic variables Create linear model of plover macro-habitat to predict plover distribution along the Gulf Coast
7 Questions Is there a relationship between plover abundance and selected human-related variables? Does a combination of selected variables explain plover presence at wintering sites?
8 Study Area: Gulf of Mexico Coast Central Barrier Coast Apalachicola Cuspate The North Central Gulf Mississippi Delta Texas Barrier Islands Copyright, Sidney Maddock
9 GIS Sources Digital Orthographic Quarter Quads (DOQQs) TIGER, Texas Natural Resources Information System, ATLAS, LABINS, TX Parks and Wildlife Division, LA Oil Spill Coordinator s Office, TX General Land Office, TX Department of Transportation
10 Methods I 4 anthropogenic variables (urban area, primary roads, beach access points, marinas/ boat launches) were incorporated into the analysis Area (urban), Length (roads), and Number (beach access points, marinas, and boat launches) were calculated for each location.
11 Results I: Is there a relationship between plover abundance and selected human-related variables? REGION URBAN AREA ACCESS POINTS ROADS BOAT LAUNCHES GULF COAST (GC) (31/32) * (29) (20) * (29) (20) WESTERN GC (23/24) * (20) (20) (20) (20) FLORIDA GC (8/8) (7) NA * (7) NA Significance value:.05*,.01**,.001***
12 Why are plover numbers correlated with these variables? Urban: human activity; fewer alternative food sources; increased predation Roads: human activity; access to sites
13 Does a combination of selected variables explain plover presence at wintering sites?
14 What we learned from Part I PIPL abundance significantly correlated with intertidal area, total area, peninsula/island
15 Methods II: Development of model to predict habitat use Used significant variables from Part I Tested interactions among and between variables Constructed models using multi-factor linear regression
16 Results II: Does a combination of selected variables explain plover presence at wintering sites? Model: {sqrt(pipl)~intertidal_flat + urban + peninsula} Gulf Coast: Adjusted R-squared: ; 3 and 27 DF; p-value: *** Western Gulf Coast: Adjusted R-squared: ; 3 and 18 DF, p-value: ** Florida: Adjusted R-squared: ; 3 and 5 DF, p-value: * Significance value:.05*,.01**,.001***
17 Conclusions 2/4 anthropogenic variables (e.g. urban, roads) significantly correlated with plover abundance Combination of 3 variables (intertidal area, urban area, and peninsula/island) explain almost 50% of variability in plover abundance Plover abundance is strongly associated with physical shoreline features + human infrastructure
18 Conservation Implications Mixed-models needed to understand habitat use Spatial or temporal management may be advised for urban areas Protect roosting/ feeding habitat at sites with moderate-high human activity
19 Future research How much isolation/distance required to influence presence/absence of plovers? What landscape scale is relevant for studying plover habitat use?
20 Acknowledgments For academic support: Todd Arnold, Paul Bolstad For funding: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, MacArthur Program, Conservation Biology Program, Dayton-Wilkie, Undergraduate Research Opportunity Program For professional support and PIPL locations: U.S. Fish and Wildlife (esp. Jack Dingledine, Patty Kelly, Debbie Fuller, Paul Lang, Phil Glass); U.S. Geological Survey (esp. Tommy Michot), National Park Service, Louisiana Natural Heritage Program (Ines Maxit, Patti Faulkner), ProNatura PIPL lab: Jennifer Stucker, Vanessa Pompei, Cathy Haffner, Amy Canavan
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