DEVELOPING A PROJECT ROADMAP

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1 DEVELOPING A PROJECT ROADMAP D ANIEL A. W ORDSON T ECHNICAL MEETING ON TOPICAL ISSUES IN T HE DEVELOPMENT OF N UCLEAR P OWER I NFRASTRUCTURE FEBRUARY 2 5, 2016; IAEA, VIENNA, AUSTRIA.

2 Outline Roadmap: Introduction, Objective & Features Considerations in Defining the Breakdown Structure Considerations in Setting Milestones Tools for Roadmap Development Official Plans Vs. Expert Opinion; Ghana s Experience Ghana s Case in Developing Roadmap Concluding Remarks & References on Nuclear Related Roadmaps

3 Roadmap: Roadmap is a generic term meaning a detailed plan for achieving some goal and to guide progress toward this goal. It is a synonym for guide to future goals, guideline, plan, direction, instruction, map, protocol, standard, procedure. Several analytical tools (methods, software, etc) are available to support technology or non-technology (policy-oriented) roadmapping providing means to gather, explore, organize, analyze and communicate the information necessary for decision-making process related to roadmap construction.

4 Roadmap In Brief Planning process that is both target and policy oriented. Target orientation to deal with: National preference(s) for evolutionary and/or innovative power plants Expected output and benefit of the project Project sustainability Policy orientation to address: National prospects for energy mix Existing national and international instruments and legal responsibilities Provisions for successful project implementation (that is both nationally and internationally acceptable)

5 Objective of Project Roadmap Overall objective is to develop a structured approach for making transition from current status to satisfying a projected foreseeable need. Features: Structured approach Milestones Dynamism and Long-term perspective (that also considers evolutionary trends of development)

6 Defining the Breakdown Structure Key Considerations: Overview of the generic approach of developing nuclear power (Clear understanding of IAEA s Milestones Approach) Overview of national institutions that qualify as key stakeholders who can collaborate to meet the requirements Relevant national and international consultancies (e.g., conduction of public opinion poll after certain level of awareness/engagement; aspects of site survey; etc.) Realistic outlining of tasks Redesign the scope of work document actions (e.g., National Position: Technical evaluations, stakeholder involvement and public awareness; to what extent they are to be addressed in each phase)

7 Considerations in Setting Milestones Budget Timeframe (for specific collaborative efforts by particular stakeholders) Available tools (manpower, logistics, etc)

8 Tools for Roadmap Development Visualization tools: Trees, taxonomy, Gantt chart, mind map, concept map, etc Analytical tools: Decision tree, MCDA, cost-benefit analysis, portfolio optimization, etc. Software for roadmapping (data input, analysis, reporting): MS Project or other Gantt software (Aha!, ProductPlan, etc) Integrated tools (Vision Strategist, VersionOne, etc)

9 Official Plans vs Study/Expert Opinion Official Plans Credible Acknowledged by all developmental facets (national and international) Compel stakeholders commitment and active participation Study/Expert Opinion Your desk study; no matter how brilliant Your opinion No one really cares Appreciable confidence for investment Unlikely investment High probability of achieving goal even if it delays It is your dream

10 IMPORTANCE OF CLEAR & OFFICIAL ROADMAP Ghana s Experience

11 Ghana s Story 1963: Establishment of Ghana Atomic Energy Commission 1964: Energy for accelerated national development plan-dr Kwame Nkrumah We have been compelled to enter the field of Atomic energy, because this already promises to yield the economical source of power since the beginning of man. Our success in this field would enable us to solve the many sided problems which face us in all the spheres of our development in Ghana and in Africa. Dr Nkrumah Feb. 1966: Revolution (Gov. invitation to Sir Cockcroft and IAEA on the Reactor Project) the view of the IAEA was that the advice sought was political in nature, and it must therefore remain the prerogative of the Government to take a decision. Nov. 1966: Cockcroft Report (to NLC); In view of the capacity of the Volta hydroelectric project, for some twenty years to come, a Reactor is unlikely to be necessary for the purpose of producing power. 1998, 2007: Acute national energy crisis that shut down some turbines of the Akosombo hydro-electric plant (main electricity producing plant of Ghana; roundly 1000 MW plant)

12 Ghana s Story Continued 2007: Presidential Committee to report on a feasibility study of introducing Nuclear into Country s Energy Mix 2008: Cabinet decision to include nuclear into energy mix based on the Committee s Report (Adjei-Bekoe s Report 2007) 2010: Nuclear Energy included in National Energy Policy and Strategy 2012: Ghana Nuclear Power Program Organization (Ghana s NEPIO) 2014: Establishment of Nuclear Power Centre (as Technical drive force for GNPPO) 2015 (January): IAEA Expert visit to develop a better understanding of the planning by Ghana for nuclear power infrastructure development Key Issues of the IAEA Visit (among others included): o Development of clear roadmap or national action plan with timelines and key deliverables

13 Ghana s Story Continued o Ghana to focus on near-term goals of NPID o Strengthening coordination mechanisms with clear roles & responsibilities for participating organizations /institutions 2015(March): NPC Draft of Roadmap for NPP development in Ghana. Document reviewed by IAEA in Nov : Nuclear Regulatory Authority Act 2015 for the establishment of an effectively independent Nuclear Regulatory Body signed 2015: Nearly all relevant International Conventions have been signed 2015(December): Restructured GNPPO 2016: Establishment of Ghana Nuclear Regulatory Authority

14 Ghana s Case: Developing Roadmap for Nuclear Power Infrastructure Development

15 How Ghana Developed its Roadmap (Feb Dec., 2015) Discussion among key stakeholders of the program Assigned responsibility and time Review of: IAEA Milestone, Self Evaluation, NTDRoadmap(US DoE) documents Brainstorming sessions - Draft roadmap with Conditions for successful development First run cost estimate for infrastructure development Meeting with stakeholders to discuss draft Meeting with IAEA (Roadmap and Self evaluation guidance) Readjustments and restructuring (where necessary) GNPPO discussion on reviewed roadmap, near-term goals and strategy Conclusion and Official adoption

16 Ghana s Overall Draft Roadmap for NPP Preparation of Program Comprehensive Studies & Report Strongly, Well Motivated GNPPO (Planning, Coordination & Oversight Responsibility) National Decision Project Feasibility & Development Phase Construction of 1 st NPP PHWR FBR Commissioning & Operation of 1 st NPP Pres Fast Sma Used Used ???? Repr

17 Ghana s Roadmap Some Major Issues Strongly, Well Motivated GNPPO (Planning, Coordination & Oversight Responsibility) PHWR Pres Legal gap analysis HR Gap Analysis & Strategy Public Awareness RB Startup; Competence development program Site Survey (Candidate Sites) INIR 1 PCR National Decision Site Selection EIA Grid Enhancements Establishment of Licensing Procedures Regulatory processes for Authorizations, Inspections and Enforcements Designation of OO Technology Selection & requirements Contract INIR 2 etc. Implementations CRR Mission Agreement with Vendor Program & Construction Phase FBR Commissioning & Operation of 1 st NPP Fast Sma Used Used ???? Repr

18 Milestones of Ghana s Roadmap Strongly, Well Motivated GNPPO (Planning, Coordination & Oversight Responsibility) Nuclear Law GNPPO Technical Bids Contract Neg&Sign Site Preparation National EPR Implementation Grid Connection Com. Operation PCR & Nat. Decision Technology/ Financial Evaluations Construction Start Equipment Installation Operator Staff Ready

19 Concluding Remarks Regardless of the urgency of need, Roadmap should: Be Realistic (in time, money and commitment).no short-cuts in NPID Have tangible goal/end Have clear milestones Be well communicated and understood by all stakeholders Assign specific responsibilities to stakeholders Be official Newcomer Country is likely to first develop a Master Roadmap to allow specific areas to develop the details. Due diligence is key and expert review is highly recommended.

20 References on Nuclear Related Roadmaps General IEA Technology roadmaps, UNIDO technology foresight, Institute for Manufacturing, Department of Engineering Cambridge, UK, Nuclear related roadmapping Technology Roadmap: Nuclear Energy, 2010 edition, NEA /IEA, pdf Technology Roadmap: Nuclear Energy, 2015 edition, NEA /IEA, NuclearEnergy.pdf

21 References on Nuclear Related Roadmaps Nuclear energy research and development roadmap, 2010, DOE, A Technology Roadmap for Generation IV Nuclear Energy Systems, Nuclear Energy Research and Development Roadmap: Future Pathways, 2013, 3/bis nuclear-energy-research-and-development-roadmap-futurepathway.pdf The path to sustainable nuclear energy basic and applied research opportunities for advanced fuel cycles, DOE, 2005,

22 References on Nuclear Related Roadmaps Others A roadmap to deploy new nuclear power plants in the United States by 2010, Volume 1 Summary Report; Volume II Main Report, The nuclear roadmap portal a service to the nuclear energy community. Strategic plan for light water reactor research and development, US DoE / Nuclear Power Industry, Indian programme related to innovative nuclear reactor technology, Sinha & Kakodkar, Nuclear fission energy roadmap, UK Energy Research Centre, Nuclear fission energy roadmap, Howarth, Dalton Nuclear Institute, etc

23 THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

NEPIO s Role in Incorporating 3S into the Nuclear Power Programme

NEPIO s Role in Incorporating 3S into the Nuclear Power Programme Jean-Maurice Crete SGCP/CTR International Atomic Energy Agency Introduction Role and Objectives of the NEPIO Examples of 3S Coordination