Space Tourism: Risks & Rewards. J. Duncan Law-Green University of Leicester & National Space Centre
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1 Space Tourism: Risks & Rewards J. Duncan Law-Green University of Leicester & National Space Centre Cambridge Science Festival 13th March 2008
2 Suborbital & Orbital Flight Edge of space defined as 100km (62 miles) above Earth s surface. Orbital spaceflight Altitude 150 miles+, speed 17,500mph+ Suborbital spaceflight Max altitude 62 miles+, speed 2500mph+ Commercial air traffic Altitude 8 miles, Speed 600mph
3 1968: Space Tourism in Film
4 1981: Promise Unfulfilled Launch of STS-1 Columbia 12 April 1981 Space Island Station Concept Using Shuttle External Tanks
5 2001: A Space Adventure US company Space Adventures forms agreement with Russian Space Agency for space tourism trips to International Space Station. Cost $20-30 million Dennis Tito (US) Soyuz TM-32, Apr 2001 Anousheh Ansari (Iran/US) Soyuz TMA-9, Sep 2006 Mark Shuttleworth (S. Africa/UK) Soyuz TM-34, Apr 2002 Charles Simonyi (Hungary/US) Soyuz TMA-10, Apr 2007 Greg Olsen (US) Soyuz TMA-7, Oct 2005 Richard Garriott (UK/US) Soyuz TMA-13, Oct 2008?
6 The Ansari X-Prize & SpaceShipOne Ansari X-Prize: $10 million for first vehicle to carry 3 people (or 1+equivalent mass) to 100km and back twice in two weeks. Winner: Scaled Composites SpaceShipOne designed by Burt Rutan. Programme cost $25-30 million Technology licensed to Virgin Galactic for passenger-carrying service.
7 Virgin Galactic: SpaceShipTwo SpaceShipTwo/WhiteKnightTwo 6 passengers & 2 pilots to 100km+ Tickets $200,000 per seat First test flights: summer 2008 First commercial flight: 2010?
8 Virgin Galactic: SpaceShipTwo SpaceShipTwo under construction at Scaled Composites, Mojave
9 Explosion at Mojave 26 July 2007: Nitrous oxide detonation during cold flow test kills three Scaled Composites employees
10 Virgin Galactic: Spaceport America Spaceport America Upham, New Mexico, Environmental approval: late 2008 Operational: late 2010
11 Space Tourism in Europe: EADS Astrium Cabin interior of EADS Astrium vehicle
12 Vertical Takeoff/Vertical Landing: Blue Origin US private spaceflight firm, owned by Jeff Bezos (founder of Amazon.com) Spaceport on 260mi2 (670km2) of private land in NW Texas Prototype unmanned vehicle Goddard, takes off and lands vertically (VTVL). First flight: 13 Nov 2006 (300ft altitude) At least 3 test flights to date. Second test vehicle under construction. Planned New Shepard manned suborbital vehicle, 1 flight/week to 100km by 2010?
13 Space on a Shoestring: Armadillo Aerospace US firm owned by John Carmack (creator of Doom, Quake) Small team working part-time, limited budget (around $3M to date) Demonstrated unmanned VTVL reusable modular rockets Working on one-man suborbital vehicle
14 Orbital Space Tourism SpaceX Dragon SpaceDev DreamChaser First generation of commercial manned orbital spacecraft. First flights Tickets $10-15 million per seat.
15 Hotels in Space? Bigelow Aerospace habitats Space station modules for rent $8 million/month First operational in 2012
16 Passenger Safety Risk of fatal accident with current manned spacecraft: ~1 in 70 Aiming for at least 100x improvement with new suborbital spacecraft, comparable to first generation of civil airliners in the 1930s. Comprehensive health screening: vast majority of passengers will be fit to fly FAA will require informed consent by passengers Insurance is a challenge! Lloyds studying risks
17 Environmental Impact of Space Tourism Carbon footprint Toxic pollution Noise pollution sonic boom Effect on wildlife Debris hazard from in-flight accidents Emissions in upper atmosphere EPA spaceport assessment FAA vehicle certification
18 Benefits of Space Tourism Personal experience the overview effect Variety of technical approaches (not one true way ) Incremental development ( build a little, test a little ) Safer and more robust spacecraft Much easier access for space science experiments Cheaper, more routine access to space MONEY TO FUND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT!
19 The Future Kankoh Maru Design study for VTVL SSTO by Japan Rocket Society 50 passengers to orbit Skylon UK design for HTHL SSTO using airbreathing rockets 60 passengers to orbit Tickets less than 50,000
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