The Australian Open returns for another year and we have some nice (and not so nice) promotions on offer:

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1 Australian Open 2018 The Australian Open returns for another year and we have some nice (and not so nice) promotions on offer: Bet365 Early Payout Paid As Winner If Leads 2-0 and Loses. No Maximum Stated. Men s Singles. No state restrictions listed. Early Payout is the marketing used but what I ve written here is what the promotion actually is. This rarely happens ( % of the time, depending on the match) and is actually worth a bet on rank outsiders but I m not interested in trying to hit a 1-in-40 chance and the bad runs in between. I may play this promotion on selected matches where I have a tip. Longer the price, the better the bet. Double-figure odds are B selections. Roughies are C selections. Even-money chances are D selections. Favourites are E selections. Betting Club The Decider Bonus Bet Lose in 5 Sets. Max $50. Men s Singles. Rounds 1-4. Not available to residents of SA. This is a C selection for players in the $1.70-$2.20 range. Roughies are the better bet when both players are within this range. Verdict: C selection Women s Singles Bonus Bet Win 1 st Set But Lose. Max $50. Women s Singles. Rounds 1-4. Not available to residents of SA. This promotion is a D selection on all even money players or longer. Favourites are E selections. Verdict: D-E selection Bluebet Multi Refund Money Back 3 out of 4. Max $50. Min Leg Price $1.20. Min Final Price $4. Singles Matches. One Refund Per Day. Multi Day Decided by Day of Last Leg. Not available to residents of NSW or SA. I m not sure if Bluebet have enough conditions on their multi promo here but it s good value nonetheless. Play the Top 3 Favourites (min. $1.20 per leg) on your first 3 selections. Then it makes

2 no difference who you play on your 4 th selection, so play the next shortest player who makes a $4 multi. In general, on all the multi promotions, we want to play multis that finish the day we bet them, otherwise you may/won t be eligible for a refund that day. Bookies often list matches continuously, one day after the other, so be on the lookout for that. I ll list the start time on all multis each day as 11 am. Verdict: A selection. Crownbet Multi Special Bonus Bet 3 out of 4. Max $50. Min Leg Price $1.10. Min Final Price $1.50. Singles Matches. Unlimited Multis. Multis Must Contain Unique Legs. Not available to residents of NSW or SA. This is the standard multi offer from Crownbet with the exception that you can play an unlimited number of multis per day! The only unusual condition is that you can t play the same player in two different multis every leg must be unique. Unfortunately, Crownbet s (and most corporates ) tennis markets are not that competitive for Head to Head bets, which creates less value on this promotion. That, the fact it s a Bonus Bet, and the $1.10 minimum per leg, makes it difficult to find decent 3 x short 1 x long multis to play. 3 x short 1 x long will be an B selection early in the tournament with the short favs on offer ($1.10 min per leg) but will never make it to an A selection. As the betting becomes tighter and there are less matches to choose from, we ll start to see C selections and worse near the finals. Despite the large number of potential multis on offer per day, we ll be limited by the prices available and will most likely only be able to play 2 multis per day (1 x Men s and 1 x Women s). I would have just played 3 multis per day in any case. Crownbet are good when it comes to letting you play the promos but they re not immune to promo bans. I ll need to post these bets in the mornings when the most markets are available. Verdict: B-D selection Ladbrokes Early Payout Paid As Winner If Leads 2-0 and Loses. No Maximum Stated. Men s Singles. No state restrictions. This is the same promotion as Bet365. See there. Daily Mega Multi

3 Every time I calculate a Ladbrokes Mega Multi they re just offering you the price they should be in a fair market, or worse Cilic, Kyrgios and Nadal to win 3-0 $2.60 is an F selection. Verdict: D-F selection Palmerbet Fed Fill-Up Federer To Win Australian Open $3.50. Max $50. Not available to residents of SA and WA. It s the best price going around but the Ubet promotion is much better value if you want $50 on Federer to win the tournament. Verdict: E selection Aus Open Advantage Bonus Bet Win 1 st Set But Lose. Max $50. Men s Singles. Not available to residents of SA and WA. This promotion never gets above a D selection. Verdict: D selection Sportsbet 2 Sets Up Win Paid As Winner If Leads 2-0 and Loses. No Maximum Stated. Men s Singles. Not available to residents of SA and WA. This is the same promotion as Bet365. See there. Multi Bonus Bet 3 out of 4. Max $50. Min Final Price $2. Week 1. Men s and Women s Singles. One Bet Per Day. Not available to residents of SA and WA. This is the same basic promotion as Crownbet except that it is one multi per day and with the key difference that there is no minimum price per leg on Sportsbet. That makes it easy to make an A selection with 3 x short 1 x long as the best play. Shorter the better on the short selections and longer the better on the long selections. There will be plenty of options. Verdict: A-C selection Ubet

4 Australian Open Winner Money Back Make Semis But Lose. Max $50. Men s and Women s Singles. Not available to residents of NSW. Federer ($2.50) is an A selection on this bet. Nadal ($6) is a C selection. The women are D selections or worse. Verdict: A selection. William Hill Chase The Ace Head to Head Bet. Bonus Points Per Ace Player Serves. Player Can Win or Lose. Min Bet $25. Max 10 Bets Per Day. Singles Matches. Not available to residents of SA. Chase The Ace is back again for another year. I wrote an article on this promotion last year and the same principles apply (read the link for the basic strategy). The unusual aspect of this promotion is that you don t know what your bonus per ace will be until you place your bet. The probabilities this year (according to the terms) are: 10 reward points ($0.25c bonus bet) per ace 18% 20 reward points ($0.50c bonus bet) per ace 59% 40 reward points ($1 bonus bet) per ace 15.7% 100 reward points ($2.50 bonus bet) per ace 6% 200 reward points ($5 bonus bet) per ace 1% 400 reward points ($10 bonus bet) per ace 0.2% 1000 reward points ($25 bonus bet) per ace 0.1% That equates to an expected bonus of $0.74 per ace, which is slightly worse than last year ($0.83 per ace). I ve attached an Excel file called Aces 2017 which you can use as your guide to the best players to play. The following Expected Aces correspond to the following value: 25+ expected aces = A+ selection 11+ expected aces = A selection 8+ expected aces = B selection I would play perhaps 3 bets per day. That would be plenty with William Hill. I ll record bonuses at $0.50c per ace. Verdict: A+-B selection Summary Bet365 Early Payout B-E selection Betting Club The Decider C selection Betting Club Women s Singles D-E selection

5 Bluebet Multi Refund A selection Crownbet Multi Special A-B selection Ladbrokes Daily Mega Multi D-F selection Ladbrokes Early Payout B-E selection Palmerbet Fed Fill-Up E selection Palmerbet Aus Open Advantage D selection Sportsbet 2 Sets Up Win B-E selection Sportsbet Multi A-C selection Ubet Australian Open Winner A selection William Hill Chase The Ace A+-B selection Good luck! Rod