Reducing Manufacturing Risk Manufacturing Readiness Levels

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1 Reducing Manufacturing Risk Manufacturing Readiness Levels Dr. Thomas F. Christian, SES Director Air Force Center for Systems Engineering Air Force Institute of Technology 26 October 2011

2 2 Do You Know Your Risks? In your systems engineering process what knowledge do you have about Manufacturing Maturity? Pre-Concept Material Solution Analysis Technology Readiness Levels A Technology Development Component System B Engineering and Manufacturing Development and Demonstration C Production and Deployment FRP Decision Operations and Support TRL 1 TRL 2 TRL 3 TRL 4 TRL 5 TRL 6 TRL 7 TRL 8 TRL 9 Manufacturing Readiness Levels MRL 1 MRL 2 MRL 3 MRL 4 MRL 5 MRL 6 MRL 7 MRL 8 MRL 9 MRL 10 Systems Engineering Technical Reviews ITR ASR SRR PDR CDR PRR PCA

3 Why use MRLs? Acquisition performance perceived as broken by users, Congress, and GAO Numerous cost and schedule overruns Not adequately addressing manufacturing issues early in the process is one of the key issues Addressing manufacturing earlier in the design/development process is being demanded DoDI Congress (HR 6523 Section 812) Current performance in acquisition must be improved MRLs just one tool to help 3

4 4 MRLs Recognized by Many NDIA Manufacturing Division endorses MRLs DoD ManTech Strategic Plan, March 2009 Thrust 3.1: Effective policies and practices to assess and improve manufacturing readiness DoDI , Dec 2009 Moved manufacturing considerations to the left Exit criteria based upon MRL definitions now required for all phases of acquisition GAO report , April 2010 In-depth assessment of MRL practices Recommends requiring use of MRLs in DoD acquisition Congressional direction, Dec 2010 Requires MRLs on MDAPs MRLs provide a well developed tool to address manufacturing risk earlier in the acquisition process

5 5 National Defense Authorization Act FY11 NDAA: SEC MANAGEMENT OF MANUFACTURING RISK IN MAJOR DEFENSE ACQUISITION PROGRAMS Guidance Required- the Secretary of Defense shall issue comprehensive guidance on the management of manufacturing risk in major defense acquisition programs The guidance issued under subsection (a) shall, at a minimum (1) require the use of manufacturing readiness levels as a basis for measuring, assessing, reporting, and communicating manufacturing readiness (2) provide guidance on the definition of manufacturing readiness levels and how manufacturing readiness levels should be used to assess manufacturing risk and readiness (3) specify manufacturing readiness levels that should be achieved at key milestones and decision points for major defense acquisition programs (4) identify tools and models that may be used to assess, manage, and reduce risks that are identified in the course of manufacturing readiness assessments (5) require appropriate consideration of the manufacturing readiness and manufacturing readiness processes of potential contractors and subcontractors as a part of the source selection process

6 6 MRL Process Defined in a Deskbook Process well-defined MRL Deskbook has 6 chapters: 1. Introduction 2. Manufacturing Readiness Levels 3. MRLs and the Acquisition Management System 4. The Process for Conducting Assessments of Manufacturing Readiness 5. Manufacturing Maturation Plans and Risk Management 6. Applying MRLs in Contract Language

7 7 MRL Process Defined (continued) MRLs designed to identify and manage manufacturing risk. The key is the MRL Matrix the maturity levels are defined by expected criteria at each step along the development/design process. Define current level of manufacturing maturity Identify maturity shortfalls and associated costs and risks Provide the basis for manufacturing maturation and risk management

8 MRL Criteria the Threads Technology and the Industrial Base: Do you have the capability and capacity to produce? Design: Is the design stable, mature and producible? Cost and Funding: Is the cost realistic, affordable and is the funding in place for the system and for investments in maturing technologies and processes? Materials: Are the materials available at all levels of the supply chain? Process Capability and Control: Are your manufacturing processes proven, stable, capable and in control? Quality Management: Is your QA program in place and effective throughout the supply chain? Manufacturing Workforce: Is your manufacturing workforce trained and certified? Facilities: Are your facilities in place, proven and capable throughout the supply chain? Manufacturing Management: Is your manufacturing planning complete and ready for production? T 8

9 MRL Criteria the Matrix The MRL Matrix is an expansion of the Definitions and Descriptions Includes nine major threads and twenty sub-threads Evaluation criteria for each thread Plotted against every acquisition phase and milestone decision point Acquisition Phase MSA Tech. Dev. Engr & Mfg Dev. LRIP FRP Thread Sub-Thread MRL 4 MRL 5 MRL 6 MRL 7 MRL 8 MRL 9 MRL 10 Technology & the Industrial Base Technology Maturity Transition to Production Mfg. Tech Development Design Cost & Funding Producibility Program Design Maturity Production Cost ManTech Investments Availability Materials Supply Chain 9

10 MRL Criteria the Matrix 10

11 MRL Guidance MRLs are an information tool for managers and engineers to identify, manage and mitigate manufacturing risk throughout the systems engineering process A common language used to assess manufacturing maturity Provide insight, not oversight MRLs are not pass/fail they identify risks! MRL 7 might not be good MRL 3 might not be bad 11

12 12 MRL Benefits Well-documented roadmap to achieve manufacturing maturity effectively and efficiently Developed by Industry and Government manufacturing and systems engineering SMEs A tool that provides/requires fact-based information on a program s manufacturing maturity Essential for risk management A forcing function to get manufacturing considerations addressed earlier in the design & development process Provides process for managing & communicating manufacturing maturity across the supply chain and customer base Excellent tool to identify systemic manufacturing problems across programs/contractors/industrial base

13 13 Implementation Status MRL Deskbook at Training available AFIT course (SYS 213) Some DAU courses Is a Standard Operating Procedure at many prime contractors Raytheon, Honeywell, GE, Lockheed, etc DoD implementation mixed OSD: DAG Chapter 4 provides manufacturing assessment criteria Air Force: Firm guidance to use MRLs at SAF, AFMC, AFRL, ASC, and AAC Army: Firm guidance on ManTech programs and significant use in acquisition Navy: Used on some acquisition programs (NAVAIR is implementing MRLs) MDA: Mixed use of EMRLs and MRLs Other Government agencies that have used or are using MRLs DCMA, DOE, DOC, NASA, DHS

14 MRLs Integrated MRLs have been integrated into the Acquisition process and the Systems Engineering process MRL criteria has been incorporated into DAG language for Design Reviews Language consistent with DoDI requirements MRL criteria are used in Program Support Reviews (PSRs) Materiel Solution Analysis Technology Development Engineering & Manufacturing Development Production & Deployment A B C MRL 1 MRL 2 MRL 3 MRL 4 MRL 5 MRL 6 MRL 7 MRL 8 MRL 9 MRL 10 Basic Mfg Implications Identified Mfg Concepts Identified Mfg Proof of Concept Developed Manufacturing Processes In Lab Environment Components In Production Relevant Environment System or Subsystem In Production Relevant Environment System or Subsystem In Production Representative Environment Pilot Line Demonstrated Ready for LRIP LRIP Demonstrated Ready for FRP FRP Demonstrated Lean Production Practices in place 14

15 15 How We Got Here A Timeline DDR&E socializes MRLs with Defense, Industry and Academia MRLs Version 3.0 and MRA process developed DOD includes MRL language Congressional direction for MRLs in NDAA section Army (ASAALT) establishes Senior Panel to formulate MRLs DUSD (AS&C) request JDMTP to refine and institutionalize MRLs 2 nd and 3 rd MRL Workshops final MRLs version 7.0 GAO report recommending MRLs is published An overnight success 11 years in the making!

16 16 Summary MRLs developed by SMEs from Industry, Government and Academia continuously refined and improved by Numerous joint workshops and pilot studies Process well defined MRL Deskbook ( Recognized process by manufacturing and systems engineering SMEs to reduce risk Industry, Services, GAO, Congress & other Government agencies Integrated into Acquisition and Systems Engineering Process MRLs are a tool that can reduce manufacturing risk!

17 Contact Information Name: Dr. Thomas F. Christian, SES Phone Number: ext Company Name: Air Force Center for Systems Engineering, Air Force Institute of Technology

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