Kuniko URASHIMA, Ph.D. National Institute of Science and Technology Policy (NISTEP) Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology(MEXT) Japan
Today s Topics 1. Introduction New Growth Strategy Green Innovation 2. Publications for Low Carbon Society Publications by National Institute of Environmental Studies International collaboration 3. Capability of Local Regions for Green Innovation Purpose of this investigation Design of Regional Workshop Results of Workshop Integrated workshop Conclusion and suggestion
New Growth Strategy Strong Economy Robust Public Finances Strong Social Security System Source : Cabinet office
Source : Cabinet office
JAPAN Low Carbon Society Project 2050 by National Institute of Environmental Studies Domestic International
Example of prediction method for Low Carbon Society http://2050.nies.go.jp/project_j.html
As for LCS visions prepared two different type Vision A Vivid, Technology-driven Urban/Personal Technology breakthrough Centralized production /recycle Comfortable and Convenient 2%/yr GDP per capita growth Vision B Slow, Natural-oriented Decentralized/Community Self-sufficient Produce locally, ll consume locallyll Social and Cultural Values 1%/yr GDP per capita growth by Akemi Imagawa Source: http://2050.nies.go.jp/report/file/lcs_japan/2050_lcs_scenarios_actions_english_080715.pdf
The 9th Science and Technology Foresight - Contribution of Science and Technology to Future Society - Three reports The 9th Delphi Survey NISTEP REPORT No.140 A New type of delphi survey to find solutions by exclusion of existing concept of S&T fields by interdisciplinary discussions Committee members 25+140 Response 3000 Future Scenarios Opened up by S & T NISTEP REPORT No.141 Three different approaches on describing and imaging better life in future and showing frames of S&Ts to realize it Committee members 54 Capability of Local Regions for Green Innovation NISTEP REPORT No.142 Discussion of desirable sustainable society development and relating of S&Ts for each local region Workshop attendee 129+27 8
The purpose p of this investigation The image of the future assumed to be an ideal in the region is examined for the low carbon society construction. It is examined what htwho what htto do. The measure that leads to the extraction and the policy recommendation of the problem with high priority is examined. Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Review and analysis of previous Workshop in 8 region Integrated workshop In Tokyo work Atil Articles, report, discussion paper, etc Local government, Academic, Industrial, NPO, Citizens Representative of local workshop and specialist of S&T Finalizing discussion 9
Location of Regional Workshop Our concern is ageing society unemployed of young generation less number of children health care climate change etc. Nuclear energy Shinkansen Renewable energy Hot spa Discussion 2010 ~ 2050 Desirable society Priority service and business contribution of S&T etc. Agriculture sightseeing g Industrial S&T area 8 locations, attendee Total 129 (15-20 each) 10
Design of Regional Workshop 8 location at North to South of Japan 15-20 people each workshop, 3-4 group (4-5 each) = total 129 Local government, Academic, Industrial, NPO, Citizens, etc Discussion 1 Proposal of desirable assumes ideal of future. 2 Summarizing of each opinion and making point. (KJ methods) 3 Priority level credit by AHP. KJ methods: AHP: Analytic Hierarchy Process 4 drawing of future society. 2010 to 2050 Desirable society Priority service and business contribution of S&T etc. 5 Presentation of results of each group 6 Discussion. Integrated Workshop at Tokyo 11
Example of Workshop results in Kuzumaki Results of group discussions (ordering of priority; [AHP scores]) Group A Group B Group C Group D Efficient use of energy Environment in general Value creation that Housing and regions in 1 money cannot buy harmony with nature in [26.0] [21.0] [12.0] Kazumaki [21.0] 2 Realization of high High-profit industry Availability of houses value-added based on the locally Affluent living in the elderly people can live agricultural l products available resources province [12.0] in safely [12.2] [24.0] [17.0] 3 Self-sufficiency ratio of Availability of means of locally available Utilization of Charming town that transportation elderly renewable energy to resources available in attracts people [14.1] people can use other energy is much Kazumaki [2.4] comfortably [7.5] larger than 100% [12.6] 4 5 Improved job opportunities [5.5] Medical care, community renovation, education [13.0] Learn ecology within Optical fiber network nature [3.8] [12.3] Making money (jobs) [2.4] Japan s top agricultural and welfare university [4.7] Increasing job opportunities in the welfare sector [2.1]
Example of Workshop results in Kuzumaki Projected ideal social model to be realized in 2050 Community renovation: turning deficiencies into strengths Energy sources from the blessings of nature (solar energy, wind, river, forest, livestock, energy-conservation, systems). Education, welfare, a place for people to gather (educational collaboration, place for gaining experience, ICT, medical care, community, housing, jobs, highh value-added d agricultural l products, settlement-type nature school). Infrastructure and value creation (public transport infrastructure, information infrastructure, new affluence, safety and security in the Kazumaki brand)
Results of Workshop 2010 to 2050 Desirable society Priority service and business contribution of S&T etc. 8 locations, attendee Total 129 (15-20 each) Prefecture, town/city, (population) catchphrase 1-AOMORI Shichinohe (18,000) People are gathered peacefully and harmonizing with nature 2- IWATE Kuzumaki (8,000) "Nothing" is strong point for development of our town 3-YAMAGATA Kaminoyama (34,000) We are No.1 of healthy and long life in Japan 4-IBARAKI Tsukuba (210,000) Research city where international sensibility was made use of to low carbon social type lifestyle 5-AICHI Nagoya (2,258,000) Society where harmonizing with convenient environment and cozy life style 6-FUKUI Tsuruga (68,000) Town that overflows with rich amount of power generation energetically 7-MIYAZAKI (1,132,000) 132 It is an independence symbiosis doing, and a society in each other that can richly spend it 8-OKINAWA (1,380,000) Happy society that is given to the rich sun and vast sea area and provided in new energy 14
Integrated workshop in Tokyo 1 Representative of each region get together 2 Presentation of results 3 An advantage is pointed out from other regions. 4 discussion and get comment from S&T specialist 5 Consider and making idea how to realize between future society and S&T
Possibility of new service and business evaluated by other region Desirable future Energy usage Local model and infrastructure Health New business LCA, ICT, transportation, health, Spa, intelligent farm, compact city, sightseeing, sports, ICT, QOL, agricultural Keywords agriculture, agriculture, life style, etc experience, transportation, family, local sustainable health, food industry, culture, life hub of education, etc style, etc etc Shichinohe Kuzumaki Kaminoyama Tsukuba Nagoya Tsuruga Miyazaki Okinawa Industry and service proposed as "Appearance of living in region" that priority is high in regional WS Industry and service that t specialist of science and technology evaluated, "There is a possibility of new development (industry etc.)". 16
Conclusion and suggestion In the S&T to contribute to a Green innovation, not only an up-to-date S&T but also the combination of the ready-made technologies becomes the object. Not only the side of the research and development of the S&T but also it is necessary to consider it from a social, economical aspect. And, the comprehensive perspective is necessary as a green innovation for the social shaping with a low negative environmental impact. It is necessary to have the opportunity of the consensus building including the citizens, and dthe regional model who adjusts to the environment in the region and to maintain the social infrastructure. It is necessary to continue a public investment in the future. It is necessary to be going to examine not only the region in the vicinity but also the cooperation between regions far away like Tohoku and Kyushu, etc. for instance positively in the future. It is a problem that should be considered enough in the social infrastructure making for aging society advancing the construction of the low carbon society, too. 17