ACCELERATING THE U.S. MANUFACTURING RENAISSANCE WITH PEOPLE AND ROBOTS. TOGETHER. ROBOTICS AND AUTOMATION K2GRAY 10/5/2018 1 Stephen Catt, Ed.D. 10/5/2018 1
ARM FORMATION Established: Jan 13, 2017 by Carnegie Mellon University (now separate entity) Location: Pittsburgh, PA 10/5/2018 2
A DIVERSE AND INFLUENTIAL MEMBERSHIP 10/5/2018 3
Lightweight Metals Detroit, MI Advanced Robotics Pittsburgh, PA Integrated Photonics Rochester, NY Recycling Materials Rochester, NY Tissue Biofabrication, Manchester, NH Fibers and Textiles, Cambridge MA Flexible Hybrid Electronics San Jose, CA Modular Chemical Process Intensification New York, NY Clean Energy Smart Manufacturing Los Angeles, CA Bio-Pharma Manufacturing Newark, DE Green states have major participants in Manufacturing USA Institutes Digital Manufacturing & Design Chicago, IL Fiber-Reinforced Polymer Composites Knoxville, TN Additive Manufacturing Youngstown, OH Wide Bandgap Semiconductors Raleigh, NC 10/5/2018 4
MANUFACTURING USA MISSION, VISION AND GOALS 10/5/2018 5 5
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ARM WILL BRIDGE GAPS AND EMPOWER WORKERS M I S S I O N 1 Assert US leadership in advanced robotics manufacturing 2 Lower the technical, operational, and economic barriers for companies to adopt robotics technologies 3 Empower American workers to be costcompetitive with workers abroad 4 Aid in creating and sustaining valuable manufacturing jobs 10/5/2018 7
PURSUING MISSION ON THREE FRONTS Technology development Education & Workforce (EWD) development Building the right ecosystem 10/5/2018 8
BUILDING THE RIGHT ECOSYSTEM VIA MEMBER ENGAGEMENT 10/5/2018 9
DRIVING IMPACT ACROSS MULTIPLE SECTORS Aerospace Automotive Composites Electronics Food & beverage Logistics Pharmaceuticals Textiles & Apparel 10/5/2018 10
THREATS TO US INDUSTRY BASE National security exposure Manufacturing process and expertise for key products (sensors, electronics, clothing, etc.) moving primarily outside of the United States Limited use of robotics in manufacturing Lack of understanding and experience in adopting innovation Lack of common, safe and easy-to-implement robotics software and hardware Forces expensive customizations Lack of skilled workers Mismatch between current skill sets and current job openings with wide-spread trade education for robotics jobs Hard to integrate, maintain and operate advancing technologies Reduced global manufacturing dominance US losing competitive edge in manufacturing as new technologies are discovered 10/5/2018 11 11
SINCE 1990, US MANUFACTURING GROWING AT <50% THE RATE OF REST OF WORLD Manufacturing contribution to GDP 1 ($B) 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 Rest of World (excl. US) +4.1% US growing at 48% the rate of rest of world 2,000 United States +2.0% 0 1990 2015 1. Manufacturing contribution to GDP is total value add, defined as total manufacturing revenue minus all direct and indirect costs and components. 10/5/2018 12 Source: Oxford Economics, 2017
BUSINESS CASE FOR ROBOTICS CONTINUES TO IMPROVE 10/5/2018 13
ROBOTICS CAN OFFER 4 KEY BENEFITS Benefits align with ARM's operational goals 10/5/2018 14
ARM EDUCATION AND WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT FOCUS 10/5/2018 15
PERFECT STORM FOR US MANUFACTURING Baby boomers retiring at 10,000 a day American youth STEM education is inadequate for the today s shop floor Opioid addiction and other factors diminish an effective pool of workers Industry Week, June 11, 2018 Approximately 71% of the 34 million 17-to-24-year-olds in the U.S. would not qualify for military service because of reasons related to health, physical appearance and educational background, according to the Pentagon. 10/5/2018 16
YES, ROBOTS ARE TAKING OUR JOBS AND REPLACING THEM WITH CAREERS Presentation Title 10/5/2018 17
FEAR OF TECH STEALING JOBS HAS BEEN CONSTANT FOR ~500 YEARS "I have too much regard for the poor women to forward an invention [an automated knitting machine] which, by depriving them of employment, would reduce them to starvation." Queen Elizabeth I 1930 1930 "The automatic machine is the precise equivalent of slave labor. Any labor which competes with slave labor must accept the economic conditions of slave labor." Norbert Wiener, MIT 1965 1965 "There will be fewer and fewer jobs that a robot cannot do better [than a human]. These are simply things that I think probably will happen. Elon Musk Late 16 th century 1949 1949 017 2017 We are being afflicted with a new disease of which some readers may not yet have heard the name technological unemployment. John Maynard Keynes As machines continue to invade society, it is human labor itself that is gradually rendered redundant." Robert Heilbronner, New School 10/5/2018 18
MAJOR CHALLENGES Six major challenges ARM can work to address to prepare US workforce for the future of advanced manufacturing Regional skill gaps in manufacturing skills U.S. education insufficient for advanced mfg. careers 6 1 2 Negative perceptions of robotics and manufacturing ARM can use targeted actions, RRIC collaborations, or project calls to address each category Little coordination between initiatives in advanced mfg. 5 4 3 Manufacturing workforce not prepared for continual re-skilling SMEs have limited resources to prepare talent 10/5/2018 19
FOCUS TODAY.. 1 Regaining manufacturing prowess in the United States requires workers to learn new skills, update knowledge, and obtain new competencies all the time while passing along important task and organizational knowledge. 6 5 4 2 3 The teacher will appear when the student is ready. Manufacturing workforce not prepared for continual re-skilling 10/5/2018 20
? Why do we have to continuously learn and adapt? Hint: May you live in interesting times Chinese Blessing and Curse 10/5/2018 21
Information Overload Egyptian Roman Dark Ages Renaissance Technological Revolution Industrial Revolution Information Age Computer Age 10/5/2018 22
Information Overload Average Mortality Rate at 35 years 45 years 80 years Human Life Spans 10/5/2018 23
Information Overload Egyptian Dark Ages Roman Renaissance Technological Revolution Industrial Revolution Computer Age Information Age Average Mortality Rate at 35 years Average Mortality Rate at 45 years Average Mortality Rate at 80 years Human Life Spans 10/5/2018 24
CHANGE AND THE FUTURE Change is the process by which the future invades our lives FUTURE SHOCK, Alvin Toffler, 1970 10/5/2018 25
EXPECT INDUSTRY 4.0 TO IMPACT MANUFACTURING JOBS Industry 4.0 technologies drive link between workers, equipment, software, and machines......increasing the need for certain jobs and creating new jobs altogether IT solutions architects Robot coordinators Industrial data scientists Sales and marketing agents Digitally assisted field service engineers 10/5/2018 26
DRIVING GROWTH AND DIRECTLY CREATING 900K NEW INDUSTRY 4.0 JOBS BY 2025 Estimated # jobs directly created by Industry 4.0 through 2025 Jobs (K) 1,000 146 124 87 70 29 900 500 165 282 0 Refers only to functional roles directly related to managing robotics Function Example job titles IT Data Scientist IT Security Expert Sales Sales Supervisor Marketing and Comm. R&D UI/UX/HC Designer R&D Engineer Admin Finance and Controlling General Management Robotics Robot Coordinator Mechatronics Engineer Logistics Supply Planner Logistics Worker Production Production Supervisor Quality Supervisor New Industry 4.0 jobs by 2025 Jobs along all functions will be affected by Advanced Robotics Source: BLS; ONET skills data 10/5/2018 27
1:2:7 RATIO OF TECHNOLOGY EMPLOYMENT 1: Masters Degree or above 2: Bachelors Degree 7: Certificate, Credential, or Associate Degree Other Ways to Win (2006) 10/5/2018 28
SKILLS REQUIRED FOR ROBOTICS MANUFACTURING General skills Social skills E.g., Coordination, persuasion, teamwork, communication, engagement Resource management skills E.g., personnel management, time management, work ethic, priority development, focus, courage to ask questions Technical skills Technical skills E.g., troubleshooting, quality control analysis, repairing Adaptive skills Basic skills facilitate learning E.g., critical thinking, mathematics Complex problem solving skills Researching Web-based data Use of apps Subject Matter Experts Systems skills E.g., judgment, decision making Basic skills Increasing complexity Complex skills 10/5/2018 29 Source: ONET Skills Data definitions, BCG analysis
HELPING TO BRIDGE WORKFORCE TRAINING INNOVATION GAP Investment Basic Learning research Proof of concept Develop Curriculum/ Learning Tool Experiment in small test groups Capability to expand/scale Prove sustainable and adaptable Government and universities INNOVATION GAP Private Sector 10/5/2018 30
ACCELERATING THE MANUFACTURING RENAISSANCE WITH PEOPLE & ROBOTS. TOGETHER. Working to instill an enthusiasm for active, lifelong learning. Showing that robots are collaborative and can help human workers and attain more rewarding, in-demand, safer manufacturing careers. Creating a robust workforce pipeline that keeps students engaged in STEM and promotes careers in manufacturing. 10/5/2018 31
Advanced Robotics for Manufacturing Arminstitute.org (412) 681-3960 stephen.catt@arminsitute.org 10/5/2018 32