AEROSPACE TECHNOLOGY CONGRESS 2016 Exploration of Future Combat Air System () in a 2040 Perspective Stefan Andersson, Program Manager Future Combat Air System Saab Aeronautics This document and the information contained herein is the property of Saab AB and must not be used, disclosed or altered without Saab AB prior written consent.
2 HISTORY OF COMBAT AIR SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT Innovative solutions Courage to use new technologies Balanced design adapted to Customer needs and conditions Continuous and evolutionary development Close collaboration between industry and the Armed Forces 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
3 SAAB PROGRAM A Saab initiative for defining capabilities and products for Sweden and Export in three time perspectives: 2025, 2035 and 2045 Ongoing program since January 2014 Iterative and evolutionary approach In line with the Swedish parliamentary investigation, Air Defense 2040 (2014) Provide options for: Gripen upgrades New combat air system products Enhancements and/or new products in other Business Areas Focus on System-of-System (SoS) capabilities
4 SCOPE Systems of systems, SoS, solutions comprising: Aircraft systems, s.c. Components Operation Support Systems and Training solutions Logistics and operation support SoS Defence System-of- System Cooperating SoS Enabling systems, such as Development, V&V and Manufacturing systems Integration with the complete Defence System-of- Systems Air, Land and Naval forces incl. surveillance systems Air, Land and Naval command and control systems (C2) Space and cyber systems/forces Air traffic control (ATM) Component Component Component
5 SAAB PROGRAM SET UP Technology Opportunities and Threats WBS 2.0 Operational Needs and Concept Validation Concept Models: Characteristics and Capabilities Operational Needs Operational Scenarios Concept of Operation Validation Environment Concept Evaluation and Validation Technology Trends TRL1-TRL6 R&T Technology Demos Sub-system Demos Operational Context and Relevance WBS 3.0 Technology Exploration and Development WBS 1.0 Industrial Capab. Business Concept Collaboration Domestic and International Feedback Sub-system Concepts TRL>4 WBS 4.0 Concept Development Needs Scenarios Conops Validation results SoS Concepts Component Concepts Functional Concepts Cost prediction (LCC) Concept Assessment Methods and Tools
6 OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS PROCESS CUSTOMER THREATS COMPETITORS NEEDS SCENARIOS CPS SYSTEM DESIGN CONOPS TECHNICAL STUDIES OCD TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
7 FORESEEN OPERATIONAL NEEDS Key Capabilities Seamless collaboration across all domains (SoS) Secure Information and robust networking Covert and silent - if needed Adaptable and resilient Superior situational awareness for the future battlefield Complex, cluttered, deceptive, high tempo Wider arena and operational depth Targeted attacks against civil infrastructure High velocity / long range / energy weapons
8 SCENARIOS AND MISSIONS Baltic Sea - East/South Perspective Norwegian Sea - North/West Perspective Sub-Sahara - International op Other incl. Space & Cyber Export Scenarios Maintaining Swedish territorial integrity Wide area Sea and Air surveillance Escort of supplies for humanitarian relief Protection of Swedish high value assets Hitec Conflict Surveillance of enemy troop activities Intercept fighters and attack helicopters Protection of EU summit in Copenhagen Trading routs E.g. Shipping Intercept and destroy swarm of VLO CM Destruction of armoured vehicles and air defense Cyber Espionage to copy / counter systems Resource disputes Intercept and destroy 6th gen MCAV/UCAV Urban CAS Network decapitation Cyber Attach to disturb / deny operation Border control Deny and destroy landing party from sea Destruction of caved storage facilities Counter space Systems Escort a landing party from sea Space Operations Attack on enemy airbase defended by IADS Peace Time Operations Covert, time sensitive deep strike
9 CONCEPT VALIDATION - CAMPAIGN ANALYSIS Purpose Investigate impact on Support Activities and Life-Cycle Cost (LCC) Exercise method and tools Learn about life-cycle aspects of Method Based on SoS concepts and CONOPS Simulations of a SoS and its Support System during a campaign Provide input (activities and consumables) to LCC calculations
10 EXPLORING AND DEVELOPING TECHNOLOGIES System Test, Launch & Mission Operations System/ Subsystem Development Technology Demonstration TRL 9 TRL 8 TRL 7 TRL 6 Short and Long Term Thinking Activities at all TRL s at the same time Part of forecasting and R&T investment decisions Use of Demonstrators Sustain Systems Integration Capability Bridge the gap between Research and Product Development Technology Development TRL 5 Build Confidence and Trust TRL 4 Research to Prove Feasibility TRL 3 Basic/Applied Research TRL 2 TRL 1 Dt Time
11 TECHNOLOGY TRENDS - OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS SEP & Maneuverability Lightweight Fighters Multirole Stand-Off strike Availability & Affordability Stealth Network Enabled TVC - Thrust Vectoring Extended AI Autonomous M2M, H2M Collaboration UCAV Plasma flow control Multifunction Sensors and EW Variable Cycle Engines Multi-spectrum Morphing geometry Electronic Attack Quantum communication Smaller weapons Cyber Threats tailored for IWB Quantum computing Enhanced sensors & datafusion Civil / Dual technology ISR UAS VLO UAS Stealth detection (Low freq & EO) Functional (Nano) materials Additive Manufacturing - Structure Energy weapons (HPM, Laser) Room Temp. Superconductors.. Avionics - Architectures, computers, databuses, software several new generations in shorter cycles..
12 CONCEPT DEVELOPMENT System of system (SoS) perspective Capabilities are based on operational needs and doctrines at a global level Capabilities are achieved by components and their interaction Need for common architectural framework SoS capabilities SoS services SoS components and interfaces SoS evaluation criteria (MOP, MOE) SoS is designed w.r.t the total SoS
13 COMPONENTS - AIRCRAFT CONCEPTS Manned / optional unmanned aircraft systems Gripen E/F, M etc Small Multirole Fighter Medium Multirole Fighter Medium VLO Multirole Fighter Unmanned aircraft systems Extra Small Unmanned Fighter MALE (ISR/AEW UAV) ISR UCAV XLarge VLO UCAV VLO UCAV Gripen New Fighter (Manned/unmanned) Unmanned Combat / ISR Air System Expendable UAV (ADDER/MALD) Example of configurations to evaluate and understand future options. Expendable UAVs
14 COMBINING COMPONENTS INTO SoS CONCEPTS Sustain Size Survive Sense Autonomy / Decision Communication Sense Self defense Signature Maneuverability Speed Flight Level Range Endurance Payload Support Robustness Flexibility SoS Requirements Component SoS Component Global System-of- System Cooperating SoS Component
15 FUNCTIONAL CONCEPTS - ACROSS COMPONENTS Collaborative behavior Manned systems Manned and unmanned systems Unmanned system Use of AI Decision support Autonomous systems Cognitive sensors, radios etc EW and Multi-function sensors Covert and robust communication Navigation and time Weapons, Precision Engagement Training
16 NEXT STEP I - FASTER Concept Design Space Exploration Outer Loop Evaluation Concept Demo Needs Cardinal Point Specification Concept Candidate Operational Concept Description Scenarios Missions, Tasks, Threats Systems Technologies SoS (CD) Concept Description Inner Loop Automated Optimizing Visual Doctrines Tactics CONOPS (OA) Concept of Operation
17 NEXT STEP II - DEMOS NEEDS CONCEPTS TECHNOLOGY EXPLORATION Operational Needs and Concept Validation Concept Development DEMOs (TRL 4-7) R&T - Technology Development (TRL 1-4) New Capabilities, phase 1, phase 2 Demos Features Technologies Indus. capability PRODUCTS Gripen E/F Unmanned / Manned CAS Complementary Air Systems (e.g. MALE, AEW) Other systems (e.g. Weapons, C4I, Decoys) 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
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