Dr. Michael Raska Research Fellow Ponder the Improbable

Similar documents
UNCLASSIFIED. UNCLASSIFIED R-1 Line Item #13 Page 1 of 11

TOW is the most widely distributed anti-tank guided missile in the world with over 500,000 built and in service in the U.S. and 36 other countries.

Lead Screws for Guided Munitions

Ch 26-2 Atomic Anxiety

MODELING SIGNAL LATENCY EFFECTS USING ARENA

PRECISE GUIDED AIRCRAFT BOMBS

Technology used in the military. By: Mike Marino

Purpose. Provide industry partners insight into the near term Air Armament Center planned investments AAC AFRL. Industry

Airplane. Estimated Casualty Statistics for the Battle of Tannenberg Allied Powers: 267,000 Central Powers: 80,000

Technology Brief: Scene Matching Area Correlation Technology using Millimeter Wave (MMW) Image

FIRE FROM THE SKIES. Leonard R. Heinz

COMPANY RESTRICTED NOT EXPORT CONTROLLED NOT CLASSIFIED Your Name Document number Issue X FIGHTING THE BATTLE. Thomas Kloos, Björn Bengtsson

Airplane. Estimated Casualty Statistics for the Battle of Tannenberg Allied Powers: 267,000 Central Powers: 80,000. Artillery

Introduction You are the commander of an Israeli Air Force squadron.

Size. are in the same square, all ranges are treated as close range. This will be covered more carefully in the next

59TH ANNUAL FUZE CONFERENCE MAY 3-5, 2016 CHARLESTON, SC Fuzing Challenges for Guided Ammunition

Military Technology in the World Wars

Larsson's A&A50 House Rules

U.S. vs. British Viewpoints. Background Data:

HORNET LEADER II 12/04/05 By Dan Verssen

C3i Magazine Nr.1 (1992) A Hornet Leader TDA Jeff Petraska

Components Locked-On contains the following components:

AXIS AND ALLIES 1914 OPTIONAL RULE: RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT

- A Weapon of Electrical Mass Destruction. by Carlo Kopp Department of Computer Science Monash University, Australia (C) 1996 Carlo Kopp

Legends of War: Patton Manual

Huge Power Containers to Drive the Future Railgun at Sea

MUSIC. MUlti Spectral Infrared Countermeasure. Andrew Lovett M.Sc, MBA Senior Director Lasers and EOCM Division

The Air Leader Series - Past, Present, and Future

The C2/C4ISR Systems Market

Guided Projectiles Theory of Operation Chris Geswender - Raytheon

DoD Research and Engineering Enterprise

DoD Research and Engineering Enterprise

Introduction. You are the commander of a United States Navy or Marine Corps state-of-the-art strike fighter squadron.

Version CREDITS Final Arrangement: Medron Pryde Contributors: Members of the HeavyMetal forums

RAID OVER MOSCOW INSTRUCTIONS

Jane's Defence Weekly. [Content preview Subscribe to IHS Jane s Defence Weekly for full article] ARMing up

Fleet Engagement. Mission Objective. Winning. Mission Special Rules. Set Up. Game Length

FUTURE WAR WAR OF THE ROBOTS?

Axis & Allies Europe FAQ

RDT&E BUDGET ITEM JUSTIFICATION SHEET (R-2 Exhibit) February 2002

Chapter 2 Threat FM 20-3

Capability in Complexity SHOAL-REPORT J590

PLEASE JOIN US! Abstracts & Outlines Due: 2 April 2018

Getting Started with Panzer Campaigns: Budapest 45

Advanced Technologies Group programs aim to improve security

SURVIVABILITY CONCERNS

AFB OH Z XU ET AL 24 FEB 83 UAI FE FTD-ID(RS) T-i /2/2 N

SIMULATOR FOR OPERATOR OF ANTITANK GUIDED MISSILE «KORNET-E»

Air Force Fuze Technology Overview

The Campaign Sheets detail all the information you need to play historical Dogfights!

HALS-H1 Ground Surveillance & Targeting Helicopter

High Power Microwaves

New Generation Naval Fuze FREMEN Efficiency against New Threats

French-German Defence Research Institute: Lessons learned for EU defence research

Rules: Axis and Allies 1942

Artificial Intelligence: Implications for Autonomous Weapons. Stuart Russell University of California, Berkeley

P U R D U E U N I V E R S I T Y. POL 237: MODERN WEAPONS AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Spring 2015

Concordia University Department of Computer Science and Software Engineering. SOEN Software Process Fall Section H

Advanced Fusion Avionics Suite

Preventing harm from the use of explosive weapons in populated areas

Frontier/Modern Wargames Rules

International Humanitarian Law and New Weapon Technologies

Fleet Engagement. Mission Objective. Winning. Mission Special Rules. Set Up. Game Length

THE EFFECT OF AIRCRAFT BIASES ON THE DELIVERY OF AN ENHANCED LASER-GUIDED WEAPON

RESERVES RESERVES CONTENTS TAKING OBJECTIVES WHICH MISSION? WHEN DO YOU WIN PICK A MISSION RANDOM MISSION RANDOM MISSIONS

THALES NDIA Briefing. Hard Target Reliability for MAFIS L.J.Turner CEng MIMechE. Ordnance Fuzing Group Manager. Thales Missile Electronics

RDT&E BUDGET ITEM JUSTIFICATION SHEET (R-2 Exhibit)

The Emperor Titan is the largest type of Imperial Titan, consisting of two classes: the Imperator and Warmonger.

APPLICATIONS OF GPS. The Global Positioning System, while originally a military project, is considered a

CREDITS. Game Design Harry Pratt. Sample file

Leveraging Digital RF Memory Electronic Jammers for Modern Deceptive Electronic Attack Systems

International Armaments Technology Symposium & Exhibition NDIA

Blackout Wars. Dr. Peter Vincent Pry EMP Task Force on National and Homeland Security EMPtaskforcenhs.com

A Nugget's Guide to HUD-Symbology

Axis & Allies Pacific FAQ

13,475 credits Armor Class 4 [15]

Supporting the Warfighter from Space

An Axis & Allies variant

EW Self Protection Systems.

Very Affordable Precision Projectile System and Flight Experiments

Lights in the Sky: War among the stars

The Swedish Armed Forces Sensor Study

Set-Up Perform these 4 steps to prepare for play:

UNCLASSIFIED R-1 ITEM NOMENCLATURE FY 2013 OCO

RANDOM MISSION CONTENTS TAKING OBJECTIVES WHICH MISSION? WHEN DO YOU WIN THERE ARE NO DRAWS PICK A MISSION RANDOM MISSIONS

AIRBORNE RADAR 1944 / 1945 HEAVY CONVERSION UNITS 1661 & 1668 RAF WINTHORPE RAF BOTTESFORD 5 GROUP BOMBER COMMAND

Portable Wargame. The. Rules. For use with a battlefield marked with a grid of hexes. Late 19 th Century Version. By Bob Cordery

Explosive Ordnance Disposal/ Low-Intensity Conflict. Improvised Explosive Device Defeat

MDTS 5734 : Guidance Lecture 3 : Homing Guidance. Gerard Leng, MDTS, NUS

Nuclear Weapons. Dr. Steinar Høibråten Chief Scientist. Norwegian Defence Research Establishment. NKS NordThreat Asker, 31 Oct.

A NEW SIMULATION FRAMEWORK OF OPERATIONAL EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS FOR UNMANNED GROUND VEHICLE

Advanced Weapons Effects Test Capability (AWETC)

Getting Started with Modern Campaigns: Danube Front 85

Air Force Fuze Science and Technology

AIR FORCE INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY

Buried Target Fuze. To: 49 th Annual Fuze Conference By: Dale Spencer, Kaman Contributing Author: Dr. Helmut Muthig, TDW

The University of Texas at Austin Institute for Advanced Technology, The University of Texas at Austin - AUSA - February 2006

Electronic Warfare Training in the Pacific Northwest

Intelligent fuzing for penetrating munitions: experiments and analysis of representative configurations

Combat Air Patrol. Kevin White. (This article was originally published in Lone Warrior 187)

Transcription:

The Development of Precision Guided Munitions Dr. Michael Raska Research Fellow ismraska@ntu.edu.sg

Outline: Conceptualizing Precision Warfare History of PGMs: Early Guided Bombs in World War 2 The Korean War 1950s The Vietnam War 1960s The Yom Kippur War 1970s The Gulf War 1990s The Iraq War 2000s Conditional Utility of PGMs Technological Discovery Experimentation Implementation

Defining a Precision Weapon: Bomb or missile that can be aimed and directed against a single/multi targets, relying on external guidance or its own guidance system; Launched from aircraft, ships, submarines, and land vehicles, or even by individual soldiers on the ground; High probability of hitting a target; depending on timely and accurate intelligence; Modern PGMs: Accuracy, Increased Range, Lethality, Flexibility and Portability;

Motivations for PGMs: Political and Psychological - Alternative to attrition and annihilation as a means for coercion: From mass destruction to precise, calculated, damage ; - Minimize collateral damage to both attacker and defender: Efficient, effective, humane tools of foreign policy ; - Minimize resource allocation to achieve a decisive victory ; Military - Operational need to increase lethality and efficiency against point targets; - Stand-off engagement capability The concept of empty battlefield - Military Effectiveness: From multiple-sorties-per-target to multiple-targets-per-sortie mode; Ability to destroy any selected target at will with minimum losses;

History of PGMs: 393 B.C. The Battle of Abacaenum Dionysius I - Katapeltikons Two types of catapults: Single-armed catapult for hurling larger objects; Double-armed machine: Ballista; Capable to alter the trajectory and firing direction of 40- pound stones hurled from 300 yards away; Munitions: large wooden projectiles, iron-clad darts or heavy bolts, Quest for the ultimate weapon

WW1: The Advent of Air Power Aerial bombing almost nonexistent prior to WW1. Targeting accuracy, range, payload capacity abysmal; BUT early air-power theorists shaped the development of new doctrines and technologies: Enemy s vital centers could be destroyed with well-planned bomber formations;

Interwar Years Factors and Release Conditions Altitude Speed Dive Angle Separation effect Bomb s Flight Path Gravity Aerodynamic Drag Wind Velocity Air Density Air Temperature 1935: The Norden Bombsight Tests Calculated ground and wind speeds, altitude and closing rates; Designed to improve the accuracy of dropping gravity bombs;

WW2: Germany 1939 Germany starts developing guided weapons; (Dr. Max Kramer) 1942 FX-1400 (Fritz-X) Air-to-Ship Radio-Guided Glide Bomb 1943 2x Dropped from Dornier Do-217 bomber (Sept. 9) - sinking the defecting ultramodern Italian battleship Roma; Attack Profile: 20,000 ft. / 3 miles from target; (3,400 lb. / 660 lb. explosives) CEP: 15 ft.; Around 750 produced and stockpiled; In combat, only 30% direct hits;

WW2: Germany Henschel Hs-293 Glide Bomb (Prof. Herbert Wagner) - Glide bomb with a conventional wing; small liquid-fueled rocket; - Smaller than Fritz-X (1,500 lb.) - First use in combat: Aug. 25, 1943 against Allied shipping; Attack Profile: Release @ 3,280 ft./6 miles from target ; 90% direct hits in training; 40-50% in combat;

WW2: Germany Hs-293B: Wire-guided control 293D/H: Nose-mounted television camera + radio uplink! Range: 19 miles Around 255 produced; In 1944, after the D-Day landings, Do-217 aircraft used the Hs-293 to attack bridges at River See and River Selume on the Cherbourg peninsula, in an attempt to stall the Allied advance from the bridgehead.

WW2: Allies ATSC VB-1/VB-2 Azon VB-3/VB-4 Razon Guided Bombs - The Azon series: first operational U.S. guided bombs; VB-1 Azon - 'Azimuth Only' Radio command link controlled tail-kit attached to a standard 1,000 lb. bomb body; - Enters production in June 1943; Deployed from Feb. 1944; - Used extensively in Burma for bridge dropping strikes: 1,357 AZONs destroyed 41 bridges, including the famous Kwai River bridge.

WW2: Allies SWOD MK 9 / ASM-N-2 Bat Glide Bomb (Special Weapon Ordnance Device) - Radar-guided glide-bomb, developed by the U.S. Navy; - Arguably the most advanced of the early guided bombs; - Designed as a standoff anti-ship weapon, with a secondary role of attacking coastal targets ; The Bat was the first fully automatic fire and forget guided weapon; First use: April 1945 near Borneo;

The Korean War VB-3/VB-4 Razon Guided Bombs ASM-A-1 Tarzon (VB 13) [Tallboy, Range and Azimuth Only] - Largest bomb used in combat during the Korean War: Tarzon - 12,000-pound (5,400 kg) bomb; - Used in strikes against North Korean bridges and other hardened targets; - Due to safety and cost issues, it was withdrawn in 1951; Could not fit inside the bomb bay of a B-29! - Only 33 Tarzon combat drops / 27 successful; Korean War guided bomb experience nearly similar to WW2; Conventional weapon R&D lost priority; U.S. guided weapons program stops for the next 15 years

1950s: Inventory of U.S. fighter aircrafts optimized for nuclear combat; Aircraft designed for highspeed, low-level delivery of small nuclear weapons; Nuclear training will in every instance take precedence over non-nuclear familiarization and qualification.

The Vietnam War New operational requirements: - supply interdiction; - collateral damage mitigation; Shift in national security policy (Flexible Response) and military doctrine (Limited War); Introduction of operationally effective television, infrared, laser, and visually guided munitions; During the Vietnam War, the USAF and USN drop 26,690 guided weapons only 1% of all bombs dropped (3,376,000 bombs)

The Vietnam War USAF: Laser Guided Bombs: Paveway 1 1965 - USAF Laser Guided Bomb (LGB) program 1966 - Two different prototypes tested; 1968 - First operational tests in Vietnam; 1971 - Full production (920 kits per month)/ Variety of LGBs 1972-1972: 10,651 LGBs dropped over SEA (5,107 direct hits) Thanh Hoa Bridge over the Song Ma River, North Vietnam (May 2, 1972) 1. Nose Seeker; 2. Guidance and Control Unit (GCU); 3. Canards and Tail Fins;

The Yom Kippur War and the 1970s Electro-Optical Guided Bombs used by the IDF: 88 Walleye Is (84 Direct Hits 96%) 32 HOBOS (25 Direct Hits 78%) 70 tanks, 18 bridges While the number of targets destroyed by GD is small, the results are decisive in stopping Arab tanks during the later stages of the war; Desert environment provided ideal contrast conditions for the electrooptical seekers demonstrated the capabilities of new gen.pgms; Shaped the direction and character of American, Soviet, and Israeli strategic perspectives and debates on the future of warfare!

1986: Raid on Libya Pave Tack pod + Terrain-following Radar + Low-Level LGB (Paveway III) High-resolution, Thermal-imaging sensor, Highly accurate ranging info for target detection and tracking Ability to penetrate enemy territory at night, in all types of weather, and at altitudes as low as 200ft. Capability to attack pinpoint targets at night.

The Gulf War and the 1990s By the early 1990s, the arsenal of guided bombs covers the spectrum of day or night with the flexibility of laser guided bombs and the extreme accuracy and standoff capability of the GBU-15 electro-optical glide bombs family; Desert Storm: 20,400 PGMs out of 265,000 bombs (less than 10%) but accounted for 75% of total damage; Targets: airports, C2 centers, missile launchers, radar stations, Iraqi forces GBU-12 LGB GBU-15 EOGB GBU-24 LGB GBU-27 LGB AGM-65 Maverick Increased reliance on PGMs shaped the diffusion of RMA theory, processes, and debate in the 1990s;

PGM Guidance Technologies 2000s Technology Semi-active laser homing Electro-Optical (VIS/IIR) GPS/IMU Scene Matching (EO) Terrain Mapping Key Features Very high precision, vulnerable to weather & countermeasures Autonomous, flexible retargeting with datalink Autonomous/All Weather vulnerable to countermeasures; Autonomous/electro-optical imaging from space, Image-enhancing algorithms, scene-matching guidance Autonomous Active Radar/MMW Radar (Millimeter Wave) LADAR (Light Direction & Ranging) Autonomous, engagement of selective moving targets, all weather capability Flexible targeting, Autonomous selective targeting;

Major Ongoing PGM Programs 2000s Long-Range/CM Medium Range Short-Range JASSM (USA) Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile JSOW (USA) Joint Standoff Weapon PAVEWAY II-IV (USA) TLAM (USA) Tomahawk Land Attack Missile SLAM-ER (USA) Standoff Land Attack Missile - Exp. Resp. LOCAAS (USA) Low Cost Autonomous Attack System NLOS/PAM-LAM (USA) Non-Line of Sight Launch System JDAM (USA) Joint Direct Attack Munition SDB (USA) Small Diameter Bomb STORM SHADOW (UK) SPICE (ISRAEL) HELLFIRE LONGBOW (USA) KPED 350 TAURUS (GER/SWE) DELILAH (ISRAEL) VIPER STRIKE (USA) BRAHMOS (INDIA/RUS) RAPTOR (SOUTH AFRICA) AASM (FRANCE) Armement Air-Sol Modulaire SPIKE-ER (ISRAEL) LIZARD (ISRAEL)

Conditional Utility of PGMs: Without timely and accurate intelligence to provide targets, PGMs are effectively useless; targets must be meticulously selected and assessed; Determining the strategic outcomes of a PGM attack or an enemy s reaction to it remains elusive; The Fog of War remains: technology that aims to distinguish between combatants and non-combatants does not exist; Adversaries may interpret heavy reliance on PGMs as signaling a lack of will, weakening deterrence; Collateral damage can t be avoided, missiles go astray; Quick decisive victories with minimum casualties?

One may be tempted to believe that moderate courage coupled with great intelligence will be more effective than moderate intelligence and great courage If we read history with an open mind, we cannot fail to conclude that, among all military virtues, the energetic conduct of war has always contributed most to glory and success. - Carl von Clausewitz, On War