DUSD (S&T) Software Intensive Systems

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DUSD (S&T) Software Intensive Systems 25 July 2000 Jack Ferguson (fergusj@acq.osd.mil) Director, Software Intensive Systems, ODUSD(S&T)

Outline Role of Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Science and Technology (DUSD(S&T) U.S. DoD S&T program Challenges/Opportunities for DoD Technology Maturity Software & Systems New Acquisition Approach for U.S. DoD Software Intensive Systems

U.S. DoD Science &Technology Mission To ensure that the warfighters today and tomorrow have superior and affordable technology to support their missions, and to give them revolutionary war-winning capabilities.

Role of DUSD (S&T) Oversight/Assessment of DoD S&T Investment Software Intensive Systems High Performance Computing Program Open Systems Joint Task Force International Collaborations Office of Technology Transfer DoD Modeling and Simulation Laboratory Management/Security

Revolutionary Capabilities Stealth Adaptive Optics and Lasers Night Vision Phased Array Radar GPS

Current S&T Hyperspectral Imaging MEMS microelectromechanical systems Nanoscience Biolab Starfire

Future Revolutionary Capabilities Joint Strike Fighter Microsatellites Flexible Sensor Skins Micro Air Vehicles Augmented Reality Handheld Micro Robots DD-21 Bio Sensors Embedded Biofluidic Chips

Challenges and Opportunities Technology Maturity Software & Systems Provide impetus for New approaches to development and sustainment of software-intensive systems

Technology Maturity Government Accounting Office Findings: - Programs with low technology maturity failed to meet cost, schedule and performance requirements. - Programs w/ key technologies at high Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 6 to 8 were meeting cost, schedule and performance requirements. - Successful technologies were managed by S&T organizations to at least TRL 6. GAO

TECHNOLOGY READINESS LEVELS 1. Basic principles observed and reported 2. Technology concept and/or application formulated. 3. Analytical and experimental critical function and/or characteristic proof of concept. 4. Component and/or breadboard validation in laboratory environment. 5. Component and/or breadboard validation in relevant environment.

TECHNOLOGY READINESS LEVELS 6. System/subsystem model or prototype demonstration in a relevant environment. 7. System prototype demonstration in an operational environment. 8 Actual system completed and flight qualified through test and demonstration. 9. Actual system fight proven through successful mission operations.

RECOMMENDATIONS SECDEF Adopt a disciplined and Knowledge-Based method for assessing technology maturity. Establish a place where requirements and technology maturity meet before committing to development. S&T organizations play a greater role in maturing technologies. Empower development managers to say No. GAO

DoD Action: Rewrite Acquisition Regulations - the 5000 Series Develop a new acquisition model that reduces cost and cycle time while delivering improved performance Move DoD closer to a commercial-style approach Implement Congressional recommendations Implement other reports and key initiatives, e.g. GAO Reports Further streamline the acquisition process Codify above changes in a new version of DoD 5000 series documents

PROBLEMS WITH CURRENT POLICY Treats technology demos, and other innovations, as nontraditional excursions Treats evolutionary block approaches as non-traditional excursions Endorses tailoring but provides no amplifying guidance to assist strategy development Provides no institutionalized path for demonstration and accelerated development of innovative design and employment concepts New 5000 needs to facilitate tailoring by providing guidance on alternative acquisition strategies

Technology Opportunities & User Needs Multiple entry points possible depending on technical/concept maturity Three basic options at each decision point: Proceed into next phase; do additional work; terminate effort Reviews are in-phase decision/progress points held as necessary New Acquisition Process A A B B Concept Exploration Commit Outyear Funding Advanced Development Review System Integration System Demo Concept & Tech Development Risk Reduction & Demonstration Continuous communication with users Early & continuous testing MileStone (MS) C EXIT CRITERIA Demonstrated technology Approved ORD & assured interoperability Affordability assessment Strategy in place for evolutionary approach, production readiness, and supportability C Production Readiness & LRIP IOC Rate Production & Deployment Funding BA 2 or 3 BA 3 BA 4 BA 5 BA 5/Proc Proc/Operations & Maintenance Review Research Category 6.1/6.2/6.3a 6.3a 6.3b 6.4 6.4 Review Production & Deployment MS A: Initiation of exploration phase MS B: Demonstration phase. MS C: Commitment to rapid acquisition. BLOCK II BLOCK III Support S&T Role for software intensive systems Basic Research Technology Maturation Technology Transition Technology Insertion

Features of the New Approach Multiple process paths - not just one way of entering the acquisition process Evolutionary acquisition is the preferred approach Focus on technology development and risk reduction prior to program commitment

The other aspect...software Is Everywhere

Software Function Points COMPUTER GAMES WORD PROCESSORS SPREAD- SHEETS DATABASE PACKAGES TYPICAL BUSINESS APPLICATIONS MAJOR BUSINESS APPLICATIONS OPERATING SYSTEMS CORPORATE-WIDE SYSTEMS MAJOR DEFENSE SYSTEMS 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 Scientific American: Sizing Up Software, Capers Jones, Dec 1998 NUMBER OF FUNCTION POINTS

Function Point Costs COST PER FUNCTION POINT (DOLLARS) 10 100 1,000 10,000 MILITARY TYPE OF SOFTWARE SCIENTIFIC AND ENGINEERING COMMERCIAL PACKAGES INFORMATION SYSTEMS PERSONAL APPLICATIONS Scientific American: Sizing Up Software, Capers Jones, Dec 1998

What has changed in last 5 years? Increased awareness and use of process and process improvement Increased ability to deliver single systems on time and within budget..but More and more dependency on software More use of COTS More emphasis on reuse and interoperability Software development problems traced to integration and system/software engineering problems

Front Page Headline Another Avoidable Mistake For NASA Mars Craft Felled By Missing Line of Code, Probe Finds The Washington Post, March 29, 2000 The likely fate of the lost Mars Polar Lander was a 50 mph impact with the planet s frozen surface caused by a missing line of code- part of a pattern of avoidable errors that have left the U.S. Mars program a shambles. Obviously another software error...

But, Read on page 14, Col 1 The most probable cause of the Mars Polar Lander s loss was the generation of spurious signals when the lander s legs were deployed during its controlled descent. These signals falsely indicated to the onboard systems that the spacecraft was safely on the surface. This would have prompted the braking thrusters to shut down at an altitude of about 130 feet...spurious signals of this type are a familiar phenomenon, and routine systems testing should have exposed the potential One line of code would have fixed the problem

Recent events in DoD that focus on software Service Acquisition Executive meeting Name senior software focal points to a Software Intensive Systems Steering Group chaired by Dr. Etter DSB Task Force on Software Initiate independent expert reviews of major programs Strongly weight past performance and process maturity Build a disciplined cadre of technical managers Collect, disseminate and implement best practices Restructure and strengthen contract incentives Increase and ensure a strong and stable research program

Software Intensive Systems Directorate Optimizing Managed Defined Repeatable Initial 1 5 4 3 2 Discipline Productivity Risk Leverage Lessons Learned Improved Software Intensive Systems Software Goal Method Argument System Models Science & Technology Stable, focused research Collaborate DoD Software Engineering Organizations 5000 Regs Career Development Trained & Experienced Staff Evolutionary Acquisition

Actions underway-1 Established a Software Intensive Systems Steering Group: Delores Etter - DUSD(S&T) Chair Henry Dubin - Army Mike O Driscoll - Navy Don Daniel - Air Force Margaret Myers - ASD(C3I)

Actions underway-2 Improve the discipline of developers and acquirers of software intensive systems. DoD Software Evaluation Policy Integrated Capability Maturity Models for Systems and Software Engineering - the CMMI Project Develop a CMMI-Acquisition model Institutionalize independent reviews of major software intensive programs Tri-Service Assessment Initiative now sponsored by DUSD(S&T)

and on the measurement front Efforts currently underway in OSD Program Analysis and Evaluation (PA&E) proposing a core set (size, cost, schedule, quality) for independent cost estimation Chief Information Officer (CIO) formed an IPT to establish common software metrics collection using the 8121 Registration Database Quality - Standards (JTA, DII COE) Interoperability - Staff skills Architecture - Performance Complexity - Competitiveness Development Process - Security Best Practices - Size, schedule, effort

Challenges and opportunities for measurement Technology Technology maturity (systems and software) Evolutionary Acquisition and Spiral Development Progress, risk, user needs Development and sustainment paradigms Object oriented development COTs and reuse Product Lines Technology refresh Measures of effectiveness for all of the above