A Simulation Revolution is Needed to Solve the CAE Industry s Problems

A Simulation Revolution is Needed to Solve the CAE Industry s Problems

Business Drivers

Business Drivers The worldwide business environment is seeing a strong focus on strategic goals for improving competitiveness

Business Drivers The Role of Engineering Simulation is becoming a key enabler of strategic goals for improving competitiveness Increase Innovation Increase Quality Reduce Risk Reduce Time Reduce Cost Generative Design

A Simulation Revolution is needed

A Simulation Revolution is needed The demand for software tools for Engineering Simulation is exploding to support the need for increased competitiveness rapidly growing complexity of products, processes, and systems. New requirements/applications for Engineering Simulation are emerging (e.g. Digital Twins) The Engineering Simulation market growth is limited due to lack of expertise available Engineering Simulation is still done primarily by specialized Analysts

A Simulation Revolution is needed Business Drivers are going to force a revolution Generative Design Engineering Simulation will be forced to find a way

A Simulation Revolution is needed The demand is not going away A Simulation Revolution will occur: Model-Based Fit for purpose Integrated Smart Transparent / Invisible Generative. CULTURE CHANGE Expertise Available Expertise Required MCAE Market Trends

A Simulation Revolution is needed The Simulation Revolution is about making Engineering Simulation widely available & appropriate to support improved decision making throughout the entire life-cycle of the ever-increasing complexity of engineered products and processes

Innovation and Competitive Business Advantage

Innovation and Competitive Business Advantage People Tacit knowledge Collaboration Cultures Global etc. Business Customer knowledge Market intelligence Strategic goals etc. Processes Sharing knowledge Reusing knowledge Best practices etc. Technology Math & Physics Engineering Computing hardware & software Data management etc. Simulation Plays a Key Role in Each Group

Innovation and Competitive Business Advantage Innovation Feeds off of the knowledge of a company Is based on sharing knowledge and wisdom across different domain groups and organizational boundaries Is generally associated with the development of new products and services Is generally the result of a series of incremental improvements Results from well-managed, disciplined business processes---it is not accidental! Invention is 1% inspiration versus 99% perspiration --- Thomas Edison

Innovation and Competitive Business Advantage People, Processes and Technology define the foundation for creativity and innovation Technology makes it feasible People and their Processes make it successful! Balancing and aligning these elements with the Business Strategy results in a Competitive Business Advantage

Collaborative Model-Based Engineering

Collaborative Model-Based Engineering

Collaborative Model-Based Engineering What? Provides a common modeling and simulation environment Requirements, functional, logical, and physical inter-relationships 3D CAx parametric, cross-discipline functions Virtual design, build, test, and certify Multi-physics modeling & simulation Common meta-model Knowledge capture

Collaborative Model-Based Engineering Decision Support Results Collaboration Data Management Models Process Management Scenarios

Collaborative Model-Based Engineering Why? Allows for Rapid Prototyping and Architecture Optimization Leads to Early Integration and Requirements Validation Creates a Truly Representative Simulation of the Product Supports Model-Based Requirements to Suppliers Increased Overall Fidelity of the Simulations Reduced Development Time and Cost

Manufacturing, Testing, and Simulation Synergy

Manufacturing, Testing, and Simulation Synergy The Aircraft Industry Building-Block Test Approach Tier 3 Fullscale tests Component tests The test plan integrates all levels! Airplane and Major Components Validate analyses & verify product performance; optimize via large-scale optimization tools Tier 2 Tier 1 Sub-component tests Structural elements tests Allowables development Material specification development Material screening and selection Details and Subcomponents Develop design values; optimize manually or automatically Materials and Processes Develop material properties via theory, experiment, & empirical methods

Manufacturing, Testing, and Simulation Synergy

Manufacturing, Testing, and Simulation Synergy Current Notional Material Development and Certification Cycle Trial & Error Disconnected from Requirements It can take longer to develop an all-new structural material than it takes to develop a new airplane So designers have to rely on last-generation materials! Material Development & Producibility ~9 yrs Product Design Cycle Begins Material Performance Frozen Material Properties ~4 yrs Design Value Devel ~3 yrs Analysis Validation ~4 yrs New Product Development Cycle ~5-9 yrs ~ 18 Years

The Internet of Things: Physical & Digital

Can Similar Technologies be Applied to Engineering Simulation??? The Internet of Things: Physical & Digital An Autonomous Car??? A Hyperloop Tube??? LA to San Francisco in 35 minutes!

The Internet of Things: Physical & Digital The Digital Twin approach will dramatically increase the demand for Engineering Simulation What good is a Digital Twin if you cannot evaluate its performance virtually? - Fouad El Khaldi, ESI Group

Enabling the Next Generation of Simulation

Enabling the Next Generation of Simulation The first generation of Engineering Simulation is nearing an end! NOW, A New First Generation of Engineering Simulation is beginning. We need to define collectively, a unified vision and roles to enable the Simulation Revolution in the coming decades. We must rethink the industry!

Enabling the Next Generation of Simulation Industry CAx End-Users People Processes Business Technology Academia Suppliers Government Professional Organizations Vendors

Enabling the Next Generation of Simulation Form alliances to develop harmonized visions for Engineering Simulation across industry, academia, government, professional organizations, and CAx vendors. Need to implement win-win collaborative business scenarios for all!

Enabling the Next Generation of Simulation Develop next generation Engineering Simulation environments for collaborative modeling, analysis/optimization, immersive man-machine interactions, common visualizers, and standardsbased cognitive knowledge sharing systems for experiencing real-time multi-physical response simulations. Realistic simulation of problems at the speed of human thought should be our vision!

Enabling the Next Generation of Simulation Change our culture and enrich our pipeline of expertise in STEM (Science, Technology, Engineering, and Math) domains, beginning with preschoolers, through college, and beyond retirement; including skill/competency metrics, career growth training, communities of practice, etc. Sexy simulation environments will define the destiny of the CAx industry!

Enabling the Engineering Simulation Revolution

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Technologies Increased emphasis on purpose built applications Model Based Systems Engineering Emergence of simulation knowledge capture & reuse Emergence of near real time / near physics approaches IoT access to real data

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Approaches Focusing on maximizing automation for appropriate accuracy for effective decision support Focusing on applications rather than physics Increasing the emphasis on Model Based Systems Engineering and integration with detailed sub-systems simulation Accounting for Variability and Uncertainty

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Approaches Driving design from requirements and available design space Generative Design (Image courtesy of Keith Meintjes, Executive Consultant and ASSESS Generative Design lead, CIMdata.)

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Professional Organizations NAFEMS The International Association for the Engineering Modelling, Analysis and Simulation Community. Best Practices Webinars Conferences

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Professional Organizations INCOSE The International Council on Systems Engineering Best Practices Webinars Symposiums Conferences

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Professional Organizations NAFEMS / INCOSE SMS Working Group Promote advancement of the technology and practices associated with co-simulation of systems engineering and engineering analysis Act as the governing body of standards in this space Drive strategic direction for technology development in this space

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Professional Organizations ASSESS Initiative Formed to bring together key players to guide and influence strategies for software tools for model-based analysis, simulation, and systems engineering. ASSESS Analysis, Simulation, and Systems Engineering Software Strategies

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Professional Organizations ASSESS Initiative vision To expand significantly the use and business benefit of software tools for performing modelbased analysis, simulation, systems engineering, and simulation-driven design in the engineering applications domain.

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Professional Organizations ASSESS Initiative themes Democratization of Engineering Simulation (DoES) Engineering Simulation Confidence & Governance Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-System Simulations Alignment of Commercial, Research and Government Efforts Business Challenges Generative Design

Enabling the Simulation Revolution Professional Organizations ASSESS Initiative Advisory Committee Working Groups aligned with ASSESS themes Focusing on industry whitepapers Annual Congress

Enabling the Simulation Revolution ASSESS 2017 Congress (November 1-3 2017, Potomac, MD) Keynote Presentations: Advancing Regulatory Science and In Silico Medicine at the FDA Tina Morrison, Ph. D., U.S. Food and Drug Administration The Future of Modeling and Simulation at Cummins Bob Tickel, Cummins Inc. http://www.assessinitiative.com/congress/assess-2017/

Enabling the Simulation Revolution You and your organization!!! Develop harmonized visions for Engineering Simulation Develop and leverage next generation Engineering Simulation environments Change the current culture and enrich the pipeline of expertise in STEM Join professional organizations and actively participate in the Engineering Simulation Revolution (e.g. ASSESS 2017 Congress )

Questions