Beyond 4G Cellular Networks: Is Density All We Need?

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Beyond 4G Cellular Networks: Is Density All We Need? Jeffrey G. Andrews Wireless Networking and Communications Group (WNCG) Dept. of Electrical and Computer Engineering The University of Texas at Austin IEEE International Workshop on Emerging Technologies for LTE- Advanced and Beyond @ IEEE Globecom 2013 Atlanta, GA, USA Dec. 13, 2013

Plausible 5G Requirements (these are my own opinions) Peak Rate: 10 Gbps Peak rate is a marketing number, not an engineering number I expect someone to claim 100 Gbps. This can be ignored. 5% Rate: 100 Mbps This is a real engineering number and very challenging This is what a typical 5% user needs to actually achieve Latency: 1 millisecond roundtrip Cost per bit: 10-100x below 4G Power consumption: similar to LTE (thus, requires Joules/bit to drop 10-100x) Implicit but crucial: Backhaul that supports all the above All of these require 10-100x improvement vs. 4G (e.g. LTE Release 10)

Implications To get 100 Mbps for 5% users, we ve got to do something pre-log to Shannon s equation. We re nearly achieving log(1+sinr) spectral efficiency in current systems Increasing SINR gives rapidly diminishing gains, unless SINR is very low to begin with (more shortly) Unless we ve really missed something, that leaves us with three choices: 1. Extreme Densification via Cell Splitting (load reduction) 2. Increasing bandwidth, by a lot 3. Massively parallel communication, namely Massive MIMO (e.g. SDMA) or some other near-magical dimension increasing technique

About Those Three Choices More spectrum seems to mean mmwave (30-300 GHz): Blocking and Near-field pathloss are major issues Need large antenna arrays to overcome this, thus cannot use array for Massive MIMO (parallelization). Smaller cells should be helpful here Extreme Densification Deployment poses a cost and logistics challenge, but theoretical limit to cell splitting gain seems very (arbitrarily?) large Many challenges (more on this shortly) Interference-limited environment is difficult for Massive MIMO Far fewer users/cell, bad for Massive MIMO (SDMA version) Takeaways: Densification and mmwave appear to be very complementary Massive MIMO competes with the other two

Regardless of geometry: Cellular networks are characterized by uneven SINR Traditional grid model LTE Network in Dallas, TX Random BSs (PPP) High SINR users near BSs have very high SINR (mostly due to high received signal power) Cell-edge users have very low SINR (Due both to low received signal and high interference)

Downlink Cellular SINR Analysis R 3 R 2 R 1 R R 4 R 5 Random channel effects (mean 1/m accounts for transmit power) Standard power law path loss WLOG, aggregate interference can be quantified for MS at the origin as

Going from an infinite number of random variables to none, in 2 slides f R (r) Using the exponential (Rayleigh) fading distribution to full advantage (crucial only for tractability): Laplace Transform

Two key steps remove all interference random variables MGF of an exponential RV Using the PGFL of the PPP, a key tool in stochastic geometry gives: (PGFL)

Main Result: SINR in Cellular Network Theorem [Andrews, Bacelli and Ganti 2011]: When the fading power between any two nodes is exponentially distributed with mean m -1, the coverage probability is where T = SINR threshold; l = BS density; a = PL exponent; s 2 = noise variance

Simplest form gives good rule of thumb Theorem 1 (SINR CCDF), with path loss exponent a= 4, and noise << interference: Extremely simple expression, just obtained from the Theorem! Includes fading, interference, pathloss, etc. Actually matches real measurements quite well No dependence on BS density, i.e. SINR is scale invariant If noise non-negligible, then p c will be slightly lower and p c will also improve as BS density increases Allows us to observe immediately things like: T = 1 gives p c = (1+p/4 )-1 =0.56 T =.1 gives p c = 0.9 T =.05 (-13 db) gives p c = 0.95, the 5% user

Gini coefficient for cellular SINR is large The Poor (-10 db) The Rich (20 db)

Increasing Downlink SINR Our field is littered with failed attempts to increase downlink SINR Only thing that consistently works is frequency reuse/time slot duty cycling This raises everyone s SINRs, especially cell edge This lowers most user s timeaveraged rates due to the prelog reuse factor Doesn t improve fairness very much, mainly helps cell edge users get at least something through

Downlink SINR with Small Cell Densification There seems to still be considerable misunderstanding about what happens when you densify a cellular network Key Facts: 1. When noise-limited towards cell edge, densification always increases SINR 2. When interference-limited at cell-edge, densification has very little effect on SINR, which is provably true for: a. Perfectly regular (grid) networks [easy to show] b. Perfectly random (PPP) networks [just showed] c. BSs with massive disparities in power (i.e. HetNets ), as long as UE connects to strongest BS [Dhillon et al 2012] Adding small cells does NOT reduce SINR by causing too much interference. That is a myth (true for WiFi/CSMA).

Cell splitting gains Cell-splitting gains are the key benefit of densification Splitting a cell into two cells doubles the amount of resources, at no SINR cost However, the key challenge is being able to make use of those resources

Cell Splitting Gain Depends on Load at Each BS picocells femtos DL Max-SINR coverage With UEs now shown: regions Load imbalance is clear Small cells have very User-perceived rate is about: small DL footprint R B log(1+sinr)/n The macrocell DL is the N = # of users on the BS system bottleneck User-perceived rate is more sensitive to load than SINR

Summary of Key Issues for Understanding Densification 1. SINR inequality is unavoidable, will always have a large fraction of low SINR users 2. Cell splitting never hurts, but gain is hard to quantify due to massive disparities in nominal coverage areas Typical loads may vary by 10-100x from macro to pico Many BSs will be very lightly loaded, unhelpful 3. Rate distribution SINR distribution 4. Spreading load across BSs is critical, but: Optimum is complex: 30 BSs and 200 UEs = O(30 200 ) User distribution is unclear (we ll use uniform, but if they cluster around BSs this helps)

Network-wide load optimization with fractional association Utility function: Max-sum rate gives a degenerative solution We ll use a max-sum-log rate objective Much more balanced! The fractional association with the BSs allows the problem to become convex Can always round it back to an integer (binary) association (with little loss actually) Decentralized iterative algorithm based on dual decomposition converges well Q. Ye et al, 2013.

Cell Range Expansion (CRE) same band CRE is a fourth approach Allows for a simple fully uncoordinated decision, no iteration Need only the received power (or rate) from a given BSs SINR Bias [used in 3GPP] Assign identical bias value for all BSs in the same tier Simply multiply received SINR by the bias amount, then compare to select Optimum values obtained by brute force simulation Femto BS Femto BS Pico BS Macro BS Femto BS Pico BS Femto BS The orange part is the extended coverage area by range expansion.

Very large, and surprisingly similar, gains from all these load-balancing approaches 5x Gain for 5% user! 2-10x gain in throughput for bottom half of users (cell-edge) Static biasing gets very close to fully centralized optimization! Optimal SINR bias here was [0 6 11] db for [macro pico femto]

Gain is unique to HetNets Traditional cellular networks The observed gain does not materialize in macrocell-only networks, since loads are inherently much more balanced Caveat: These results are averaged over the network. Larger gains may still occur locally, particularly if biasing is dynamic.

Macrocell Blanking Consider muting the macrocell for some fraction of the time h Called Almost Blank Subframes (ABS) in LTE No control signals or data are transmitted (only reference signals) Avoid strong inter-cell interference during range expansion Possibly allow more aggressive offloading Is this a good idea? If so what should h be? How does it affect bias? Femto BS Femto BS Pico BS Macro BS Femto BS Pico BS Femto BS Orange part is the extended coverage area by range expansion.

How much gain is there from blanking? Gain from load balancing Gain from blanking The performance is improved with ABSs and optimal user association (association is very important) This plot is an average, K=3 with densities of [1 5 15], h* =.31

How many frames should be blanked? best rate optimal blanking is about 0.5 K = 2, on average 5 picos per macro (stochastic geometry approach) K = 2, optimal association (optimization approach) Macrocell should be off half the time or more! Blanking demands much more aggressive biasing, due to interference reduction

Interim Conclusions Densification clearly provides a great deal of rate gain, and is a big part of any 5G solution Relative locations of BSs and users are largely unknown, but affects things quite a lot In 3GPP models, they drop the users around the picos, and then conclude that biasing doesn t help much Blanking and biasing can be very helpful as simple schemes to promote load balancing, reduce inequality It remains to be seen whether densification and offloading alone can track 100%/year traffic increases for long, but it s plausible

Looking Ahead The 5% UE rate problem is the tough one for cellular engineers, and will exist regardless of technology Blanking and load balancing (via biasing) seems to be the most promising remedy for now Very little overhead or fragility Densification and mmwave are friends mmwave will need a dense network of BSs to overcome blocking & pathloss, and provide multi-point connectivity They also have some of the same enemies (especially the backhaul bottleneck) Many related talks in today s workshop: I look forward to learning some new things in this direction!