ICT Premium Forum The Future of ICT and MNO s Vision SK Research Institute Hyeong Chan KIM Senior Vice President, ICT Office 28 October 2014
Contents Ⅰ. 30 Years of Mobile Communications Ⅱ. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years Ⅲ. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era IV. First Step towards ICT-nomics Era V. Concluding Remarks 1
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I. 30 Years of Mobile Communications 1. Beginning of Mobile Communications Service Korea s mobile communications service began in 1984 Motorola DynaTAC 8000 33
I. 30 Years of Mobile Communications 2. Brief History of Mobile Communications Korea has led the global ICT industry in making success stories from the world s first CDMA to LTE-A The world s first commercialization Max D/L Speed by Technology 30M LTE-A 4G LTE in Korea Multi Carrier 44
I. 30 Years of Mobile Communications 3. Rapid Progress of the Mobile Communication Market Korea became a global ICT powerhouse in terms of H/W and mobile penetration rates H/W [Voice quality] [Data quality] [Investment Rates to Sales in OECD Member Counties] [Global LTE device M/S] Mexico 7 big cities abroad Source: KCC( 13) Source Ministry of Science, ICT & Future Planning ( 13) Source: Strategy Analytics( 13) Unit(10,000) [Trend of domestic mobile phone user] Penetration rate Unit(%) [Smartphone penetration rate] Source: KTOA, KAIT Source: Strategy Analytics( 12) 55
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II. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years 1. Sign of New Revolution Expanded use of ICT technology in offline sector is a sign of new revolution New revolution triggered by ICT technology Expanded application of ICT technology in offline sector Big bang making the breakthroughs in various industries New Future led by ICT Development and spread of ICT technology (Digitalization, Intelligence) Introduction of ICT technology online-focused application, Emergence Influence on information/media industries (information age) PC Mobile phone Internet 77
II. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years 2. Major Trends Computing infrastructure, digitization, and combination of innovations will influence all industries Major Trend for Next 30 Years Sharing Economy 3D Printing Big Data IoT AI 88
II. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years 3. Sharing Economy Spread of Sharing Economy in most industries will require changes in industry structure & traditional capitalist theory Spread of sharing economy Disruption of traditional business through cost innovation by public sharing -Sharing Economy Model born on the Internet will spread to various industries Reorganization of industry structure -Introduction of new business and spread of disruptive players through Sharing Economy Spread of the principles of the Internet to all industries -Cost reduction and Winner-Take-All economy Changes in the Ownership-based structure -Jeremy Rifkin s Zero Marginal Cost Society 99
II. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years 4. 3D Printing 3D Printing will trigger rapid innovation in various industry 3D CAD drawings will be sent to 3D printers, manufacturing the object with lamination Acceleration of digitalization -Spread of long-tail & mass customization in manufacturing Acceleration of Bits to Atoms -Materialization(Atoms) of digital information(bits) Changes in industry landscape -Importance of design capability (ex: Lego) -Changes in logistics and retail (ex: UPS) -Introduction of new ecosystem (ex: 3D blueprint Marketplace) 10 10
[Reference ] The Future of 3D Printing Bits To Atoms - Materialization of Digital Information 1 Manufacturing of anything imaginable 2 Breakdown to basic materials & rebuild 3 New manufacturing through the combination of molecules (Electric car Urbee2) Ex) 3D printing electric car -Within 2 years, all components will be designed on computers & manufactured by 3D printers (3D printing food) Ex) 3D printing food -Production of food from nutrients, such as carbohydrates & protein, stored in powder form (NASA pjt.) Ex) 3D bio printing (Artificial organ) -New innovation in pharmaceuticals and biology through the use of molecular recombination technology 11 11
II. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years 5. Big Data Big data is major trigger and competitive edge in post-smart phone age Volume, Velocity, and Variety of Data that surpasses existing mgt capability Global Internet users: USD 24 billions( 14) Core infrastructure of corporate mgt -Productivity innovation, marketing innovation, and risk management Major trigger and competitive edge in post-smart phone age -Core element of IoT/Wearable, Augmented Reality, and Artificial Intelligence Global mobile phones : 46 billions( 14) Data Volume AI Facebook : 500 terabytes of new data per day ( 12) www Portal Smartphone Web 2.0 SNS AR IoT(Wearable) 2000 2010 2020 12 12
II. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years 6. IoT Biz innovation triggered by IoT will lead global economy Application and expansion of IoT to all industries Telematics and automobile remote control Realization of convergence encompassing ICT and non-ict Automobile -Creation of new value through connectivity Home monitoring, security Home/ electronic appliance ICT Retail Mobile commerce IoT is new innovation engine for industry and society - Productivity Improvement: 5% cost reduction in global economy through IoT will create Health care Remote health care and medicine management USD 3.5 trillion saving annually -Innovation of life and system: IoT will lead innovation on consumers and society 1) 1) Global GDP of early IoT-adapted industries, such as transportation and energy, in 2011 13 13
II. The Outlook for the Next 30 Years 7. Artificial Intelligence Application of artificial intelligence to offline will change the shape of industry, society, and lifestyles Application and technology of AI Artificial Intelligence is expanding from online to offline Machine Learning Natural Language Processing Agents - Analysis of big data - Human-machine interfaces (ex: Siri) - Mobile agents (ex: Google Now) Changes in industry structure -Replacement of professionals and intellectual workers Innovation of society and lifestyles -Convenience vs. privacy Pattern Recognition - Accurate contextual judgment (ex: Google Driverless Car) 14 14
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III. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era 16 16
III. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era 1. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era Major Trend for Next 30 Years Sharing Economy 3D Printing Big Data IoT AI 17 17
III. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era 18 18
III. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era 19 19
III. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era 20 20
III. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era 21 21
III. The Advent of ICT-nomics Era 22 22
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IV. SKT s Vision towards ICT-nomics Era 24 24
IV. SKT s Vision towards ICT-nomics Era 25 25
IV. SKT s Vision towards ICT-nomics Era 26 26
IV. SKT s Vision towards ICT-nomics Era 27 27
IV. SKT s Vision towards ICT-nomics Era 28 28
IV. SKT s Vision towards ICT-nomics Era 29 29
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V. Concluding Remarks Innovation + Sharing 31 31