Homogenisation of Maximum and Minimum Air Temperatures in Ireland. Mary Curley * and Seamus Walsh

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Transcription:

Homogenisation of Maximum and Minimum Air Temperatures in Ireland Mary Curley * and Seamus Walsh

Homogenisation of monthly maximum and minimum temperature series HOMER 2.6

Number of stations homogenised 17 years or more of data Minimum: 99 stations Maximum: 100 stations Less than 17 years of data Minimum: 35 stations Maximum: 34 stations Total number of stations homogenised Minimum and Maximum: 134 stations

Number of stations homogenised 17 years or more of data Minimum temperature 99 stations (+48 N. Ireland reference stations) Maximum temperature 100 stations (+48 N. Ireland reference stations)

17 years or more of data

Irish stations with 17 years or more of data 50 years of data: 22 stations 40-49 years of data: 19 stations 30-39 years of data: 19 stations <30 years data: ~40 stations

Number of Breaks 17 years or more of data Minimum Maximum Total number of breaks 108 111 % of stations with breaks 69 63 % verified breaks 37 37

Verified breaks Minimum Maximum New site % 35 41 Screen replaced % 25 17 New observer % 15 12 Degrees C thermometer % 5 5 New thermometer % 5 15 AWS % 5 - Other % 10 10

Non-verified breaks Minimum Maximum No metadata % 28 30 No reason % 47 47 Possible reason/no exact date % 25 23

Example of some minimum monthly data detected breaks Year month Reason TRALEE_CLASH 1982 5 v degrees c thermometer TRALEE_CLASH 1993 12 v new site BALLINACURRA 1972 1 v new obs TUAM_AIRGLOONEY 1963 1 n no metadata GLENAMOY 1984 2 v site move MILFORD_VOCSCH 1975 5 n no metadata KINSALEY_AGRRES 1993 8 v new screen LETTERKENNY_MAGHERENAN 2005 5 n no metadata LETTERKENNY_MAGHERENAN 1968 12 n observer poor around this time DUNGARVAN_CARRIGLEA 2005 3 v screen replaced and new fence DUNGARVAN_CARRIGLEA 1976 8 n replacement screen sent CLOOSH_FORSTN 2004 9 n no reason CLOOSH_FORSTN 2007 7 n no metadata

Number of breaks in stations Minimum Maximum # stations with breaks 68 63 # stations with 1 break 39 31 # stations with 2 breaks 19 23 # stations with 3 breaks 9 5 # stations with 4 breaks 1 2 # stations with 5 breaks - 2

Dublin Airport site move Break amplitude Annual correction Monthly correction Minimum -1.03-1.0-0.9 to -1.3 Maximum -0.28-0.3-0.1 to -0.4

Markree Castle reason for breaks unknown Year Break amplitude Annual correction Monthly correction Minimum 1961-1965 -1.52-1.2-0.7 to -1.8 1966-1998 1.62 0.4 0.2 to 0.6 1998-2008 -1.26-1.3-0.9 to -1.8 Maximum 1961-1965 -1.01-1.7-1.2 to -2.0 1966-1984 -0.27-0.6-0.2 to -1.1 1984-1995 -0.48-0.4 0 to -0.9 1995-2007 -1.42-1.4-1.3 to -1.6

Stations with little metadata but multiple breaks Oak Park Min: 3 breaks 1967, 1997 & 2006 Max: 5 breaks 1967, 1977, 1991, 1997 & 2006 Derrygreenagh Min: 3 breaks 1973, 1982 & 2007 Max: 4 breaks 1964, 1974, 1990 & 2002

HOMER 2.6 Outliers which were extreme events were reinserted after homogenisation In general interactive mode was used. A lot more breaks when non-interactive mode used

Comparison with MASH Some stations compared well for others there was a big difference

HOMER v MASH Jan Feb. Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Min T Dublin Airport 0.2-0.2-0.3-0.2 0 0.7-0.3 0 0.2 0-0.1 0 Max T Dublin Airport -0.1 0.2 0-0.1 0 0 0-0.3-0.1 0.1 0.1-0.1 Min T Markree 1961-1.1 0.1-1.7-1.1-1.3-1.7-1.1-1 -0.5-1.6-1.1-0.7 1983-0.5 0.1-0.8-0.2-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.5 0.5-0.5-0.4-0.8 2002-0.7 0.2-1.4-1.1-0.8-1.4-0.9-0.7-0.4-1.1-0.6-0.3

Stations with less than 17 years of data Minimum temperature 35 stations Maximum temperature 34 stations

Less than 17 years of data Infilled the series which had less than 17 years of data prior to homogenisation Used the homogenised data series from stations with 17 years or more of data as reference

Number of Breaks Less than 17 years of data Minimum Maximum Total number of breaks 47 46 % of stations with breaks 80 82 % verified breaks 34 37

Number of breaks in stations Minimum Maximum # stations with breaks 28 28 # stations with 1 break 13 24 # stations with 2 breaks 11 8 # stations with 3 breaks 4 2

Daily data

Daily data series Looking at parallel data series SPLIDHOM

Parallel data series When stations where automated we had parallel measurements for a number of months. Mullingar Valentia Belmullet Malin Head Sherkin Island

Parallel data series In general the difference seems bigger between minimum temperatures however for Sherkin Island the maximum temperature is more affected. The difference in the maximum thermometers can range from 0.5 up to 3 degrees C whilst for the minimum it is generally less than a degree.

SPLIDHOM Starting with Dublin stations long series with generally not too many breaks in monthly data dense network

Thanks to the Met Office, particularly Dan Hollis for providing Northern Ireland monthly maximum and minimum data

Thank you