Broadband Satellite Markets 12 th Edition A Worldwide Analysis of Industry Trends and Market Forecasts from 2012 to 2022 Report Brief www.nsr.com 2013 NSR
Report Description NSR s Broadband Satellite Markets, 12th Edition is an industry leading analysis and forecast of all key market segments within the overall satellite broadband sector, including VSAT networking, satellite broadband Internet access, and broadband trunking & backhaul applications. The study assesses the installed base of sites or subscribers in seven different regional markets, investigates trends impacting market growth, forecasts service and equipment revenue, and predicts satellite capacity requirements for provisioning each market vertical. Beyond classic C- and Ku-band capacity, NSR led the industry in forecasting use of High Throughput Satellites (HTS) for the different satellite broadband market applications as well as being the first to introduce projections for uptake of MEO-HTS (i.e. O3b Networks) for specific market verticals. The Main Issues and Questions Addressed in the Study Include: What are the trends driving or restraining growth in the installed base of sites or subscribers for each market vertical? Which market segments and which regions are most likely to benefit from new demand or expansion of existing services? Which are under pressure from terrestrial competition? www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 1
Who are the main players in each industry segment, and what have been their key successes in the last year? What are the revenues to be generated from service provisioning and customer premises equipment (CPE) sales in each region and market vertical? What is the satellite capacity demand for each service in each region, and how is this being provisioned? NSR s goal is to never stop improving and enhancing our report products. This allows NSR to lead the industry in introducing new market assessments and improvements in how market data is presented and assimilated. For the BBSM 12th Edition, NSR launches its streamlined PowerPoint (PPT) report format that allows report users quickly and easily absorb analysis of all key market trends in the satellite broadband segment. Further, NSR has added additional capacity forecast segmentation to the trunking and backhaul market, notably to capture potential for emerging HTS trunking services. www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 2
Key Features The Broadband Satellite Markets, 12th Edition study continues to apply the same methodology to its forecasts for broadband satellite market as in previous editions in order to maintain consistency with prior editions. Further, the study is fully integrated with and makes use of forecasts from NSR s Wireless Backhaul via Satellite, 7th Edition study in order to fully coordinate NSR s diverse collection of application specific market reports. Broadband Satellite Markets, 12 th Edition Data Segmentation Market Forecasts Satellite Broadband Access Enterprise VSAT Networking Satellite Trunking & Backhaul Subscribers Service Revenues CPE Revenues Capacity Demand One-Way Services Two-Way Services IP Trunking Backhaul Sites Service Revenues CPE Revenues Capacity Demand Sites Service Revenues CPE Revenues Capacity Demand Sites Service Revenues CPE Revenues Capacity Demand Sites Service Revenues CPE Revenues Capacity Demand Source: NSR Primary Elements of the Report Include: Industry trend analysis including NSR s qualitative assessment of each major market segment A bottom-up forecasting approach based on detailed sites and subscriber data Results of the forecast in terms of installed base of sites/subscribers, service and CPE revenues, and bandwidth provisioning requirements for every market segment studied More than 150 detailed tables and charts Step-by-step methodology Variance analysis for each market to highlight any changes between the current and prior forecasts in this market www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 3
Table of Contents Executive Summary Section 1: Global Broadband Satellite Markets Overview 1.1 Introduction and Market Review 1.1.1 Enterprise VSAT Networking Services 1.1.2 Satellite Broadband Access Services 1.1.3 Satellite Trunking & Backhaul Services 1.2 Market Segmentation 1.3 Market Forecasts 1.4 Regional Definitions 1.5 Global Service Revenues 1.6 Global Customer Premises Equipment Revenues 1.7 Global Capacity Demand 1.7.1 Leased C-Band TPE Demand by Market Segment 1.7.2 Leased Ku-Band TPE Demand by Market Segment 1.7.3 Leased Widebeam Ka-Band TPE Demand by Market Segment 1.7.4 Leased MEO-HTS Bandwidth Demand by Market Segment 1.7.5 Leased HTS Bandwidth Demand by Market Segment Section 2: Enterprise VSAT Networking Services 2.1 At a Glance 2.2 Major Market Trends 2.3.1 Service Definitions 2.3.2 Key Players 2.3.3 Addressable Markets 2.4 Regional One-Way and Two-Way VSAT Site Forecasts 2.4.1 North American VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.4.2 Latin American VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.4.3 Western European VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.4.4 Central & Eastern European VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.4.5 Middle Eastern & North African VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.4.6 Sub-Saharan African VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.4.7 Asian VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.5 Global Enterprise VSAT Networking Site Forecasts 2.5.1 Global Baseline Two-Way Broadband VSAT Site Forecasts 2.5.2 Global Baseline Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Site Forecasts 2.5.3 Global Baseline One-Way Broadband VSAT Site Forecasts 2.5.4 Global Baseline One-Way Narrowband VSAT Site Forecasts 2.6 Comparison of BBSM 12th. and BBSM 11th. Market Forecasts 2.7 Global Enterprise VSAT Networking Service and CPE Revenues 2.7.1 Narrowband VSAT Networking Service Revenues Forecast 2.7.2 Broadband VSAT Networking Service Revenues Forecast 2.7.3 Narrowband VSAT Networking CPE Revenues Forecast 2.7.4 Broadband VSAT Networking CPE Revenues Forecast 2.8 Global Enterprise VSAT Networking Leased Capacity Demand www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 4
2.8.1 Narrowband VSAT Networking Capacity Demand Forecast 2.8.2 Broadband VSAT Networking Capacity Demand Forecast Section 3: Satellite Broadband Access Services 3.1 At a Glance 3.2 Major Market Trends 3.3 Service Definitions 3.3.1 One-Way Satellite with Terrestrial Return Broadband Services 3.3.2 Two-Way Satellite Broadband Services 3.4 Regional Satellite Broadband Access Subscriber Forecasts 3.4.1 North American Subscriber Forecasts 3.4.2 Latin American Subscriber Forecasts 3.4.3 Western European Subscriber Forecasts 3.4.4 Central & Eastern European Subscriber Forecasts 3.4.5 Middle Eastern & North African Subscriber Forecasts 3.4.6 Sub-Saharan African Subscriber Forecasts 3.4.7 Asian Subscriber Forecasts 3.5 Global Satellite Broadband Access Subscriber & Bandwidth Forecasts 3.5.1 Global Baseline Broadband Access Subscriber Forecast 3.5.2 Global Baseline Broadband Access Bandwidth Forecast 3.5.3 Global Broadband Access Subscriber Market Share 3.6 Comparison of BBSM 12th. and BBSM 11th. Market Forecasts 3.7 Global Satellite Broadband Access Service and CPE Revenues 3.7.1 Regional Average ARPUs 3.7.2 Regional Average CPE Cost 3.7.3 Global Satellite Broadband Access Service and CPE Revenues 3.8 Global Satellite Broadband Access Capacity Demand 3.8.1 North American Capacity Demand Forecast 3.8.2 Latin American Capacity Demand Forecast 3.8.3 Western European Capacity Demand Forecast 3.8.4 Central & Eastern European Capacity Demand Forecast 3.8.5 Middle Eastern & North African Capacity Demand Forecast 3.8.6 Sub-Saharan African Capacity Demand Forecast 3.8.7 Asian Capacity Demand Forecast 3.8.8 Global Satellite Broadband Access Leased Ku-Band TPE Demand Forecast 3.8.9 Global Satellite Broadband Access Leased HTS Bandwidth Demand Forecast Section 4: Satellite Trunking & Backhaul Services 4.1 At a Glance 4.2 Major Market Trends 4.3 Service Definitions 4.4 Regional Satellite Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts 4.4.1 North American Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts 4.4.2 Latin American Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts 4.4.3 Western European Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts 4.4.4 Central & Eastern European Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts 4.4.5 Middle Eastern & North African Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts 4.4.6 Sub-Saharan African Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts 4.4.7 Asian Trunking & Backhaul Site Forecasts www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 5
4.5 Global Trunking & Backhaul Site & Bandwidth Forecasts 4.5.1 Global Baseline Trunking Site & Bandwidth Forecasts 4.5.2 Global Baseline Backhaul Site & Bandwidth Forecasts 4.6 Comparison of BBSM 12th. and BBSM 11th. Market Forecasts 4.7 Global Satellite Trunking & Backhaul Service and CPE Revenues 4.7.1 Global Satellite Trunking Service and CPE Revenues 4.7.2 Global Satellite Backhaul Service and CPE Revenues 4.8 Global Satellite Trunking & Backhaul Leased Capacity Demand 4.8.1 Global Trunking Capacity Demand Forecast 4.8.2 Global Backhaul Capacity Demand Forecast 4.8.3 C-Band Trunking & Backhaul Capacity Demand Forecasts by Region 4.8.4 Ku-Band Trunking & Backhaul Capacity Demand Forecasts by Region 4.8.5 Widebeam Ka-Band Trunking & Backhaul Capacity Demand Forecasts by Region 4.8.6 MEO-HTS Trunking & Backhaul Capacity Demand Forecasts by Region 4.8.7 HTS Trunking & Backhaul Capacity Demand Forecasts by Region List of Exhibits 1.1 Global Enterprise VSAT Networking Sites, 2012-2022 1.2 Global Baseline Satellite Broadband Access Subscribers, 2012-2022 1.3 Global Trunking & Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 1.4 Broadband Satellite Market Segmentation 1.5 Broadband Satellite Market Segments Definitions 1.6 Broadband Satellite Markets Forecast Outline 1.7 Regional Definitions 1.8 Broadband Satellite Service Revenues by Market Segment, 2012-2022 1.9 Broadband Satellite CPE Revenues by Market Segment, 2012-2022 1.10 Global Broadband Satellite Leased TPE and Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 1.11 Broadband Satellite Leased C-Band TPE Demand by Market Segment, 2012-2022 1.12 Broadband Satellite Leased Ku-Band TPE Demand by Market Segment, 2012-2022 1.13 Broadband Satellite Leased Widebeam Ka-Band TPE Demand by Market Segment, 2012-2022 1.14 Broadband Satellite Leased MEO-HTS Bandwidth Demand by Market Segment, 2012-2022 1.15 Broadband Satellite Leased HTS Bandwidth Demand by Market Segment, 2012-2022 2.1 Global Enterprise VSAT Networking Sites, 2012-2022 2.2 Global Enterprise VSAT Service and CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 2.3 Global Enterprise VSAT Networking Leased TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 2.4 Enterprise VSAT Networking Market Segmentation 2.5 Typical Two-Way VSAT Network Configuration 2.6 Base Year Parameters of Broadband VSAT Satellite Networking Services Forecasts 2.7 Definitions of Small, Medium and Large 2.8 Base Year Parameters of Narrowband VSAT Satellite Networking Services Forecasts 2.9 Satellite VSAT Networking Market- Tier One and Two Manufacturers and Managed Service Providers 2.10 Enterprise and SME Addressable Market Verticals 2.11 North American Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.12 North American Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 6
2.13 North American One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.14 North American One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.15 Latin American Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.16 Latin American Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.17 Latin American One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.18 Latin American One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.19 Western European Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.20 Western European Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.21 Western European One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.22 Western European One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.23 Central & Eastern European Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.24 Central & Eastern European Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.25 Central & Eastern European One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.26 Central & Eastern European One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.27 Middle Eastern & North African Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.28 Middle Eastern & North African Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.29 Middle Eastern & North African One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.30 Middle Eastern & North African One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.31 Sub-Saharan African Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.32 Sub-Saharan African Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.33 Sub-Saharan African One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.34 Sub-Saharan African One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.35 Asian Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.36 Asian Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.37 Asian One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.38 Asian One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.39 Global Baseline Two-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.40 Global Baseline Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.41 Global Baseline One-Way Broadband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.42 Global Baseline One-Way Narrowband VSAT Sites, 2012-2022 2.43 BBSM 12th & BBSM 11th Edition Two-Way Broadband VSAT Site Forecast Comparison, 2011-2022 2.44 BBSM 12th & BBSM 11th Edition Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Site Forecast Comparison, 2011-2022 2.45 BBSM 12th & BBSM 11th Edition One-Way Broadband VSAT Site Forecast Comparison, 2011-2022 2.46 BBSM 12th & BBSM 11th Edition One-Way Narrowband VSAT Site Forecast Comparison, 2011-2022 2.47 Global Two-Way Narrowband VSAT Service Revenues, 2012-2022 2.48 Global One-Way Narrowband VSAT Service Revenues, 2012-2022 2.49 Global Narrowband VSAT Service Revenues, 2012-2022 2.50 Global Two-Way Broadband VSAT Service Revenues, 2012-2022 2.51 Global One-Way Broadband VSAT Service Revenues, 2012-2022 2.52 Global Broadband VSAT Service Revenues, 2012-2022 2.53 Global Two-Way Narrowband VSAT CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 2.54 Global One-Way Narrowband VSAT CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 2.55 Global Narrowband VSAT CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 2.56 Global Two-Way Broadband VSAT CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 2.57 Global One-Way Broadband VSAT CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 2.58 Global Broadband VSAT CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 2.59 Global Narrowband VSAT Networking Leased TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 2.60 Narrowband VSAT Networking Leased TPE & Bandwidth Demand by Region, 2012-2022 2.61 Global Broadband VSAT Networking Leased TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 7
2.62 Broadband VSAT Networking Leased TPE & Bandwidth Demand by Region, 2012-2022 3.1 Global Broadband Access Subscribers and Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.2 Global Broadband Access Service and CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 3.3 Global Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.4 Satellite Broadband Access Forecast Segmentation 3.5 Typical One-Way with Terrestrial Return Satellite Broadband Access Service Configuration 3.6 Typical Two-Way Satellite Broadband Access Service Configuration 3.7 Typical Ku-band Coverage 3.8 Typical HTS Coverage 3.9 North American Satellite Broadband Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.10 North American Residential & Business Broadband Subscriber Breakout, 2012-2022 3.11 Latin American Satellite Broadband Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.12 Latin American Residential & Business Broadband Subscriber Breakout, 2012-2022 3.13 Western European Satellite Broadband Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.14 Western European Residential & Business Broadband Subscriber Breakout, 2012-2022 3.15 Central & Eastern European Satellite Broadband Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.16 Central & Eastern European Residential & Business Broadband Subscriber Breakout, 2012-2022 3.17 Middle Eastern & North African Satellite Broadband Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.18 Middle Eastern & North African Residential & Business Broadband Subscriber Breakout, 2012-2022 3.19 Sub-Saharan African Satellite Broadband Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.20 Sub-Saharan African Residential & Business Broadband Subscriber Breakout, 2012-2022 3.21 Asian Satellite Broadband Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.22 Asian Residential & Business Broadband Subscriber Breakout, 2012-2022 3.23 Global Baseline Satellite Broadband Access Subscribers, 2012-2022 3.24 Global Satellite Broadband Access Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.25 Broadband Access Subscriber Market Share, 2012 3.26 BBSM 12th & BBSM 11th Edition Satellite Broadband Access Subscribers Forecast Comparison, 2011-2022 3.27 Average ARPU by Region, 2012-2022 3.28 Average CPE Cost by Region, 2012-2022 3.29 Global Satellite Broadband Access Service Revenues, 2012-2022 3.30 Global Satellite Broadband Access CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 3.31 Global Satellite Broadband Access Service and CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 3.32 North American Satellite Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.33 North American Estimate of Kbps of HTS Capacity Allocated Per Subscriber, 2012-2022 3.34 Latin American Satellite Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.35 Latin American Estimate of Kbps of HTS Capacity Allocated Per Subscriber, 2012-2022 3.36 Western European Satellite Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.37 Western European Estimate of Kbps of HTS Capacity Allocated Per Subscriber, 2012-2022 3.38 Central & Eastern European Satellite Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.39 Central & Eastern European Estimate of Kbps of HTS Capacity Allocated Per Subscriber, 2012-2022 3.40 Middle Eastern & North African Satellite Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.41 Middle Eastern & North African Estimate of Kbps of HTS Capacity Allocated Per Subscriber, 2012-2022 3.42 Sub-Saharan African Satellite Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.43 Sub-Saharan African Estimate of Kbps of HTS Capacity Allocated Per Subscriber, 2012-2022 3.44 Asian Satellite Broadband Access TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 3.45 Asian Estimate of Kbps of HTS Capacity Allocated Per Subscriber, 2012-2022 3.46 Global Satellite Broadband Access Leased Ku-Band TPE Demand, 2012-2022 3.47 Global Satellite Broadband Access Leased HTS Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 8
4.1 Global Trunking & Backhaul Sites and Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.2 Global Trunking & Backhaul Service and CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 4.3 Global Trunking & Backhaul TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.4 Trunking & Backhaul Forecast Segmentation 4.5 North American Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.6 North American Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.7 Latin American Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.8 Latin American Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.9 Western European Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.10 Western European Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.11 Central & Eastern European Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.12 Central & Eastern European Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.13 Middle Eastern & North African Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.14 Middle Eastern & North African Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.15 Sub-Saharan African Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.16 Sub-Saharan African Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.17 Asian Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.18 Asian Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.19 Global Baseline Broadband Trunking Sites, 2012-2022 4.20 Global Trunking Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.21 Global Baseline Broadband Backhaul Sites, 2012-2022 4.22 Global Backhaul Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.23 BBSM 12th & BBSM 11th Edition Trunking Site Forecast Comparison, 2011-2022 4.24 BBSM 12th & BBSM 11th Edition Backhaul Site Forecast Comparison, 2011-2022 4.25 Global Broadband Trunking Service Revenues, 2012-2022 4.26 Global Broadband Trunking CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 4.27 Global Broadband Backhaul Service Revenues, 2012-2022 4.28 Global Broadband Backhaul CPE Revenues, 2012-2022 4.29 Global Broadband Trunking Leased TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.30 Global Broadband Backhaul Leased TPE & Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.31 Global Broadband Trunking Leased C-Band TPE Demand, 2012-2022 4.32 Global Broadband Backhaul Leased C-Band TPE Demand, 2012-2022 4.33 Global Broadband Trunking Leased Ku-Band TPE Demand, 2012-2022 4.34 Global Broadband Backhaul Leased Ku-Band TPE Demand, 2012-2022 4.35 Global Broadband Trunking Leased Widebeam Ka-Band TPE Demand, 2012-2022 4.36 Global Broadband Backhaul Leased Widebeam Ka-Band TPE Demand, 2012-2022 4.37 Global Broadband Trunking Leased MEO-HTS Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.38 Global Broadband Backhaul Leased MEO-HTS Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.39 Global Broadband Trunking Leased HTS Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 4.40 Global Broadband Backhaul Leased HTS Bandwidth Demand, 2012-2022 www.nsr.com 2013 NSR 9