C 4 I Forecast ARCHIVED REPORT For data and forecasts on current programs please visit www.forecastinternational.com or call +1 203.426.0800 Distributed Information Systems (DIS) - Archived 09/2003 Outlook Forecast International projects DARPA to spend some US$1.194 billion on the Distributed Information Systems (DIS) program over the next decade Expect the DIS program to finalize the evaluation protocols and metrics for heterogeneous human computer dialog systems in 2002 Look for the DIS program to create an initial capability to process Arabic text and audio sources in 2002 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 DIS Forecast Funding Levels 2002-2011 Values (In millions of FY02 dollars) 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 80.6 95.5 118.7 104.5 108.3 124.8 129.9 136.9 143.9 150.9 Years Description. The Distributed Information Systems (DIS) program is a US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) research endeavor. The DIS program develops and demonstrates information-processing technology for US Department of Defense command, control, and communications (C 3 ) needs. Sponsor Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) Arlington, Virginia (VA) Prime Contractors General Electric GE R&D Center One River Road Schenectady, New York (NY) 12345 Tel: +1 518 387 5000 Web site: http://www.ge.com General Dynamics Communication Systems 8920 Route 108, Suite D Columbia, Maryland (MD) 21045 Tel: +1 410 910 2555 Fax: +1 410 992 0466 Web site: http://www.gd-cs.com Orientation Honeywell Inc Honeywell Plaza Minneapolis, Minnesota (MN) 55440 Tel: +1 612 951 1000 Fax: +1 612 957 7438 Web site: http://www.honeywell.com Lockheed Martin Corp Astronautics Deer Creek Facility Denver, Colorado (CO) 80201 Tel: +1 303 977 3000 Fax: +1 303 977 4286 Web site: http://www.ast.lmco.com Lockheed Martin Corp Tactical Defense Systems (formerly Loral Federal Systems Co) 1801 SR-17C Oswego, New York (NY) 13827 Tel: +1 607 751 2000 Fax: +1 607 751 2597 Contractors Carnegie-Mellon University Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (PA)
Distributed Information Systems (DIS), Page 2 C 4 I Forecast Cornell University Ithaca, New York (NY) Harvard University Cambridge, Massachusetts (MA) Rice University Houston, Texas (TX) University of California Los Angeles, California (CA) University of Massachusetts Amherst, Massachusetts (MA) University of Southern California Information Sciences Institute Marina Del Rey, California (CA) Status. Ongoing research and development. Total Produced. Not applicable. Application. To develop technology for US Department of Defense information processing systems serving C 3 needs. Price Range. Indeterminate Design Features. The Distributed Information Systems (DIS) program develops and demonstrates technology for building secure, real-time, geographically distributed information systems. The DIS program develops advanced architectures and devices in large-scale, high-performance, secure/survivable communications networks for worldwide command and control. These distributed systems are based on personal work stations interconnected by high-bandwidth local area networks (LANs). The systems can support large-scale Technical Data Variants/Upgrades testing, evaluation, and enhancement of the capabilities of information networks. Applications for distributed systems under development include a message system, war games, and a sensor network. In the area of software technology, the wideband satellite channels are being integrated into the Internet system, and experiments are being conducted to evaluate protocols and alternative routing to meet requirements for end-to-end network security and multilevel operating system security. The thrust of this project is to provide a technological development base for the ongoing enhancement of US Department of Defense command and control programs. Background. By the early 1980s, the Internet system had been developed to the point that it could be used regularly by a large community of users. In order to facilitate this achievement, an Internet electronic message and forwarding system was developed. Additionally, the standard US Department of Defense (DoD) transmission control protocols/internet protocols (TCP/IP) were implemented on most Advanced Research Projects Agency Network (ARPANET) hosts. TAC access control was specified and implemented. A packet speech program was completed as well. By the end FY85, protocols had been developed to support distributed communication and control applications, including multimedia conferencing. Network partition detection and recovery mechanisms were Program Review evaluated in the Internet system, and the Internet Private Line Interfaces (IPLIs) were certified for use with packet radios. In related efforts during the year, the TAC access control system was installed on the ARPANET, and the DES-based encryption device was evaluated for compartmentalization of a secure local network. In addition, the multimedia message system was enhanced for operational use at Fort Bragg, and the Berkeley version of the UNIX operating system was extended to allow the execution of distributed programs to be monitored. Later, preliminary testing of a distributed operating system, whose nodes span a set of connected networks,
C 4 I Forecast Distributed Information Systems (DIS), Page 3 was conducted. The effect of process migration on performance was then measured in an experimental multicomputer system. Next, an evolutionary method for describing and evaluating the performance of C 3 systems architectures was devised based on high-level functional descriptions. Finally, a rapid prototyping environment was designed to support experimental development of new software systems. During FY86, techniques by which distributed real-time applications operating on the Internet system could support multimedia conferencing were demonstrated. New end-to-end communication services were developed and demonstrated to support such applications. Finally, the interoperability of the Internet system with commercial systems, including electronic mail, was demonstrated. An initial prototype of a new-generation experimental environment was completed in FY87, along with the design of an advanced prototype Ada programming environment. During FY89, development continued on ways to support very large networks and enhance interoperability among C 3 systems, with emphasis on very-high-speed networking. Additionally, new methodologies were explored for developing C 3 systems, including object-based image communication techniques in a multimedia environment, using Ada and Mach. Security requirements and architectures for Internet technology and experimental networks were explored, and selected distributed systems technology components were adapted for use in tactical distributed C 3 systems. Three simulation network (SIMNET) sites were activated, and long-haul networking among the sites was demonstrated. In less than a decade progress was extensive. By the year 1990, SIMNET technology had been transferred to the US Army, and a simulation of interconnectivity between the Battle Force In-port Trainer (BFIT) and SIMNET via the high-performance wide-area Internet had been demonstrated. The transition of the Internet to support OSI (Open Systems Interconnection) standard protocols began in FY91. Moreover, techniques that could be used to provide real-time data communication in support of distributed command and control applications in an Internet environment were demonstrated. In 1993, the DIS program was transferred from PE#0602708E, Integrated Command and Control Technology Project IC-1, to PE#0602301E, Computing Systems and Communications Technology Project ST-20 Distributed Information Systems/C 3. The transfer reflected the program element/project consolidation and realignment that had occurred within DARPA. During the transition period, file-system technology was transferred to a self-sustaining industrial base. DIS was transferred again in FY94, from Project ST-20 (Distributed Information Systems C 3 ) to Project ST-11 (Intelligent Systems and Software), still within PE#0602301E (Computing Systems and Communications Technology). This transfer reflected further program element/project consolidation and realignment within DARPA. Program activity during FY94 focused on developing the test-case scenarios and Internet-accessible software testbeds that typify the type of advanced informationprocessing requirements in DoD systems. In other efforts, information fusion and aggregation services were developed to make heterogeneous databases interoperable. During FY95, further progress was made in developing prototypes for the system architecture software formulas. New high-performance computing technologies being produced under Project ST-10 High Performance Computing (HPC) within this program element were also developed. Evaluations were the main focus of work during FY96. Many of the program aspects were experimentally implemented and studied. The targeted areas included human-aided machine translations, document understanding, and robust speech recognition in adverse acoustic conditions. During FY97, distributed design tools and multi-agent systems for the capture of collaborative design history were evaluated and demonstrated. Additional research focused on developing new image understanding technologies for image exploitation, and video surveillance/monitoring to enhance battlefield awareness. In FY98, RaDEO (Rapid Design Exploration and Optimization) design computation tools were selected for use in demonstrating robust multidisciplinary design. FY99 activities included software composition and an Instrumented Feasibility Demonstration (IFD) of design technologies. In 2000, the DIS program developed a translingual C 4 I database for use in US and Republic of Korea coalition operations. Also, the DIS program conducted experiments of use of the system in providing disaster relief and humanitarian assistance. Recent Developments. In 2001, the DIS program demonstrated and evaluated dialogue performance for United States Marine Corps small unit logistics. The program also conducted an initial evaluation of summarization technology.
Distributed Information Systems (DIS), Page 4 C 4 I Forecast Forecast International expects the DIS program to finalize the evaluation protocols and metrics for heterogeneous human computer dialog systems in 2002. The program will also establish baseline hardware design for handheld translation technology in 2002. In 2002, look for the DIS program to demonstrate the ability to follow events described in English and Chinese news sources. Also in 2002, expect the program to create an initial capability to process Arabic text and audio sources. Funding US FUNDING FY01 FY02(Reg) FY03(Req) QTY AMT QTY AMT QTY AMT RDT&E (DARPA) PE 0602301E Computing Systems & Communications Technology Project ST-11-74.84-80.57-95.50 FY04(Req) FY05(Req) FY06(Req) FY07(Req) QTY AMT QTY AMT QTY AMT QTY AMT RDT&E (DARPA) PE 0602301E Computing Systems & Communications Technology Project ST-11-118.70-104.52-108.25-124.79 All $ are in millions. Source: US Department of Defense FY 2003 RDT&E Descriptive Summary Recent Contracts No specific contracts identified. Timetable Year Major Development 1983 Distributed computation system demonstrated; MULTIBASE in Ada demonstrated 1984 Implementation of tagged multilevel secure operating system, development of Internet security system, and testing of six-node prototype Distributed Sensor network all completed 1985 Ada-based distributed data management system demonstrated; LAN network of simulators tested; distributed monitoring facility and distributed object access mechanism for Berkeley UNIX completed 1986 Interoperability of the Internet with commercial networks demonstrated; long-haul simulator network tested; knowledge-based acoustic/video tracking demonstrated 1987 Initial prototype of new-generation experimental environment completed; design of advanced prototype Ada programming environment completed 1988 Three SIMNET sites activated; and long-haul networking demonstrated 1989 Techniques supporting policy-based routing developed and initiated; object-based image communication techniques demonstrated 1990 SIMNET technology transferred to the US Army; Trusted Mach prototype demonstrated 1991 Transition of the Internet to support OSI standard protocols begun; techniques for real-time data communication in support of distributed C 2 in an Internet environment demonstrated 1992 Domain-specific, interfaced definitions designed for software interoperability;
C 4 I Forecast Distributed Information Systems (DIS), Page 5 Year Major Development military application for use in demonstrating an integrated distributed systems technology base selected 1993 Initial examples of domain-specific application interface definitions developed 1994 Information fusion and aggregation services developed 1995 Prototypes for system architecture software formulas developed 1996 Human-aided machine translations evaluated 1997 Initial web-structure configuration management capability demonstrated 1998 Embedded image understanding technologies demonstrated and evaluated 1999 Active approaches to software composition investigated, emphasizing aspect-oriented programming, on-the-fly component generation and interconnection, and module self-evaluation and configuration 2000 DIS program developed translingual C 4 I database 2001 Initial evaluation of summarization technology conducted 2002 DIS program to demonstrate the ability to follow events described in English and Chinese news sources Worldwide Distribution The DIS program is a United States endeavor. The Distributed Information Systems (DIS) program is a US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) research effort. The DIS program develops and demonstrates information-processing technology for US Department of Defense command, control, and communications needs. As indicated by the outlook chart, Forecast International projects DARPA to spend some US$1.194 billion on the DIS program over the next decade. The Department of Defense s commitment to achieve information superiority over United States adversaries is driving DIS program spending. Project ST-11, a critical component of the DIS program, develops and applies new software database management and human computer interaction technologies. These technologies will provide new capabilities of importance for a wide range of national security needs. Ten-Year Outlook Forecast Rationale ESTIMATED CALENDAR YEAR FUNDING ($ in millions) Specifically, these technologies will enable advanced information systems to: automatically exploit large volumes of speech and text in multiple languages effectively accomplish computing and decisionmaking tasks in stressful, time-sensitive situations collect, filter, synthesize, and present information in a timely and relevant form to assist US war fighters. With the US War on Terrorism highlighting the importance of information dominance, Forecast International expects the DIS program to be well funded beyond 2011. High Confidence Good Confidence Speculative Level Level Total Designation Application Thru 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 02-11 DIS INFORMATION PROCESSING TECHNOLOGY 1070.140 80.570 95.500 118.700 104.520 108.250 124.790 129.910 136.910 143.920 150.920 1193.990